Market Read®

  • Saturday, July 12 2014

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between February 25, 2013 and March 07, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: HMN)

Horace
Mann
Educators Corp.


Bullish

Horace Mann Educators Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a multiline insurance company in the United States. It markets and underwrites personal lines of property and casualty insurance that primarily include private passenger automobile and homeowners insurance; retirement annuities, which principally comprise tax-qualified fixed and variable deposits; and life insurance products. The company offers its products directly through its sales force and through independent agents primarily to K-12 teachers, administrators, and other employees of public schools and their families. Horace Mann Educators Corporation was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Springfield, Illinois.

Investment Highlights

  • GATS predicts HMN will move up in the coming weeks. Target is $22.10. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when HMN closes above $17.72, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of HMN considerably higher.

Predictive Range February 25, 2013 - March 07, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$21.34 - $22.10

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

GATS

 

Reduces risk by selecting the highest probability trades across market indices.

Horace Mann Educators Corp. (NYSE: HMN) is expected to go up as bullish signals have been generated by top equity trading strategies. This trading system is designed to identify high probability reversion to mean trading candidates. It looks to go long immediately following strong sell-offs, and goes short after sharp run ups. Its trades are short term and hone in on the irrational decisions of emotional traders around these extreme moves.

  • The price of HMN expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • Suggested stop level of 19.21 to limit potential trading losses.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for HMN is 17.72.

This means that when HMN closes above $17.72, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of HMN considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2014-04-30 290265 8312696.1495 28.6383
2014-03-31 391979 11278254.9754 28.7726
2014-02-28 74675 2069244.25 27.71
2014-01-31 473735 13872903.1135 29.2841
2013-12-31 418716 12865844.6604 30.7269
2013-11-30 416290 12017584.607 28.8683
2013-10-31 300443 8709602.2156 28.9892
2013-09-30 478553 13133982.7956 27.4452
2013-08-31 731222 20462004.5926 27.9833
2013-07-31 877601 24239953.9407 27.6207
2013-06-30 540399 13307055.1755 24.6245
2013-05-31 64560 1429326.12 22.1395
2013-04-30 229490 4896903.518 21.3382
2013-03-31 321078 6665932.4658 20.7611
2013-02-28 212808 4579862.2488 21.5211
2013-01-31 411410 8656230.964 21.0404
2012-12-31 481448 9409034.5536 19.5432
2012-11-30 439051 8136756.5626 18.5326
2012-10-31 289481 5406318.2079 18.6759
2012-09-30 139139 2502498.3984 17.9856

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused HMN's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused HMN's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2014-04-23 0.0 34507 13225 21282 Bearish Bias
2014-04-22 0.16 40547 21166 19381 1211.3125
2014-04-21 -0.24 42058 36579 5479 Bearish Bias
2014-04-17 0.53 21571 25299 -3728 Bullish Bias
2014-04-16 0.14 17396 25628 -8232 Bullish Bias
2014-04-15 -0.08 25538 44584 -19046 -2380.75
2014-04-14 0.08 45887 72022 -26135 Bullish Bias
2014-04-11 -0.25 40874 50596 -9722 -388.88
2014-04-10 -0.42 26430 51207 -24777 -589.9285714
2014-04-09 -0.11 50032 69946 -19914 -1810.363636
2014-04-08 0.01 35679 72511 -36832 Bullish Bias
2014-04-07 -0.46 71575 54657 16918 Bearish Bias
2014-04-04 -0.2 57203 60386 -3183 -159.15
2014-04-03 -0.43 35369 40861 -5492 -127.7209302
2014-04-02 0.45 32591 27963 4628 102.8444444
2014-04-01 0.29 26579 58505 -31926 Bullish Bias
2014-03-31 0.33 21875 63663 -41788 Bullish Bias
2014-03-28 0.26 53099 40743 12356 475.2307692
2014-03-27 -0.23 55810 48129 7681 Bearish Bias
2014-03-26 -0.21 115284 70052 45232 Bearish Bias

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.14 73.22 9094 472 95.07%
SqueezeTrigger 12.746 22.38 7780 471 94.29%
Group Correlation 7.358 15.0 1309 86 93.84%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.455 15.2 42634 4138 91.15%
PatternScan 8.448 11.36 133678 19298 87.38%
Events 6.937 11.19 3396 544 86.19%
GATS 5.386 7.94 45118 8572 84.03%
Earnings 8.677 10.28 21694 4355 83.28%
Naked Shorts 14.525 10.84 2232 589 79.12%
Friction Factor 7.506 3.63 5606 1607 77.72%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$29.84
52 Week Range$25.96 - $31.87
1 Month Range$29.18 - $31.79
Avg Daily Volume138840.0
PE Ratio11.54
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2014(E)$2.67
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding40MM
Market Capitalization$1264.00MM
 
 

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