Market Read®

  • Saturday, July 12 2014

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between March 15, 2013 and April 03, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NASDAQ: FTEK)

Fuel Tech


Bullish

Fuel Tech, Inc. provides engineering solutions for the optimization of combustion systems in utility and industrial applications worldwide. It offers boiler optimization, and air pollution reduction and control solutions. The company operates in two segments, Air Pollution Control Technologies and FUEL CHEM Technologies. The Air Pollution Control Technologies segment includes technologies that reduce NOx emissions in flue gas from boilers, incinerators, furnaces, and other stationary combustion sources. These technologies comprise low- and ultra-low NOx burners, over-fire air systems, NOxOUT and HERT selective non-catalytic reduction systems, and selective catalytic reduction systems. The FUEL CHEM Technologies segment uses chemical processes in combination with CFD and CKM boiler modeling, for the control of slagging, fouling, corrosion, opacity, and other sulfur trioxide-related issues in furnaces and boilers through the addition of chemicals into the furnace using TIFI Targeted In-Furnace Injection technology. The company distributes its products through its direct sales force, licensees, and agents. Fuel Tech, Inc. was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Warrenville, Illinois.

Investment Highlights

  • EARNINGS predicts that FTEK will move up 6.93% by March 20, 2013. The target is $4.74. more
  • EARNINGS predicts that FTEK will move up 6.93% by April 03, 2013. The target is $4.76. more
  • SEASONALITY expects the price of FTEK expected to move up to $4.94 by March 20, 2013. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when FTEK closes above $7.03, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of FTEK considerably higher.
  • VALUATION FTEK has a current calculated value of $8.01 which means the stock is undervalued compared to its price of $5.12.

Predictive Range March 01, 2013 - April 03, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$4.44 - $4.81

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Earnings

 

Predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after earnings reports.

The movement of stock prices in the days and weeks leading to and following these earnings announcements may follow a predictable pattern. Most companies stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings dates. But some seem to repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. The # of Reports in the table below shows how many previous quarterly reports comprise the indicator that predicts how a stock will act after its earnings are released.
Earnings, or profits, drive stock prices. The market values a company based on its current and anticipated future ability to make money. The market takes the earnings pulse of a company four times per year when quarterly reports are issued. When this information is released it can often be a trend-changing or a trend confirming event because the information is so vital to the market's perception of the vitality of that company.
This technology is designed to help the stock trader identify those companies that seem to have a consistent pattern of movement before or after the earnings release date, based on the history

  • FTEK, currently trading around 5.12 expected to hit $4.74.
  • The price of FTEK tends to move up after earnings report dates.
  • Of the previous 5 earnings releases, FTEK has moved up 100% of the time.

Seasonality

 

Predicts probability and percentage of stock movements based on seasonal factors.

Fuel Tech (NASDAQ: FTEK) is predicted to go up in coming weeks based on bullish trends that appear around this time of the year. By identifying stocks that are poised to go up or down based on seasonal tendencies, traders can increase their odds of making money. FTEK, currently trading at 5.12 expected to hit $4.94 by March 20, 2013.

  • The price of FTEK expected to move up to $4.94 by March 20, 2013.
  • Expected gain of 11.50% from price at time of prediction (4.43).
  • This pattern has held 12.0 of the last 13.0 seasonal periods. (92.31%)

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for FTEK is 7.03.

This means that when FTEK closes above $7.03, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of FTEK considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2014-05-31 784518 4965763.5846 6.3297
2014-04-30 1562678 8729431.8436 5.5862
2014-03-31 1398980 9384217.942 6.7079
2014-02-28 2043985 12566624.1785 6.1481
2014-01-31 520116 3703433.9664 7.1204
2013-12-31 2957227 24866730.3976 8.4088
2013-11-30 2585023 15981129.1906 6.1822
2013-10-31 183750 822630.375 4.4769
2013-09-30 429046 1807313.3704 4.2124
2013-08-31 387484 1525563.2564 3.9371
2013-07-31 244576 962284.272 3.9345
2013-06-30 234409 888597.6372 3.7908
2013-05-31 261042 990706.5984 3.7952
2013-04-30 120189 493568.1474 4.1066
2013-03-31 103534 457692.7538 4.4207
2013-02-28 293978 1400569.9876 4.7642
2013-01-31 245627 1114262.3228 4.5364
2012-12-31 37120 139504.384 3.7582
2012-11-30 3000 12150.0 4.05
2012-10-31 110558 452126.941 4.0895

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused FTEK's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused FTEK's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2014-05-22 -0.07 102760 79914 22846 Bearish Bias
2014-05-21 -0.1 62732 65653 -2921 -292.1
2014-05-20 -0.06 58284 63117 -4833 -805.5
2014-05-19 0.11 95555 124205 -28650 Bullish Bias
2014-05-16 -0.15 85426 112300 -26874 -1791.6
2014-05-15 0.16 109144 151634 -42490 Bullish Bias
2014-05-14 0.06 147470 143876 3594 599
2014-05-13 -1.1 466802 625352 -158550 -1441.363636
2014-05-12 0.39 140107 143220 -3113 Bullish Bias
2014-05-09 -0.08 82398 98965 -16567 -2070.875
2014-05-08 -0.15 82928 92268 -9340 -622.6666667
2014-05-07 -0.21 90173 104254 -14081 -670.5238095
2014-05-06 -0.33 109349 158763 -49414 -1497.393939
2014-05-05 0.08 135219 149377 -14158 Bullish Bias
2014-05-02 0.27 190197 191876 -1679 Bullish Bias
2014-05-01 0.22 250882 221962 28920 1314.545455
2014-04-30 0.36 372378 360675 11703 325.0833333
2014-04-29 0.47 538953 386860 152093 3236.021277
2014-04-28 0.0 138301 125902 12399 Bearish Bias
2014-04-25 -0.26 51934 93140 -41206 -1584.846154

Valuation

 

Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. FTEK has a current value of 8.01 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $5.12 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease.

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.14 73.22 9094 472 95.07%
SqueezeTrigger 12.746 22.38 7780 471 94.29%
Group Correlation 7.358 15.0 1309 86 93.84%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.455 15.2 42634 4138 91.15%
PatternScan 8.448 11.36 133678 19298 87.38%
Events 6.937 11.19 3396 544 86.19%
GATS 5.386 7.94 45118 8572 84.03%
Earnings 8.677 10.28 21694 4355 83.28%
Naked Shorts 14.525 10.84 2232 589 79.12%
Friction Factor 7.506 3.63 5606 1607 77.72%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$5.12
52 Week Range$3.63 - $9.63
1 Month Range$5.26 - $6.15
Avg Daily Volume126675.0
PE Ratio30.72
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2014(E)$0.18
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding22MM
Market Capitalization$126.10MM
 
 

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