Market Read®

  • Thursday, March 05 2015

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between February 25, 2013 and March 06, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: MON)

Monsanto Company


Bullish

Monsanto Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides agricultural products for farmers worldwide. It operates in two segments, Seeds and Genomics, and Agricultural Productivity. The Seeds and Genomics segment produces row crop seeds, including corn, soybean, cotton, and canola seeds principally under the DEKALB, Channel, Asgrow, and Deltapine brands; and vegetable seeds consisting of tomato, pepper, melon, cucumber, pumpkin, squash, beans, broccoli, onions, lettuce, and other seeds under the Seminis and De Ruiter brands. This segment also develops biotechnology traits that assist farmers in controlling insects and weeds in corn, cotton, and soybean crops under the SmartStax, YieldGard, YieldGard VT Triple, VT Triple PRO, and VT Double PRO, as well as Intacta RR2 PRO, Bollgard and Bollgard II, Roundup Ready and Roundup Ready 2 Yield, and Genuity brands; and licenses a range of germplasm and trait technologies to seed companies. The Agricultural Productivity segment manufactures and sells herbicides for agricultural, industrial, ornamental, turf, and residential lawn and garden applications for weed control, as well as for control of preemergent annual grass and small seeded broadleaf weeds in corn and other crops under the Roundup and Harness brands. The company sells its products through distributors, independent retailers and dealers, agricultural cooperatives, plant raisers, and agents, as well as directly to farmers. It has operations primarily in the United States, Europe, Africa, Brazil, Argentina, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and Mexico. Monsanto Company has a collaborative agreement with Novozymes A/S to discover, develop, and produce microbial solutions. The company was formerly known as Monsanto Ag Company and changed its name to Monsanto Company in March 2000. Monsanto Company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.

Investment Highlights

  • GATS predicts MON will move up in the coming weeks. Target is $103.51. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when MON closes above $77.62, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of MON considerably higher.

Predictive Range February 25, 2013 - March 06, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$99.98 - $103.51

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

GATS

 

Reduces risk by selecting the highest probability trades across market indices.

Monsanto Company (NYSE: MON) is expected to go up as bullish signals have been generated by top equity trading strategies. This trading system is designed to identify high probability reversion to mean trading candidates. It looks to go long immediately following strong sell-offs, and goes short after sharp run ups. Its trades are short term and hone in on the irrational decisions of emotional traders around these extreme moves.

  • The price of MON expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • Suggested stop level of 89.98 to limit potential trading losses.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for MON is 77.62.

This means that when MON closes above $77.62, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of MON considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2015-03-31 201572 24362999.78 120.865
2015-02-28 7827111 954442611.607 121.9406
2015-01-31 414625 49603661.875 119.635
2014-12-31 3803172 456078287.826 119.9205
2014-11-30 8181204 950254207.684 116.1509
2014-10-31 3107996 343967822.512 110.6719
2014-09-30 2959776 339287114.275 114.6327
2014-08-31 16201686 1893120024.21 116.8471
2014-07-31 13598433 1633487286.95 120.1232
2014-06-30 12008236 1476986609.88 122.9978
2014-05-31 754670 83874023.8 111.14
2014-04-30 4434221 507713426.857 114.4989
2014-03-31 1254232 140035880.762 111.6507
2014-02-28 9748614 1064445313.49 109.1894
2014-01-31 12043917 1345360930.92 111.7046
2013-12-31 4604287 513796530.188 111.5909
2013-11-30 3229881 337301317.651 104.4315
2013-10-31 9959995 1042992748.41 104.7182
2013-09-30 7120409 728996017.911 102.3812
2013-08-31 12262367 1185057219.14 96.6418

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused MON's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused MON's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2015-03-02 0.87 590474 390592 199882 2297.494253
2015-02-27 0.46 1148256 2208575 -1060319 Bullish Bias
2015-02-26 -3.11 1502173 1480489 21684 Bearish Bias
2015-02-25 -0.71 430085 620315 -190230 -2679.295775
2015-02-24 0.38 410867 534575 -123708 Bullish Bias
2015-02-23 -0.35 299650 494686 -195036 -5572.457143
2015-02-20 -0.55 372180 1115309 -743129 -13511.43636
2015-02-19 0.9 454667 1832249 -1377582 Bullish Bias
2015-02-18 -0.1 346355 607255 -260900 -26090
2015-02-17 -0.09 351551 576439 -224888 -24987.55556
2015-02-13 2.0 579098 771438 -192340 Bullish Bias
2015-02-12 0.29 971655 543093 428562 14778
2015-02-11 1.01 635195 589379 45816 453.6237624
2015-02-10 0.22 564636 377830 186806 8491.181818
2015-02-09 1.03 574994 456185 118809 1153.485437
2015-02-06 -0.64 404149 591577 -187428 -2928.5625
2015-02-05 1.93 626205 633518 -7313 Bullish Bias
2015-02-04 -0.92 491605 643583 -151978 -1651.934783
2015-02-03 1.47 993721 688820 304901 2074.156463
2015-02-02 0.04 452780 716132 -263352 Bullish Bias

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.889 77.92 11250 569 95.19%
SqueezeTrigger 12.547 22.06 9010 584 93.91%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.339 15.21 48730 4644 91.30%
Group Correlation 6.794 14.88 3395 334 91.04%
PatternScan 8.548 11.5 175333 25826 87.16%
Events 6.924 11.23 3942 609 86.62%
Earnings 8.558 10.26 23376 4714 83.22%
GATS 5.387 7.89 59005 12011 83.09%
Naked Shorts 14.004 10.93 2620 682 79.35%
Friction Factor 7.168 3.63 6635 1899 77.75%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$119.12
52 Week Range$94.00 - $128.79
1 Month Range$119.36 - $128.79
Avg Daily Volume4156310.0
PE Ratio24.64
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2015(E)$4.975
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding524MM
Market Capitalization$63423.00MM
 
 

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