Market Read®

  • Sunday, July 13 2014

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between March 06, 2013 and March 21, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: CMLP)

Crestwood
Midstream
Partners Lp


Bullish

Crestwood Midstream Partners LP primarily engages in the gathering, processing, treating, compressing, transporting, and selling natural gas in the United States. The company operates in four segments: Barnett, Fayetteville, Granite Wash, and Marcellus. It services natural gas producers in the Barnett Shale in north Texas, the Fayetteville Shale in northwestern Arkansas, the Granite Wash in the Texas Panhandle, the Marcellus Shale in northern West Virginia, the Avalon Shale/Bone Spring in southeastern New Mexico, and the Haynesville/Bossier Shale in western Louisiana. The company is also involved in the delivery of natural gas liquids (NGL). As of December 31, 2012, it managed approximately 849 miles of natural gas gathering pipelines, NGL, gas lift, residue, and production lines. Crestwood Gas Services GP LLC serves as the general partner of Crestwood Midstream Partners LP. The company was formerly known as Quicksilver Gas Services LP and changed its name to Crestwood Midstream Partners LP in October 2010. Crestwood Midstream Partners LP was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of CMLP expected to move up in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Resistance Break(1)' pattern. Specifically, a RTM7 variant of Resistance Break(1) has been detected. The target is $25.48. more
  • SEASONALITY expects the price of CMLP expected to move up to $26.43 by March 21, 2013. more
  • EVENTS detects that a positive price event has occurred, historically indicating that the price will move up to $25.49 by March 14, 2013. Specifically, 50-day MA cross above 200-day MA has been detected. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when CMLP closes above $25.58, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of CMLP considerably higher.
  • VALUATION CMLP has a current calculated value of $28.00 which means the stock is undervalued compared to its price of $22.13.

Predictive Range February 21, 2013 - March 21, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$25.12 - $25.80

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Crestwood Midstream Partners Lp (NYSE: CMLP) is predicted to go up in coming weeks based on bullish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. CMLP has demonstrated Resistance Break(1) strategy RTM7 with a strength of 4.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of CMLP expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'RTM7' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a RTM7 variant of Resistance Break(1) has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that CMLP will move up in the coming weeks.

Events

 

Uses historical patterns in stock price and volume changes to help time buying and selling decisions.

Crestwood Midstream Partners Lp (NYSE: CMLP) is expected to go higher. Events detect patterns in price and volume movement that have historically preceeded predictable stock movements. CMLP has demonstrated a 50-day MA cross above 200-day MA technical event that has been predictable 3.0 of the last 3.0 occurrances.

  • The price of CMLP expected to move up.
  • Positive patterns detected in the price movement of the stock indicates the price should move to $25.49 by March 14, 2013.
  • Of the previous 3 occurrances of 50-day MA cross above 200-day MA event, CMLP has moved up 100% of the time.

Seasonality

 

Predicts probability and percentage of stock movements based on seasonal factors.

Crestwood Midstream Partners Lp (NYSE: CMLP) is predicted to go up in coming weeks based on bullish trends that appear around this time of the year. By identifying stocks that are poised to go up or down based on seasonal tendencies, traders can increase their odds of making money. CMLP, currently trading at 22.13 expected to hit $26.43 by March 21, 2013.

  • The price of CMLP expected to move up to $26.43 by March 21, 2013.
  • Expected gain of 2.53% from price at time of prediction (25.78).
  • This pattern has held 5.0 of the last 5.0 seasonal periods. (100.00%)

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for CMLP is 25.58.

This means that when CMLP closes above $25.58, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of CMLP considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2013-10-31 493957 11827454.5951 23.9443
2013-09-30 444172 11096393.7384 24.9822
2013-08-31 443377 11604683.5718 26.1734
2013-07-31 1077097 29018716.5352 26.9416
2013-06-30 454838 11170411.9258 24.5591
2013-05-31 1165156 28986051.8744 24.8774
2013-04-30 1378667 33657259.6043 24.4129
2013-03-31 39392 980183.2576 24.8828
2013-02-28 358153 9255640.5331 25.8427
2013-01-31 1038179 25140438.8461 24.2159
2012-12-31 76058 1742093.2784 22.9048
2012-11-30 721552 16206851.6272 22.4611
2012-10-31 524426 12456481.0076 23.7526
2012-09-30 694319 16509031.1587 23.7773
2012-08-31 809618 19394723.0372 23.9554
2012-07-31 59018 1600243.561 27.1145
2012-06-30 303499 7576215.1871 24.9629
2012-05-31 465356 12048020.3044 25.8899
2012-04-30 103734 2955921.0768 28.4952
2012-03-31 387573 11106718.2183 28.6571

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused CMLP's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused CMLP's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2013-10-16 -0.14 398365 293251 105114 Bearish Bias
2013-10-15 -0.22 277822 282971 -5149 -234.0454545
2013-10-14 0.12 107267 189180 -81913 Bullish Bias
2013-10-11 -0.25 160723 157126 3597 Bearish Bias
2013-10-10 -0.12 261850 272811 -10961 -913.4166667
2013-10-09 -0.33 162917 144212 18705 Bearish Bias
2013-10-08 -0.14 83350 122947 -39597 -2828.357143
2013-10-07 -0.01 64088 94249 -30161 -30161
2013-10-04 0.06 40023 41316 -1293 Bullish Bias
2013-10-03 0.56 63083 64797 -1714 Bullish Bias
2013-10-02 0.1 17223 15290 1933 193.3
2013-10-01 0.13 29213 30264 -1051 Bullish Bias
2013-09-30 0.11 20907 23010 -2103 Bullish Bias
2013-09-27 -0.08 16746 16770 -24 -3
2013-09-26 0.05 14089 27436 -13347 Bullish Bias
2013-09-25 -0.09 17481 12431 5050 Bearish Bias
2013-09-24 -0.03 16260 23252 -6992 -2330.666667
2013-09-23 0.02 29144 21538 7606 3803
2013-09-20 -0.04 46239 21441 24798 Bearish Bias
2013-09-19 0.15 23890 31121 -7231 Bullish Bias

Valuation

 

Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. CMLP has a current value of 28.0 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $22.13 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease.

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.14 73.22 9094 472 95.07%
SqueezeTrigger 12.746 22.38 7780 471 94.29%
Group Correlation 7.358 15.0 1309 86 93.84%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.455 15.2 42634 4138 91.15%
PatternScan 8.448 11.36 133678 19298 87.38%
Events 6.937 11.19 3396 544 86.19%
GATS 5.386 7.94 45118 8572 84.03%
Earnings 8.677 10.28 21694 4355 83.28%
Naked Shorts 14.525 10.84 2232 589 79.12%
Friction Factor 7.506 3.63 5606 1607 77.72%

Prediction Success

 

Past success in predictions regarding Crestwood Midstream Partners Lp.

  • October 09, 2013 - Crestwood Midstream Partners LP (NYSE:CMLP), Down By 11.38% ($2.96) From $26.000 After ${brandname}.com Report Predicted Weakness Before Earnings

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$22.13
52 Week Range$20.40 - $28.37
1 Month Range$21.31 - $22.55
Avg Daily Volume770535.0
PE Ratio0.0
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2014(E)$-0.699
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding188MM
Market Capitalization$4121.00MM
 
 

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