Market Read®

  • Saturday, April 25 2015

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between March 15, 2013 and April 03, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NASDAQ: FTEK)

Fuel Tech


Bullish

Fuel Tech, Inc. provides boiler optimization, efficiency improvement, and air pollution reduction and control solutions to utility and industrial customers worldwide. The company's Air Pollution Control technology segment reduces nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions in flue gas from boilers, incinerators, furnaces, and other stationary combustion sources by utilizing low and ultra low NOx burners; over-fire air (OFA) systems; NOxOUT and HERT selective non-catalytic reduction systems; advanced selective catalytic reduction (SCR) systems; NOxOUT CASCADE and NOxOUT-SCR processes; ULTRA technology; and ammonia injection grid and graduated straightening grid technologies. Its FUEL CHEM technology segment improves the efficiency, reliability, and environmental status of combustion units by controlling slagging, fouling, corrosion, opacity, and acid plume, as well as the formation of sulfur trioxide, ammonium bisulfate, particulate matter (PM2.5), sulfur dioxide, carbon dioxide, and unburned carbon in fly ash through the addition of chemicals into the furnace using TIFI targeted in-furnace injection technology. This segment offers its FUEL CHEM program for plants operating in the electric utility, industrial, pulp and paper, waste-to-energy, university, and district heating markets, as well as to the owners of boilers, furnaces, and other combustion units. Fuel Tech, Inc. was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Warrenville, Illinois.

Investment Highlights

  • EARNINGS predicts that FTEK will move up 6.93% by March 20, 2013. The target is $4.74. more
  • EARNINGS predicts that FTEK will move up 6.93% by April 03, 2013. The target is $4.76. more
  • SEASONALITY expects the price of FTEK expected to move up to $4.94 by March 20, 2013. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when FTEK closes above $6.86, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of FTEK considerably higher.
  • VALUATION FTEK has a current calculated value of $8.01 which means the stock is undervalued compared to its price of $2.85.

Predictive Range March 01, 2013 - April 03, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$4.44 - $4.81

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Earnings

 

Predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after earnings reports.

The movement of stock prices in the days and weeks leading to and following these earnings announcements may follow a predictable pattern. Most companies stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings dates. But some seem to repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. The # of Reports in the table below shows how many previous quarterly reports comprise the indicator that predicts how a stock will act after its earnings are released.
Earnings, or profits, drive stock prices. The market values a company based on its current and anticipated future ability to make money. The market takes the earnings pulse of a company four times per year when quarterly reports are issued. When this information is released it can often be a trend-changing or a trend confirming event because the information is so vital to the market's perception of the vitality of that company.
This technology is designed to help the stock trader identify those companies that seem to have a consistent pattern of movement before or after the earnings release date, based on the history

  • FTEK, currently trading around 2.85 expected to hit $4.74.
  • The price of FTEK tends to move up after earnings report dates.
  • Of the previous 5 earnings releases, FTEK has moved up 100% of the time.

Seasonality

 

Predicts probability and percentage of stock movements based on seasonal factors.

Fuel Tech (NASDAQ: FTEK) is predicted to go up in coming weeks based on bullish trends that appear around this time of the year. By identifying stocks that are poised to go up or down based on seasonal tendencies, traders can increase their odds of making money. FTEK, currently trading at 2.85 expected to hit $4.94 by March 20, 2013.

  • The price of FTEK expected to move up to $4.94 by March 20, 2013.
  • Expected gain of 11.50% from price at time of prediction (4.43).
  • This pattern has held 12.0 of the last 13.0 seasonal periods. (92.31%)

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for FTEK is 6.86.

This means that when FTEK closes above $6.86, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of FTEK considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2014-11-30 212168 860829.2264 4.0573
2014-10-31 387658 1620022.782 4.179
2014-09-30 869362 3782854.8706 4.3513
2014-08-31 882409 4302626.284 4.876
2014-07-31 589442 3057023.0446 5.1863
2014-06-30 1219421 6939724.911 5.691
2014-05-31 784518 4965763.5846 6.3297
2014-04-30 1562678 8729431.8436 5.5862
2014-03-31 1398980 9384217.942 6.7079
2014-02-28 2043985 12566624.1785 6.1481
2014-01-31 520116 3703433.9664 7.1204
2013-12-31 2957227 24866730.3976 8.4088
2013-11-30 2585023 15981129.1906 6.1822
2013-10-31 183750 822630.375 4.4769
2013-09-30 429046 1807313.3704 4.2124
2013-08-31 387484 1525563.2564 3.9371
2013-07-31 244576 962284.272 3.9345
2013-06-30 234409 888597.6372 3.7908
2013-05-31 261042 990706.5984 3.7952
2013-04-30 120189 493568.1474 4.1066

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused FTEK's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused FTEK's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2014-11-24 -0.13 44581 50372 -5791 -445.4615385
2014-11-21 0.01 16658 15414 1244 1244
2014-11-20 0.03 12811 3982 8829 2943
2014-11-19 -0.01 17797 23377 -5580 -5580
2014-11-18 0.01 35034 33119 1915 1915
2014-11-17 0.25 82614 64891 17723 708.92
2014-11-14 -0.05 36882 47831 -10949 -2189.8
2014-11-13 -0.13 106175 108789 -2614 -201.0769231
2014-11-12 -0.02 45618 45013 605 Bearish Bias
2014-11-11 -0.05 23304 26126 -2822 -564.4
2014-11-10 -0.13 46975 37085 9890 Bearish Bias
2014-11-07 -0.03 79609 96885 -17276 -5758.666667
2014-11-06 0.01 23213 23313 -100 Bullish Bias
2014-11-05 0.04 14374 16378 -2004 Bullish Bias
2014-11-04 -0.04 17429 17409 20 Bearish Bias
2014-11-03 0.08 37422 40056 -2634 Bullish Bias
2014-10-31 0.02 21847 14426 7421 3710.5
2014-10-30 0.05 5381 6580 -1199 Bullish Bias
2014-10-29 -0.07 12100 30263 -18163 -2594.714286
2014-10-28 0.02 43196 32647 10549 5274.5

Valuation

 

Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. FTEK has a current value of 8.01 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $2.85 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease.

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.902 78.42 11646 561 95.40%
SqueezeTrigger 12.615 22.07 9257 591 94.00%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.31 15.19 50087 4722 91.38%
Group Correlation 6.508 14.88 4315 447 90.61%
PatternScan 8.53 11.49 181398 26617 87.20%
Events 6.898 11.26 4058 625 86.65%
Earnings 8.527 10.31 23691 4763 83.26%
GATS 5.38 7.87 61795 12630 83.03%
Naked Shorts 13.902 10.95 2668 692 79.40%
Friction Factor 7.155 3.63 6877 1974 77.70%

Prediction Success

 

Past success in predictions regarding Fuel Tech.

  • January 01, 2015 - Fuel Tech Inc (NASDAQ:FTEK), Up By 5.75% ($0.21) From $3.650 After ${brandname}.com Report Predicted Stock Would Go Up Due To Bullish Conditions

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$2.85
52 Week Range$3.63 - $9.63
1 Month Range$4.92 - $6.15
Avg Daily Volume134065.0
PE Ratio29.78
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2015(E)$0.18
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding22MM
Market Capitalization$117.40MM
 
 

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