Market Read®

  • Sunday, December 04 2016

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between February 26, 2013 and February 28, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: ADC)

Agree Realty Corp.


Bullish

Agree Realty Corporation, a real estate investment trust (REIT), engages in the ownership, development, acquisition, and management of retail properties, which are primarily leased to national and regional retail companies in the United States. As of December 31, 2009, its portfolio consisted of 73 properties, including 61 freestanding net leased properties and 12 community shopping centers located in 16 states containing approximately 3.5 million square feet of gross leasable area. The company has elected to be treated as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code. As a REIT, the company is not subject to federal income tax to the extent that it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. Agree Realty Corporation was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Farmington Hills, Michigan.

Investment Highlights

  • EARNINGS predicts that ADC will move up 1.99% by February 28, 2013. The target is $28.72. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when ADC closes above $31.84, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of ADC considerably higher.

Predictive Range February 27, 2013 - February 28, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$28.16 - $28.72

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Earnings

 

Predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after earnings reports.

The movement of stock prices in the days and weeks leading to and following these earnings announcements may follow a predictable pattern. Most companies stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings dates. But some seem to repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. The # of Reports in the table below shows how many previous quarterly reports comprise the indicator that predicts how a stock will act after its earnings are released.
Earnings, or profits, drive stock prices. The market values a company based on its current and anticipated future ability to make money. The market takes the earnings pulse of a company four times per year when quarterly reports are issued. When this information is released it can often be a trend-changing or a trend confirming event because the information is so vital to the market's perception of the vitality of that company.
This technology is designed to help the stock trader identify those companies that seem to have a consistent pattern of movement before or after the earnings release date, based on the history

  • ADC, currently trading around 44.56 expected to hit $28.72.
  • The price of ADC tends to move up after earnings report dates.
  • Of the previous 6 earnings releases, ADC has moved up 67% of the time.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for ADC is 31.84.

This means that when ADC closes above $31.84, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of ADC considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2016-10-31 2652939 126251775.247 47.5894
2016-09-30 2117428 102413640.076 48.367
2016-08-31 1165199 56569945.3704 48.5496
2016-07-31 1481134 73260146.1348 49.4622
2016-06-30 2130037 95825252.5412 44.9876
2016-05-31 3262001 137624800.79 42.1903
2016-04-30 1434207 56217042.0411 39.1973
2016-03-31 1482768 56136855.096 37.8595
2016-02-29 1297393 48039868.004 37.028
2016-01-31 51865 1754452.9145 33.8273
2015-12-31 304710 10120241.817 33.2127
2015-11-30 245615 8053200.0585 32.7879
2015-10-31 87869 2661912.2729 30.2941
2015-09-30 132467 3740113.0181 28.2343
2015-08-31 280397 8261280.7316 29.4628
2015-07-31 233300 7128948.1 30.557
2015-06-30 385085 11603535.254 30.1324
2015-05-31 272786 8405027.6748 30.8118
2015-04-30 227135 7295621.627 32.1202
2015-03-31 212082 7036371.7632 33.1776

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused ADC's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused ADC's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2016-10-27 -1.85 217416 222843 -5427 -29.33513514
2016-10-26 0.7 554068 380184 173884 2484.057143
2016-10-25 0.32 45101 62216 -17115 Bullish Bias
2016-10-24 0.27 29446 19132 10314 382
2016-10-21 -0.2 17951 62274 -44323 -2216.15
2016-10-20 0.21 52639 68996 -16357 Bullish Bias
2016-10-19 0.35 35401 40953 -5552 Bullish Bias
2016-10-18 0.2 63993 59230 4763 238.15
2016-10-17 0.57 64149 38188 25961 455.4561404
2016-10-14 -0.28 114998 100561 14437 Bearish Bias
2016-10-13 0.18 101325 153228 -51903 Bullish Bias
2016-10-12 0.66 72166 100347 -28181 Bullish Bias
2016-10-11 -0.05 81635 69592 12043 Bearish Bias
2016-10-10 0.56 26837 21364 5473 97.73214286
2016-10-07 0.11 35580 72570 -36990 Bullish Bias
2016-10-06 0.18 99201 60337 38864 2159.111111
2016-10-05 -1.91 108819 84480 24339 Bearish Bias
2016-10-04 -1.04 59470 70270 -10800 -103.8461538
2016-10-03 -1.05 94733 66225 28508 Bearish Bias
2016-09-30 -0.2 97897 178224 -80327 -4016.35

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 25.483 1.43 9802 205 97.95%
SqueezeTrigger 33.1 0.97 4854 222 95.63%
Seasonality 17.036 1.22 20080 1178 94.46%
Group Correlation 11.122 1.43 10508 732 93.49%
Events 19.564 1.15 1455 146 90.88%
PatternScan 33.673 1.41 120222 12684 90.46%
GATS 21.358 1.41 48568 8155 85.62%
Naked Shorts 47.39 1.5 1096 226 82.90%
Friction Factor 528.887 0.69 2545 616 80.51%
Earnings 15.327 1.02 2519 620 80.25%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$44.56
52 Week Range$26.58 - $32.94
1 Month Range$29.70 - $30.96
Avg Daily Volume45750.0
PE Ratio20.74
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2016(E)$1.457
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding14MM
Market Capitalization$446.10MM
 
 

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