Market Read®

  • Sunday, July 13 2014

This prediction has hit its target!

As predicted, the stock moved up from $1.7 to $2.23 (31.44%)
between March 04, 2013 and March 08, 2013.

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between March 04, 2013 and March 17, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: KWK)

Quicksilver
Resources
Inc.


Bullish

Quicksilver Resources Inc., an independent oil and gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, and sale of natural gas, natural gas liquids, and oil in North America. The company focuses primarily on unconventional reservoirs, such as fractured shales, coal beds, and tight sands. It owns producing oil and natural gas properties principally in Texas, Colorado, Wyoming, and Montana, as well as in Alberta and British Columbia, Canada. The company primarily holds interests in assets covering an area of approximately 127,000 net acres located in the Barnett Shale, Fort Worth basin, North Texas; 129,000 net acres located in the Horn River Basin of Northeast British Columbia; and 30,116 net undeveloped acres located in the Horseshoe Canyon, Southern and Central Alberta. It also owns interests in approximately 143,000 net acres in the Southern Alberta basin; and approximately 39,514 net acres located in northwest Colorado and southern Wyoming. As of December 31, 2012, it had total proved reserves of approximately 1.5 trillion cubic feet of natural gas equivalents. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of KWK expected to move up in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Wedge, Falling Continuation' pattern. Specifically, a DTM Daily Swing Divergence variant of Wedge, Falling Continuation has been detected. The target is $2.23. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when KWK closes above $8.22, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of KWK considerably higher.
  • VALUATION KWK has a current calculated value of $6.68 which means the stock is undervalued compared to its price of $2.34.

Predictive Range March 04, 2013 - March 17, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$1.79 - $2.23

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Quicksilver Resources Inc. (NYSE: KWK) is predicted to go up in coming weeks based on bullish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. KWK has demonstrated Wedge, Falling Continuation strategy DTM Daily Swing Divergence with a strength of 5.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of KWK expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'DTM Daily Swing Divergence' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a DTM Daily Swing Divergence variant of Wedge, Falling Continuation has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that KWK will move up in the coming weeks.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for KWK is 8.22.

This means that when KWK closes above $8.22, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of KWK considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2014-05-31 6223203 17941494.249 2.883
2014-04-30 8374496 23510560.0704 2.8074
2014-03-31 21396989 59261100.7344 2.7696
2014-02-28 14851084 49562522.6332 3.3373
2014-01-31 26978045 85231737.5685 3.1593
2013-12-31 18086339 51734164.0756 2.8604
2013-11-30 19880249 50128047.8535 2.5215
2013-10-31 23901343 56901927.2801 2.3807
2013-09-30 14909819 26863020.8923 1.8017
2013-08-31 17620535 28573459.556 1.6216
2013-07-31 13809631 22700271.4378 1.6438
2013-06-30 5825660 12508274.586 2.1471
2013-05-31 20361393 47989767.1617 2.3569
2013-04-30 27605218 70608626.6004 2.5578
2013-03-31 861708 1555382.94 1.805
2013-02-28 3373545 8679119.2215 2.5727
2013-01-31 16060275 47302327.9575 2.9453
2012-12-31 12497168 39862216.7696 3.1897
2012-11-30 14417475 46075366.605 3.1958
2012-10-31 7043645 30968793.9715 4.3967

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused KWK's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused KWK's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2014-05-13 -0.04 449634 536001 -86367 -21591.75
2014-05-12 -0.04 508678 581504 -72826 -18206.5
2014-05-09 0.34 1123969 989655 134314 3950.411765
2014-05-08 -0.16 1153472 2734293 -1580821 -98801.3125
2014-05-07 -0.25 2009705 3350906 -1341201 -53648.04
2014-05-06 -0.44 2482192 2696691 -214499 -4874.977273
2014-05-05 -0.09 1062107 945003 117104 Bearish Bias
2014-05-02 0.03 460706 393303 67403 22467.66667
2014-05-01 0.04 661292 589761 71531 17882.75
2014-04-30 -0.02 1910808 998600 912208 Bearish Bias
2014-04-29 0.01 3712741 2736361 976380 976380
2014-04-28 0.23 4536724 4013315 523409 22756.91304
2014-04-25 0.11 1785294 2960479 -1175185 Bullish Bias
2014-04-24 -0.05 789852 574871 214981 Bearish Bias
2014-04-23 -0.1 849038 633465 215573 Bearish Bias
2014-04-22 -0.04 503612 433287 70325 Bearish Bias
2014-04-21 0.09 667346 694182 -26836 Bullish Bias
2014-04-17 0.14 992887 1126362 -133475 Bullish Bias
2014-04-16 0.03 609239 605781 3458 1152.666667
2014-04-15 0.05 470457 738698 -268241 Bullish Bias

Valuation

 

Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. KWK has a current value of 6.68 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $2.34 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease.

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.14 73.22 9094 472 95.07%
SqueezeTrigger 12.746 22.38 7780 471 94.29%
Group Correlation 7.358 15.0 1309 86 93.84%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.455 15.2 42634 4138 91.15%
PatternScan 8.448 11.36 133678 19298 87.38%
Events 6.937 11.19 3396 544 86.19%
GATS 5.386 7.94 45118 8572 84.03%
Earnings 8.677 10.28 21694 4355 83.28%
Naked Shorts 14.525 10.84 2232 589 79.12%
Friction Factor 7.506 3.63 5606 1607 77.72%

Prediction Success

 

Past success in predictions regarding Quicksilver Resources Inc..

  • April 30, 2014 - Quicksilver Resources Inc (NYSE:KWK), Up By 7.62% ($0.25) From $3.280 After ${brandname}.com Report Predicted Stock Would Go Up Due To Bullish Conditions
  • March 24, 2014 - Quicksilver Resources Inc (NYSE:KWK), Up By 6.72% ($0.18) From $2.680 After ${brandname}.com Report Predicted Stock Would Go Up Due To Bullish Conditions
  • March 06, 2014 - Quicksilver Resources Inc (NYSE:KWK), Down By 11.08% ($0.37) From $3.340 After ${brandname}.com Report Predicted Weakness Before Earnings
  • January 28, 2014 - Quicksilver Resources Inc (NYSE:KWK), Down By 9.32% ($0.30) From $3.220 After ${brandname}.com Report Predicted Stock Would Go Down Due To Bearish Conditions

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$2.34
52 Week Range$1.44 - $3.67
1 Month Range$2.31 - $3.28
Avg Daily Volume5013279.0
PE Ratio2.78
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2014(E)$0.92
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding173MM
Market Capitalization$444.30MM
 
 

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