Market Read®

  • Monday, August 29 2016

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between February 26, 2013 and March 09, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: CKH)

Seacor Smit Inc.


Bullish

SEACOR Holdings Inc. owns, operates, invests, and markets equipment in the offshore oil and gas, shipping, and logistics industries worldwide. The company s Offshore Marine Services segment operates support vessels to deliver cargo and personnel to offshore installations; handles anchors and mooring equipment; and carries and launches remote operated vehicles, as well as provides tow rigs. This segment also provides accommodations for technicians and specialists, as well as standby safety support and emergency response services; and operates lift boats supporting well intervention, work-over, decommissioning, and diving operations, as well as operates vessels used to move personnel and supplies to offshore wind farms. Its Inland River Services segment operates river transportation equipment for moving agricultural and industrial commodities, and petroleum products; and operates and invests in multi-modal terminal facilities, as well as operates barge fleeting locations, service facilities, and transshipment terminal. The company s Shipping Services segment owns product tankers for the United States coastwise trade of crude oil, petroleum, and chemical products, as well as provides harbor tugs servicing vessels docking; and offers liner and short-sea transportation services. This segment is also involved in the terminal support and bunkering, and articulated tug and dry-bulk barge operations, as well as offers offshore tug and technical ship management services. Its Illinois Corn Processing segment produces alcohol used in the food, beverage, industrial, and petrochemical markets; dried distillers grains with solubles; and non-food grade corn oil for feedstock in biodiesel production. The company s Other segment engages in emergency and crisis, agricultural commodity trading and logistics, and lending and leasing activities, as well as provides industrial aviation services. SEACOR Holdings Inc. was founded in 1989 and is based in Fort Lauderdale, Florida.

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of CKH expected to move up in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Broadening Continuation' pattern. Specifically, a ACT EOD variant of Broadening Continuation has been detected. The target is $71.36. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when CKH closes above $63.57, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of CKH considerably higher.
  • VALUATION CKH has a current calculated value of $85.00 which means the stock is undervalued compared to its price of $59.58.

Predictive Range February 26, 2013 - March 09, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$69.31 - $71.36

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Seacor Smit Inc. (NYSE: CKH) is predicted to go up in coming weeks based on bullish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. CKH has demonstrated Broadening Continuation strategy ACT EOD with a strength of 3.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of CKH expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'ACT EOD' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a ACT EOD variant of Broadening Continuation has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that CKH will move up in the coming weeks.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for CKH is 63.57.

This means that when CKH closes above $63.57, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of CKH considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2016-05-31 460895 26226400.364 56.9032
2016-04-30 410566 21573518.9228 52.5458
2016-03-31 962716 48821253.792 50.712
2016-02-29 900699 40402204.6935 44.8565
2016-01-31 1000187 45658436.5313 45.6499
2015-12-31 1107367 60074549.0133 54.2499
2015-11-30 310143 17943447.3222 57.8554
2015-10-31 863115 53775344.337 62.3038
2015-09-30 1050187 64900086.3382 61.7986
2015-08-31 815315 50602280.8805 62.0647
2015-07-31 1075972 70311434.6868 65.3469
2015-06-30 704437 50007771.2989 70.9897
2015-05-31 627574 45455937.9088 72.4312
2015-04-30 801379 58349687.1964 72.8116
2015-03-31 746939 52094438.9221 69.7439
2015-02-28 460609 33991700.5557 73.7973
2015-01-31 708487 50627559.9869 71.4587
2014-12-31 1453697 103214667.545 71.0015
2014-11-30 843831 64835248.5864 76.8344
2014-10-31 1284313 98433729.6903 76.6431

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused CKH's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused CKH's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2016-05-06 -0.06 54564 50130 4434 Bearish Bias
2016-05-05 -0.39 44252 37351 6901 Bearish Bias
2016-05-04 -0.26 49522 27523 21999 Bearish Bias
2016-05-03 -1.21 35685 21508 14177 Bearish Bias
2016-05-02 -0.88 50917 36190 14727 Bearish Bias
2016-04-29 0.83 46881 27737 19144 230.6506024
2016-04-28 1.09 41122 53419 -12297 Bullish Bias
2016-04-27 -0.48 44103 38276 5827 Bearish Bias
2016-04-26 -0.01 35661 34249 1412 Bearish Bias
2016-04-25 -0.73 29144 53020 -23876 -327.0684932
2016-04-22 1.34 42638 23016 19622 146.4328358
2016-04-21 -0.66 45157 37443 7714 Bearish Bias
2016-04-20 0.23 23190 23703 -513 Bullish Bias
2016-04-19 1.11 23658 20878 2780 25.04504505
2016-04-18 1.72 34869 20751 14118 82.08139535
2016-04-15 -0.88 45201 51618 -6417 -72.92045455
2016-04-14 -0.04 89985 46396 43589 Bearish Bias
2016-04-13 0.92 48937 29277 19660 213.6956522
2016-04-12 1.38 39892 36964 2928 21.2173913
2016-04-11 0.73 31043 36121 -5078 Bullish Bias

Valuation

 

Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. CKH has a current value of 85.0 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $59.58 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease.

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 18.114 83.02 16156 799 95.29%
SqueezeTrigger 14.952 21.71 11316 882 92.77%
Valuation 19.577 27.08 4010 317 92.67%
Seasonality 11.091 15.22 59183 6702 89.83%
Group Correlation 8.29 15.21 12548 1541 89.06%
PatternScan 12.218 11.44 241273 38838 86.13%
Events 9.848 11.18 4663 826 84.95%
GATS 8.706 7.88 88311 20814 80.93%
Earnings 12.955 10.44 24152 5876 80.43%
Naked Shorts 19.974 10.96 2853 784 78.44%
Friction Factor 10.706 3.62 8385 2576 76.50%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$59.58
52 Week Range$77.51 - $99.00
1 Month Range$77.76 - $83.88
Avg Daily Volume113405.0
PE Ratio23.34
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2016(E)$3.376
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding20MM
Market Capitalization$1614.00MM
 
 

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