Market Read®

  • Thursday, July 10 2014

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between February 26, 2013 and March 09, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: ATLS)

Atlas Energy Llc


Bullish

Atlas Energy, L.P. engages in the development and production of natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids in basins across the United States. It also sponsors and manages tax-advantaged natural gas and oil investment partnerships. In addition, the company is involved in the provision of natural gas gathering, processing, and treating services in the Anandarko and Permian Basins of the United States, as well as in the Appalachian Basin in the Northeastern region of the United States; and natural gas liquids transportation services throughout the Southwestern region of the United States. As of December 31, 2012, it had ownership interests in 525 wells in the Barnett Shale and Marble Falls play located in the Fort Worth Basin in Northern Texas; 10,200 wells in the Marcellus Shale and the Utica Shale in the Appalachian basin; the Mississippi Lime and Hunton plays in Northwestern Oklahoma; and the Chattanooga Shale in Northeastern Tennessee, the Niobrara Shale in Northeastern Colorado, the New Albany Shale in Southwestern Indiana, and the Antrim Shale in Michigan. The company had estimated proved reserves of 723.4 billion cubic feet equivalent (Bcfe); proved undeveloped reserves of approximately 317.0 Bcfe of natural gas, oil, and NGLs; operated 12 natural gas processing plants with aggregate capacity of approximately 1,090 MMcfd; and 10,100 miles of active natural gas gathering systems located in Oklahoma, Kansas, Tennessee, and Texas. Atlas Energy GP, LLC serves as a general partner of Atlas Energy, L.P. The company was formerly known as Atlas Pipeline Holdings, L.P. and changed its name to Atlas Energy, L.P. in February 2011. Atlas Energy, L.P. is based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of ATLS expected to move up in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Broadening Continuation' pattern. Specifically, a Breakout (Stocks) DO variant of Broadening Continuation has been detected. The target is $42.68. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when ATLS closes above $34.24, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of ATLS considerably higher.

Predictive Range February 26, 2013 - March 09, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$41.05 - $42.68

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Atlas Energy Llc (NYSE: ATLS) is predicted to go up in coming weeks based on bullish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. ATLS has demonstrated Broadening Continuation strategy Breakout (Stocks) DO with a strength of 5.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of ATLS expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'Breakout (Stocks) DO' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a Breakout (Stocks) DO variant of Broadening Continuation has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that ATLS will move up in the coming weeks.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for ATLS is 34.24.

This means that when ATLS closes above $34.24, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of ATLS considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2014-05-31 1171668 48546540.4116 41.4337
2014-04-30 3108305 129276269.933 41.5906
2014-03-31 1955587 82366391.0595 42.1185
2014-02-28 1469229 65911376.0148 44.8612
2014-01-31 1356523 62732677.4396 46.2452
2013-12-31 1365971 60618787.8438 44.3778
2013-11-30 2071999 96342566.3026 46.4974
2013-10-31 2803018 138707065.428 49.4849
2013-09-30 732470 37480343.406 51.1698
2013-08-31 793173 40663600.191 51.267
2013-07-31 1106042 54626308.338 49.389
2013-06-30 945592 46910346.324 49.6095
2013-05-31 997575 51513575.91 51.6388
2013-04-30 847526 38778213.1196 45.7546
2013-03-31 1055314 45330274.1502 42.9543
2013-02-28 947572 36589639.9652 38.6141
2013-01-31 289722 10277858.9778 35.4749
2012-12-31 817467 27211105.7757 33.2871
2012-11-30 152034 5225074.1052 34.3678
2012-10-31 710742 25179172.5372 35.4266

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused ATLS's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused ATLS's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2014-05-20 -0.62 141723 128693 13030 Bearish Bias
2014-05-19 -0.15 79288 76356 2932 Bearish Bias
2014-05-16 0.04 122485 118773 3712 928
2014-05-15 -0.68 182823 175205 7618 Bearish Bias
2014-05-14 -0.42 105428 144651 -39223 -933.8809524
2014-05-13 0.19 69877 132490 -62613 Bullish Bias
2014-05-12 0.08 158360 163021 -4661 Bullish Bias
2014-05-09 -1.79 180638 213387 -32749 -182.9553073
2014-05-08 -1.22 160449 168645 -8196 -67.18032787
2014-05-07 1.19 269029 224611 44418 373.2605042
2014-05-06 -0.1 204748 233200 -28452 -2845.2
2014-05-05 0.3 254084 194624 59460 1982
2014-05-02 0.6 226380 139773 86607 1443.45
2014-05-01 0.18 193499 269857 -76358 Bullish Bias
2014-04-30 -0.18 54633 56773 -2140 -118.8888889
2014-04-29 0.39 89336 76184 13152 337.2307692
2014-04-28 -0.13 1174473 82884 1091589 Bearish Bias
2014-04-25 -0.73 258159 258749 -590 -8.082191781
2014-04-24 0.54 455991 479053 -23062 Bullish Bias
2014-04-23 0.16 145188 360364 -215176 Bullish Bias

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.127 73.12 9082 474 95.04%
SqueezeTrigger 12.737 22.37 7779 472 94.28%
Group Correlation 7.346 14.96 1308 88 93.70%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.458 15.2 42589 4126 91.17%
PatternScan 8.448 11.37 133305 19233 87.39%
Events 6.942 11.19 3387 543 86.18%
GATS 5.388 7.95 45028 8523 84.08%
Earnings 8.681 10.28 21679 4349 83.29%
Naked Shorts 14.491 10.83 2233 589 79.13%
Friction Factor 7.503 3.63 5599 1602 77.75%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$43.15
52 Week Range$38.27 - $55.89
1 Month Range$39.82 - $46.48
Avg Daily Volume456530.0
PE Ratio0.0
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2014(E)$-1.492
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding51MM
Market Capitalization$2367.00MM
 
 

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