Market Read®

  • Saturday, July 12 2014

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between February 26, 2013 and March 09, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: CKH)

Seacor Smit Inc.


Bullish

SEACOR Holdings Inc. provides marine transportation equipment and logistics services primarily servicing the U.S. and international energy and agricultural markets. The company offers customers a suite of services and equipment, including offshore marine, inland river, storage and handling, distribution of petroleum, chemical and agricultural commodities, and shipping. It operates through various business units, including Offshore Marine Services, Inland River Services, Shipping Services, and Other. The Offshore Marine Services business unit operates a fleet of vessels servicing the offshore oil and gas exploration, development, and production industry. The Inland River Services business unit owns and operates river transportation equipment along the U.S. Inland River Waterways, and the Parana-Paraguay and the Magdalena River Systems in South America. It also owns and operates an ethanol and petroleum storage terminal on the Mississippi River; provides machine shop services, gear and engine repairs, and repair services of barges and towboats; and has a 24-hour shore side tanking business. The Shipping Services business unit is involved in owning and operating equipment engaged in oil transportation, bunkering, harbor towing, LNG terminal support, short sea shipping and logistics, and third-party ship management services. The Other business unit s activities include emergency preparedness and crisis response management services to oil, chemical, and marine transportation clients, as well as government agencies in the United States and internationally; agricultural commodity trading and logistics primarily focusing on the origination, trading, and merchandising of sugar, rice, and industrial salt; and an ethanol and industrial alcohol storage and distribution facility. The company was formerly known as SEACOR SMIT Inc. and changed its name to SEACOR Holdings Inc. in March 2004. SEACOR Holdings Inc. was founded in 1989 and is based in Fort Lauderdale, Florida.

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of CKH expected to move up in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Broadening Continuation' pattern. Specifically, a ACT EOD variant of Broadening Continuation has been detected. The target is $71.36. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when CKH closes above $86.02, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of CKH considerably higher.
  • VALUATION CKH has a current calculated value of $85.00 which means the stock is undervalued compared to its price of $78.54.

Predictive Range February 26, 2013 - March 09, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$69.31 - $71.36

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Seacor Smit Inc. (NYSE: CKH) is predicted to go up in coming weeks based on bullish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. CKH has demonstrated Broadening Continuation strategy ACT EOD with a strength of 3.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of CKH expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'ACT EOD' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a ACT EOD variant of Broadening Continuation has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that CKH will move up in the coming weeks.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for CKH is 86.02.

This means that when CKH closes above $86.02, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of CKH considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2014-05-31 645301 51583555.0972 79.9372
2014-04-30 719546 61114063.8732 84.9342
2014-03-31 690363 59801176.0764 86.6228
2014-02-28 829225 69841061.0125 84.2245
2014-01-31 1128818 97694569.7462 86.5459
2013-12-31 485513 44386957.8964 91.4228
2013-11-30 1253069 117251044.706 93.5711
2013-10-31 1103044 103784968.742 94.0896
2013-09-30 490242 43627370.943 88.9915
2013-08-31 55517 4857809.6721 87.5013
2013-07-31 98972 8295872.6288 83.8204
2013-06-30 903066 72699070.665 80.5025
2013-05-31 693861 52873179.6054 76.2014
2013-04-30 1175393 85661936.6042 72.8794
2013-03-31 277040 19189203.304 69.2651
2013-02-28 295107 21454308.4107 72.7001
2013-01-31 1126197 97450389.5085 86.5305
2012-12-31 1586923 137732221.016 86.792
2012-11-30 377458 32422887.284 85.898
2012-10-31 84305 7277907.3315 86.3283

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused CKH's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused CKH's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2014-05-23 0.42 48698 81795 -33097 Bullish Bias
2014-05-22 0.48 57477 42799 14678 305.7916667
2014-05-21 0.76 57671 29920 27751 365.1447368
2014-05-20 -1.8 56497 27880 28617 Bearish Bias
2014-05-19 0.63 35211 33873 1338 21.23809524
2014-05-16 0.75 55615 29375 26240 349.8666667
2014-05-15 -0.81 52907 34688 18219 Bearish Bias
2014-05-14 -1.45 44016 36325 7691 Bearish Bias
2014-05-13 -0.25 43047 48079 -5032 -201.28
2014-05-12 1.37 50876 25935 24941 182.0510949
2014-05-09 0.11 42670 43051 -381 Bullish Bias
2014-05-08 -1.29 82317 109165 -26848 -208.124031
2014-05-07 -0.25 47308 50313 -3005 -120.2
2014-05-06 -1.12 27380 44682 -17302 -154.4821429
2014-05-05 -0.68 17520 20230 -2710 -39.85294118
2014-05-02 -0.16 32560 17575 14985 Bearish Bias
2014-05-01 -1.37 55297 65184 -9887 -72.16788321
2014-04-30 -0.15 65469 35378 30091 Bearish Bias
2014-04-29 1.8 74524 148232 -73708 Bullish Bias
2014-04-28 -1.51 73992 36423 37569 Bearish Bias

Valuation

 

Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. CKH has a current value of 85.0 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $78.54 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease.

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.14 73.22 9094 472 95.07%
SqueezeTrigger 12.746 22.38 7780 471 94.29%
Group Correlation 7.358 15.0 1309 86 93.84%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.455 15.2 42634 4138 91.15%
PatternScan 8.448 11.36 133678 19298 87.38%
Events 6.937 11.19 3396 544 86.19%
GATS 5.386 7.94 45118 8572 84.03%
Earnings 8.677 10.28 21694 4355 83.28%
Naked Shorts 14.525 10.84 2232 589 79.12%
Friction Factor 7.506 3.63 5606 1607 77.72%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$78.54
52 Week Range$77.51 - $99.00
1 Month Range$78.28 - $83.88
Avg Daily Volume105500.0
PE Ratio24.02
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2014(E)$3.376
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding20MM
Market Capitalization$1686.00MM
 
 

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