Market Read®

  • Friday, July 11 2014

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between March 01, 2013 and March 14, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NASDAQ: CAMP)

Calamp


Bearish

CalAmp Corp. develops and markets wireless communications solutions that deliver data, voice, and video for critical networked communication and other applications primarily in the United States. The company s Wireless DataCom segment offers wireless technologies, products, and services for industrial machine-to-machine (M2M) and mobile resource management (MRM) markets for a range of applications. It designs and provides solutions involving various combinations of private and public networks, narrowband and broadband frequencies, licensed and unlicensed radio spectrum, and mobile and fixed-remote communications. This segment also designs and builds multi-network wireless systems that permit first-responder fire, police, and emergency medical services personnel to access data and communicate remotely with colleagues, dispatchers, and back-office databases; and provides various MRM wireless solutions comprising global positioning system location, cellular data modems, and programmable events-based notification firmware as main components that allow customers to know where and how their assets are performing. It sells its products and services for enterprise, utility, and government customers through direct and indirect sales channels. The company s Satellite segment develops, manufactures and sells direct broadcast satellite (DBS) outdoor customer premise equipment and home video networking devices for digital and high definition satellite television reception. Its DBS reception products receive subscription television programming signals transmitted from orbiting satellites. This segment s DBS reception products consist principally of outdoor electronics that receive, process, amplify, and switch satellite television signals for distribution over coaxial cable to multiple set-top boxes inside the home. CalAmp Corp. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Oxnard, California.

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of CAMP expected to move down in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Trend Line Break(4)' pattern. Specifically, a DTM Daily Swing Divergence variant of Trend Line Break(4) has been detected. The target is $10.45. more
  • VALUATION CAMP has a current calculated value of $5.43 which means the stock is overvalued compared to its price of $17.66.

Predictive Range March 01, 2013 - March 14, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$10.95 - $10.45

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Calamp (NASDAQ: CAMP) is predicted to go down in coming weeks based on bearish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. CAMP has demonstrated Trend Line Break(4) strategy DTM Daily Swing Divergence with a strength of 5.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of CAMP expected to move down in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'DTM Daily Swing Divergence' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a DTM Daily Swing Divergence variant of Trend Line Break(4) has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that CAMP will move down in the coming weeks.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for CAMP is 13.91.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2014-03-31 3097918 98112921.8108 31.6706
2014-02-28 767997 21692459.2635 28.2455
2014-01-31 5198652 156410283.128 30.0867
2013-12-31 4128511 107509316.398 26.0407
2013-11-30 1660052 40043774.344 24.122
2013-10-31 3443632 77834003.5536 22.6023
2013-09-30 923994 15857215.4304 17.1616
2013-08-31 1543117 24416431.6676 15.8228
2013-07-31 1644888 25385556.504 15.433
2013-06-30 1894333 25996500.0589 13.7233
2013-05-31 1098526 13056530.773 11.8855
2013-04-30 1409577 14224323.4224 10.0912
2013-03-31 1103312 11995318.3952 10.8721
2013-02-28 3323906 33146987.8038 9.9723
2013-01-31 741636 6219656.1504 8.3864
2012-12-31 177530 1480209.634 8.3378
2012-11-30 491160 4281343.488 8.7168
2012-10-31 1021849 9156073.5947 8.9603
2012-09-30 1163178 9043243.6788 7.7746
2012-08-31 659941 4737188.4862 7.1782

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused CAMP's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused CAMP's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2014-03-26 -1.81 919017 1159391 -240374 -1328.033149
2014-03-25 -0.19 396532 474112 -77580 -4083.157895
2014-03-24 -0.85 605137 709148 -104011 -1223.658824
2014-03-21 -1.94 903563 996396 -92833 -478.5206186
2014-03-20 -0.54 392620 415963 -23343 -432.2777778
2014-03-19 -1.13 452514 607016 -154502 -1367.274336
2014-03-18 -0.77 337734 408037 -70303 -913.025974
2014-03-17 1.2 273446 254736 18710 155.9166667
2014-03-14 -0.86 355489 418165 -62676 -728.7906977
2014-03-13 -0.71 283201 298925 -15724 -221.4647887
2014-03-12 0.28 262687 217951 44736 1597.714286
2014-03-11 -0.67 264425 290457 -26032 -388.5373134
2014-03-10 0.33 197590 174147 23443 710.3939394
2014-03-07 -0.02 195889 256642 -60753 -30376.5
2014-03-06 -0.7 288990 319190 -30200 -431.4285714
2014-03-05 0.49 305040 307528 -2488 Bullish Bias
2014-03-04 1.87 608496 489940 118556 633.9893048
2014-03-03 0.01 371913 373138 -1225 Bullish Bias
2014-02-28 -0.63 292051 331557 -39506 -627.0793651
2014-02-27 0.1 194925 184408 10517 1051.7

Valuation

 

Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. CAMP has a current value of 5.43 per share. Therefore, it is overvalued compared to its Price of $17.66 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease.

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.136 73.18 9093 472 95.07%
SqueezeTrigger 12.738 22.37 7780 473 94.27%
Group Correlation 7.341 14.99 1310 87 93.77%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.459 15.21 42599 4123 91.18%
PatternScan 8.449 11.37 133502 19274 87.38%
Events 6.943 11.2 3389 543 86.19%
GATS 5.387 7.94 45083 8534 84.08%
Earnings 8.678 10.28 21689 4352 83.29%
Naked Shorts 14.518 10.83 2232 589 79.12%
Friction Factor 7.501 3.63 5601 1604 77.74%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$17.66
52 Week Range$14.71 - $34.85
1 Month Range$17.53 - $22.36
Avg Daily Volume1174520.0
PE Ratio58.15
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2014(E)$0.33
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding35MM
Market Capitalization$697.10MM
 
 

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