Market Read®

  • Monday, April 27 2015

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between February 26, 2013 and February 28, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: ADC)

Agree Realty Corp.


Bullish

Agree Realty Corporation, a real estate investment trust (REIT), engages in the ownership, development, acquisition, and management of retail properties, which are primarily leased to national and regional retail companies in the United States. As of December 31, 2009, its portfolio consisted of 73 properties, including 61 freestanding net leased properties and 12 community shopping centers located in 16 states containing approximately 3.5 million square feet of gross leasable area. The company has elected to be treated as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code. As a REIT, the company is not subject to federal income tax to the extent that it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. Agree Realty Corporation was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Farmington Hills, Michigan.

Investment Highlights

  • EARNINGS predicts that ADC will move up 1.99% by February 28, 2013. The target is $28.72. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when ADC closes above $25.98, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of ADC considerably higher.

Predictive Range February 27, 2013 - February 28, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$28.16 - $28.72

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Earnings

 

Predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after earnings reports.

The movement of stock prices in the days and weeks leading to and following these earnings announcements may follow a predictable pattern. Most companies stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings dates. But some seem to repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. The # of Reports in the table below shows how many previous quarterly reports comprise the indicator that predicts how a stock will act after its earnings are released.
Earnings, or profits, drive stock prices. The market values a company based on its current and anticipated future ability to make money. The market takes the earnings pulse of a company four times per year when quarterly reports are issued. When this information is released it can often be a trend-changing or a trend confirming event because the information is so vital to the market's perception of the vitality of that company.
This technology is designed to help the stock trader identify those companies that seem to have a consistent pattern of movement before or after the earnings release date, based on the history

  • ADC, currently trading around 31.65 expected to hit $28.72.
  • The price of ADC tends to move up after earnings report dates.
  • Of the previous 6 earnings releases, ADC has moved up 67% of the time.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for ADC is 25.98.

This means that when ADC closes above $25.98, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of ADC considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2015-02-28 25416 870851.2824 34.2639
2015-01-31 455683 14766772.1614 32.4058
2014-12-31 149485 4570459.0295 30.5747
2014-11-30 83732 2566117.8576 30.6468
2014-10-31 200107 5693144.2035 28.4505
2014-09-30 246433 7008382.0169 28.4393
2014-08-31 108707 3211215.6507 29.5401
2014-07-31 100950 3043672.785 30.1503
2014-06-30 95073 2883526.0608 30.3296
2014-05-31 117251 3510917.0436 29.9436
2014-04-30 83368 2523649.4016 30.2712
2014-03-31 57952 1802851.9488 31.1094
2014-02-28 195405 5739357.498 29.3716
2014-01-31 216573 6244969.0842 28.8354
2013-12-31 240070 6823509.61 28.423
2013-11-30 38292 1214622.24 31.72
2013-10-31 24296 738719.88 30.405
2013-09-30 279885 8039892.5445 28.7257
2013-08-31 98860 2937585.356 29.7146
2013-07-31 531034 16587962.1614 31.2371

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused ADC's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused ADC's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2015-02-03 0.21 102396 82328 20068 955.6190476
2015-02-02 -0.51 25289 45195 -19906 -390.3137255
2015-01-30 -0.73 58052 32263 25789 Bearish Bias
2015-01-29 0.23 64959 64067 892 38.7826087
2015-01-28 -0.14 55630 60842 -5212 -372.2857143
2015-01-27 0.04 52035 76470 -24435 Bullish Bias
2015-01-26 -0.23 73106 64198 8908 Bearish Bias
2015-01-23 0.38 170529 157228 13301 350.0263158
2015-01-22 1.29 61571 82138 -20567 Bullish Bias
2015-01-21 0.25 30698 18874 11824 472.96
2015-01-20 -0.21 59475 42953 16522 Bearish Bias
2015-01-16 0.6 43506 36749 6757 112.6166667
2015-01-15 0.33 42333 31055 11278 341.7575758
2015-01-14 0.63 96136 108900 -12764 Bullish Bias
2015-01-13 0.09 183682 255748 -72066 Bullish Bias
2015-01-12 -0.18 120813 155071 -34258 -1903.222222
2015-01-09 -0.23 65143 100141 -34998 -1521.652174
2015-01-08 0.11 84326 98627 -14301 Bullish Bias
2015-01-07 0.37 18656 30082 -11426 Bullish Bias
2015-01-06 0.2 31604 90420 -58816 Bullish Bias

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.902 78.42 11646 561 95.40%
SqueezeTrigger 12.615 22.07 9257 591 94.00%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.31 15.19 50087 4722 91.38%
Group Correlation 6.508 14.88 4315 447 90.61%
PatternScan 8.53 11.49 181398 26617 87.20%
Events 6.898 11.26 4058 625 86.65%
Earnings 8.527 10.31 23691 4763 83.26%
GATS 5.38 7.87 61795 12630 83.03%
Naked Shorts 13.902 10.95 2668 692 79.40%
Friction Factor 7.155 3.63 6877 1974 77.70%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$31.65
52 Week Range$26.58 - $32.94
1 Month Range$29.70 - $30.96
Avg Daily Volume45750.0
PE Ratio20.74
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2015(E)$1.457
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding14MM
Market Capitalization$446.10MM
 
 

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