Market Read®

  • Sunday, July 13 2014

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between March 14, 2013 and March 27, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NASDAQ: KERX)

Keryx Biopharmaceuticals


Bullish

Keryx Biopharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the acquisition, development, and commercialization of pharmaceutical products for the treatment of renal disease in the United States. It is developing Zerenex (ferric citrate), an oral, ferric iron-based compound that has the capacity to bind to phosphate in the gastrointestinal tract and form non-absorbable complexes. The company has completed Phase III clinical program for Zerenex for the treatment of hyperphosphatemia (elevated phosphate levels) in patients with end-stage renal disease on dialysis. Zerenex is also in Phase II development for the management of phosphorus and iron deficiency in anemic patients with stages three to five non-dialysis dependent chronic kidney diseases. The company has sublicense agreements with Japan Tobacco Inc. and Torii Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. for the development and commercialization of Zerenex in Japan. It also has strategic alliances with Panion & BF Biotech, Inc.; Japan Tobacco Inc.; and Torii Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. Keryx Biopharmaceuticals, Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Investment Highlights

  • EARNINGS predicts that KERX will move up 19.24% by March 13, 2013. The target is $7.89. more
  • EARNINGS predicts that KERX will move up 19.24% by March 20, 2013. The target is $8.38. more
  • SEASONALITY expects the price of KERX expected to move up to $7.91 by March 27, 2013. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when KERX closes above $5.68, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of KERX considerably higher.

Predictive Range February 27, 2013 - March 27, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$6.97 - $8.06

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Earnings

 

Predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after earnings reports.

The movement of stock prices in the days and weeks leading to and following these earnings announcements may follow a predictable pattern. Most companies stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings dates. But some seem to repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. The # of Reports in the table below shows how many previous quarterly reports comprise the indicator that predicts how a stock will act after its earnings are released.
Earnings, or profits, drive stock prices. The market values a company based on its current and anticipated future ability to make money. The market takes the earnings pulse of a company four times per year when quarterly reports are issued. When this information is released it can often be a trend-changing or a trend confirming event because the information is so vital to the market's perception of the vitality of that company.
This technology is designed to help the stock trader identify those companies that seem to have a consistent pattern of movement before or after the earnings release date, based on the history

  • KERX, currently trading around 14.91 expected to hit $7.89.
  • The price of KERX tends to move up after earnings report dates.
  • Of the previous 6 earnings releases, KERX has moved up 67% of the time.

Seasonality

 

Predicts probability and percentage of stock movements based on seasonal factors.

Keryx Biopharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: KERX) is predicted to go up in coming weeks based on bullish trends that appear around this time of the year. By identifying stocks that are poised to go up or down based on seasonal tendencies, traders can increase their odds of making money. KERX, currently trading at 14.91 expected to hit $7.91 by March 27, 2013.

  • The price of KERX expected to move up to $7.91 by March 27, 2013.
  • Expected gain of 9.14% from price at time of prediction (7.25).
  • This pattern has held 11.0 of the last 12.0 seasonal periods. (91.67%)

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for KERX is 5.68.

This means that when KERX closes above $5.68, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of KERX considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2014-03-31 7234201 112146030.742 15.5022
2014-02-28 11310654 174420464.269 15.4209
2014-01-31 21354385 309512591.628 14.4941
2013-12-31 13972209 184387050.51 13.1967
2013-11-30 19456395 252761918.724 12.9912
2013-10-31 19025711 197720896.425 10.3923
2013-09-30 9085667 87597641.2471 9.6413
2013-08-31 8556824 75481455.8688 8.8212
2013-07-31 10756665 91915702.425 8.545
2013-06-30 14974111 114250969.519 7.6299
2013-05-31 10685995 86544804.9055 8.0989
2013-04-30 15780737 123810928.281 7.8457
2013-03-31 5681658 39096056.8638 6.8811
2013-02-28 23230196 164688151.522 7.0894
2013-01-31 70486954 475392212.558 6.7444
2012-12-31 6832352 18935180.3328 2.7714
2012-11-30 5674152 15262901.4648 2.6899
2012-10-31 5687970 15809143.818 2.7794
2012-09-30 3280453 7399061.7415 2.2555
2012-08-31 4072890 8050067.085 1.9765

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused KERX's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused KERX's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2014-03-27 0.34 3468459 3240256 228203 6711.852941
2014-03-26 2.45 8390415 7608984 781431 3189.514286
2014-03-25 -0.02 1113148 920901 192247 Bearish Bias
2014-03-24 -0.73 2095882 2267594 -171712 -2352.219178
2014-03-21 -0.17 2595342 1237488 1357854 Bearish Bias
2014-03-20 -0.24 618329 773348 -155019 -6459.125
2014-03-19 -0.22 619049 763683 -144634 -6574.272727
2014-03-18 0.46 794275 616664 177611 3861.108696
2014-03-17 -0.03 778597 736357 42240 Bearish Bias
2014-03-14 -0.08 1100408 1132328 -31920 -3990
2014-03-13 0.38 2360282 1937868 422414 11116.15789
2014-03-12 0.04 718404 744481 -26077 Bullish Bias
2014-03-11 -0.21 1045750 1185588 -139838 -6658.952381
2014-03-10 -0.28 1400386 1199200 201186 Bearish Bias
2014-03-07 -0.64 2191080 2164500 26580 Bearish Bias
2014-03-06 -0.6 931077 1134613 -203536 -3392.266667
2014-03-05 -0.15 519116 517143 1973 Bearish Bias
2014-03-04 0.55 959745 762046 197699 3594.527273
2014-03-03 0.05 800591 776147 24444 4888.8
2014-02-28 -0.57 1137484 1388176 -250692 -4398.105263

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.14 73.22 9094 472 95.07%
SqueezeTrigger 12.746 22.38 7780 471 94.29%
Group Correlation 7.358 15.0 1309 86 93.84%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.455 15.2 42634 4138 91.15%
PatternScan 8.448 11.36 133678 19298 87.38%
Events 6.937 11.19 3396 544 86.19%
GATS 5.386 7.94 45118 8572 84.03%
Earnings 8.677 10.28 21694 4355 83.28%
Naked Shorts 14.525 10.84 2232 589 79.12%
Friction Factor 7.506 3.63 5606 1607 77.72%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$14.91
52 Week Range$7.93 - $17.46
1 Month Range$13.96 - $16.51
Avg Daily Volume1591455.0
PE Ratio0.0
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2014(E)$-0.696
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding91MM
Market Capitalization$1472.00MM
 
 

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