Market Read®

  • Wednesday, May 06 2015

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between February 25, 2013 and March 04, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: APC)

Anadarko Petroleum Corp.


Bullish

Anadarko Petroleum Corporation engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas properties primarily in the United States, the deepwater of the Gulf of Mexico, and Algeria. It markets natural gas, crude oil, condensate, and oil and natural gas liquids (NGLs), as well as owns and operates natural-gas gathering, processing, treating, and transportation systems. As of December 31, 2009, the company had proved reserves of 2.3 billion barrels of oil equivalent. The company also engages in the hard minerals business through non-operated joint ventures and royalty arrangements in various coal, trona (natural soda ash), and industrial mineral mines. In addition, it purchases natural gas, crude oil, condensate, and NGL volumes for resale. Anadarko Petroleum Corporation also has operations in Brazil, China, Cote dIvoire, Ghana, Indonesia, Mozambique, and Sierra Leone. The company was founded in 1959 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas.

Investment Highlights

  • GATS predicts APC will move up in the coming weeks. Target is $84.59. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when APC closes above $71.15, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of APC considerably higher.
  • VALUATION APC has a current calculated value of $100.80 which means the stock is undervalued compared to its price of $89.32.

Predictive Range February 25, 2013 - March 04, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$81.75 - $84.59

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

GATS

 

Reduces risk by selecting the highest probability trades across market indices.

Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: APC) is expected to go up as bullish signals have been generated by top equity trading strategies. This trading system is designed to identify high probability reversion to mean trading candidates. It looks to go long immediately following strong sell-offs, and goes short after sharp run ups. Its trades are short term and hone in on the irrational decisions of emotional traders around these extreme moves.

  • The price of APC expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • Suggested stop level of 73.58 to limit potential trading losses.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for APC is 71.15.

This means that when APC closes above $71.15, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of APC considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2015-02-28 8539264 723318357.12 84.705
2015-01-31 2430753 191600702.171 78.8236
2014-12-31 1001779 78885087.355 78.745
2014-11-30 13895787 1257125447.89 90.4681
2014-10-31 30441426 2752312825.51 90.4134
2014-09-30 13063533 1390473308.05 106.4393
2014-08-31 12658157 1374601167.07 108.5941
2014-07-31 15188402 1650602625.03 108.6752
2014-06-30 12863395 1373898057.09 106.8068
2014-05-31 11899601 1205493839.15 101.3054
2014-04-30 34247596 3304882739.72 96.4997
2014-03-31 13829834 1166043091.94 84.3136
2014-02-28 15998215 1302491474.58 81.4148
2014-01-31 19843111 1597455760.88 80.5043
2013-12-31 18691716 1509539245.82 80.7598
2013-11-30 3936305 368068528.961 93.5061
2013-10-31 11502056 1091953437.39 94.9355
2013-09-30 10649316 1001216742.37 94.017
2013-08-31 14546613 1310734201.66 90.1058
2013-07-31 12808541 1142962471.01 89.2344

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused APC's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused APC's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2015-02-13 2.13 1704517 1411021 293496 1377.915493
2015-02-12 0.0 2722743 1817032 905711 Bearish Bias
2015-02-11 1.17 1454367 1009105 445262 3805.65812
2015-02-10 0.88 1387832 961893 425939 4840.215909
2015-02-09 0.76 765684 645114 120570 1586.447368
2015-02-06 -0.98 1105813 1150955 -45142 -460.6326531
2015-02-05 0.0 1036617 1390440 -353823 Bullish Bias
2015-02-04 -2.39 1185291 1368630 -183339 -767.1087866
2015-02-03 2.83 2133890 2783108 -649218 Bullish Bias
2015-02-02 1.02 2188670 1817497 371173 3638.95098
2015-01-30 0.71 1535134 1113091 422043 5944.267606
2015-01-29 0.25 2581429 837607 1743822 69752.88
2015-01-28 -2.22 2387359 1925740 461619 Bearish Bias
2015-01-27 0.99 786178 1123570 -337392 Bullish Bias
2015-01-26 1.22 1102105 668568 433537 3553.581967
2015-01-23 -0.08 1194063 1365368 -171305 -21413.125
2015-01-22 0.79 1860542 948425 912117 11545.78481
2015-01-21 2.0 1012463 2288016 -1275553 Bullish Bias
2015-01-20 -0.68 1709097 958334 750763 Bearish Bias
2015-01-16 2.97 1115131 1450700 -335569 Bullish Bias

Valuation

 

Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. APC has a current value of 100.8 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $89.32 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease.

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.957 78.96 11728 555 95.48%
SqueezeTrigger 12.599 22.05 9286 599 93.94%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.311 15.21 50258 4747 91.37%
Group Correlation 6.52 14.88 4426 491 90.01%
PatternScan 8.524 11.49 182508 26834 87.18%
Events 6.889 11.27 4073 628 86.64%
Earnings 8.511 10.25 23840 4800 83.24%
GATS 5.379 7.86 62352 12813 82.95%
Naked Shorts 13.891 10.96 2674 692 79.44%
Friction Factor 7.136 3.63 6929 1978 77.79%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$89.32
52 Week Range$73.60 - $112.80
1 Month Range$104.45 - $112.80
Avg Daily Volume3309605.0
PE Ratio0.0
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2015(E)$-4.637
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding505MM
Market Capitalization$52920.00MM
 
 

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