Market Read®

  • Thursday, September 03 2015

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between February 26, 2013 and March 09, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: ATLS)

Atlas Energy Llc


Bullish

Atlas Energy Group, LLC, through its subsidiary, Atlas Resource Partners, L.P., develops and produces natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids in the United States. It operates through three segments: ARP, New Atlas, and corporate and other. The company has interests in oil and natural gas properties in the Eagle Ford Shale in South Central Atascosa County, Texas, including 4,000 operated gross acres and net reserves of 12 million barrels of oil equivalent. As of December 31, 2014, it had interests in approximately 600 wells in the Arkoma Basin in eastern Oklahoma with average daily production of 5.1 million cubic feet equivalent. The company is also involved in the terminalling, storage, throughput, and transloading of crude oil and petroleum products in the East Coast, Gulf Coast, and Midwest regions. Atlas Energy Group, LLC was founded in 2011 and is based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of ATLS expected to move up in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Broadening Continuation' pattern. Specifically, a Breakout (Stocks) DO variant of Broadening Continuation has been detected. The target is $42.68. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when ATLS closes above $34.67, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of ATLS considerably higher.
  • VALUATION ATLS has a current calculated value of $40.00 which means the stock is undervalued compared to its price of $3.15.

Predictive Range February 26, 2013 - March 09, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$41.05 - $42.68

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Atlas Energy Llc (NYSE: ATLS) is predicted to go up in coming weeks based on bullish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. ATLS has demonstrated Broadening Continuation strategy Breakout (Stocks) DO with a strength of 5.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of ATLS expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'Breakout (Stocks) DO' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a Breakout (Stocks) DO variant of Broadening Continuation has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that ATLS will move up in the coming weeks.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for ATLS is 34.67.

This means that when ATLS closes above $34.67, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of ATLS considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2014-11-30 812366 29856562.6516 36.7526
2014-10-31 4236130 162979171.168 38.4736
2014-09-30 1138837 50770492.297 44.581
2014-08-31 2247775 99192512.53 44.1292
2014-07-31 1726113 78351376.0734 45.3918
2014-06-30 1841476 78417598.1316 42.5841
2014-05-31 1171668 48546540.4116 41.4337
2014-04-30 3108305 129276269.933 41.5906
2014-03-31 1955587 82366391.0595 42.1185
2014-02-28 1469229 65911376.0148 44.8612
2014-01-31 1356523 62732677.4396 46.2452
2013-12-31 1365971 60618787.8438 44.3778
2013-11-30 2071999 96342566.3026 46.4974
2013-10-31 2803018 138707065.428 49.4849
2013-09-30 732470 37480343.406 51.1698
2013-08-31 793173 40663600.191 51.267
2013-07-31 1106042 54626308.338 49.389
2013-06-30 945592 46910346.324 49.6095
2013-05-31 997575 51513575.91 51.6388
2013-04-30 847526 38778213.1196 45.7546

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused ATLS's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused ATLS's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2014-11-14 -0.21 163862 114679 49183 Bearish Bias
2014-11-13 -0.59 87237 95867 -8630 -146.2711864
2014-11-12 -0.31 76358 108368 -32010 -1032.580645
2014-11-11 0.21 78290 92561 -14271 Bullish Bias
2014-11-10 -0.45 128492 174732 -46240 -1027.555556
2014-11-07 1.48 171075 147247 23828 161
2014-11-06 -0.99 147042 136453 10589 Bearish Bias
2014-11-05 0.33 103404 133132 -29728 Bullish Bias
2014-11-04 -1.62 173879 182475 -8596 -53.0617284
2014-11-03 0.59 186980 190661 -3681 Bullish Bias
2014-10-31 -0.92 256528 264797 -8269 -89.88043478
2014-10-30 -0.5 157111 528693 -371582 -7431.64
2014-10-29 -0.13 135461 154761 -19300 -1484.615385
2014-10-28 0.15 170215 166062 4153 276.8666667
2014-10-27 -0.64 271203 299064 -27861 -435.328125
2014-10-24 0.52 207147 196048 11099 213.4423077
2014-10-23 -0.32 169533 168953 580 Bearish Bias
2014-10-22 -1.19 187474 190911 -3437 -28.88235294
2014-10-21 0.13 292294 202695 89599 6892.230769
2014-10-20 0.02 346099 221317 124782 62391

Valuation

 

Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. ATLS has a current value of 40.0 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $3.15 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease.

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 16.409 81.71 13011 587 95.68%
SqueezeTrigger 12.487 21.7 9758 681 93.48%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.297 15.23 52852 4967 91.41%
Group Correlation 6.651 14.4 7044 851 89.22%
PatternScan 8.448 11.43 196438 29389 86.99%
Events 6.845 11.28 4264 656 86.67%
Earnings 8.511 10.33 24462 4901 83.31%
GATS 5.411 7.9 68964 14149 82.98%
Naked Shorts 13.825 10.99 2762 708 79.60%
Friction Factor 6.985 3.64 7411 2112 77.82%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$3.15
52 Week Range$38.27 - $55.89
1 Month Range$42.40 - $46.48
Avg Daily Volume431340.0
PE Ratio0.0
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2015(E)$-1.492
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding51MM
Market Capitalization$2216.00MM
 
 

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