Market Read®

  • Thursday, July 10 2014

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between March 22, 2013 and May 02, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NASDAQ: LNCE)

Lance


Bullish

Snyder's-Lance, Inc. engages in the manufacture, marketing, and distribution of various snack food products. The companys products include pretzels, sandwich crackers, kettle chips, potato chips, cookies, tortilla chips, and nuts, as well as sugar wafers, restaurant style crackers, and candies. Its snack food brands comprise Snyders of Hanover, Lance, Cape Cod, Grande, Toms, Jays, O-Ke-Doke, Stella Doro, Krunchers!, Archway, and Naturals, as well as private label and third party brands. The company distributes its products through grocery and mass merchant stores, convenience stores, club stores, food service outlets, and other channels, as well as through a network of independent distributors and direct shipments to customer locations. It markets its products primarily in the United States, North America, and the Pacific Rim countries. The company was formerly known as Lance, Inc. and changed its name to Snyder's-Lance, Inc. in December 2010. Snyder's-Lance, Inc. was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina with an additional office in Hanover, Pennsylvania.

Investment Highlights

  • SEASONALITY expects the price of LNCE expected to move up to $27.36 by May 02, 2013. more
  • GATS predicts LNCE will move up in the coming weeks. Target is $26.47. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when LNCE closes above $22.59, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of LNCE considerably higher.
  • VALUATION LNCE has a current calculated value of $27.29 which means the stock is undervalued compared to its price of $27.19.

Predictive Range January 25, 2013 - May 02, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$25.57 - $26.91

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Seasonality

 

Predicts probability and percentage of stock movements based on seasonal factors.

Lance (NASDAQ: LNCE) is predicted to go up in coming weeks based on bullish trends that appear around this time of the year. By identifying stocks that are poised to go up or down based on seasonal tendencies, traders can increase their odds of making money. LNCE, currently trading at 27.19 expected to hit $27.36 by May 02, 2013.

  • The price of LNCE expected to move up to $27.36 by May 02, 2013.
  • Expected gain of 8.30% from price at time of prediction (25.26).
  • This pattern has held 11.0 of the last 13.0 seasonal periods. (84.62%)

GATS

 

Reduces risk by selecting the highest probability trades across market indices.

Lance (NASDAQ: LNCE) is expected to go up as bullish signals have been generated by top equity trading strategies. This trading system is designed to identify high probability reversion to mean trading candidates. It looks to go long immediately following strong sell-offs, and goes short after sharp run ups. Its trades are short term and hone in on the irrational decisions of emotional traders around these extreme moves.

  • The price of LNCE expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • Suggested stop level of 23.28 to limit potential trading losses.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for LNCE is 22.59.

This means that when LNCE closes above $22.59, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of LNCE considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2013-11-30 58374 1731507.1002 29.6623
2013-10-31 662551 19321577.2824 29.1624
2013-09-30 765256 21757529.0152 28.4317
2013-08-31 1045762 29681653.6936 28.3828
2013-07-31 760618 23014018.826 30.257
2013-06-30 36150 950022.0 26.28
2013-05-31 217211 5502693.1474 25.3334
2013-04-30 518497 12878117.3878 24.8374
2013-03-31 506118 12638171.3544 24.9708
2013-02-28 541697 13782288.4316 25.4428
2013-01-31 658268 16765296.0384 25.4688
2012-12-31 440442 10680057.837 24.2485
2012-11-30 549398 13308232.5734 24.2233
2012-10-31 367922 9322370.8438 25.3379
2012-09-30 821888 20014287.8208 24.3516
2012-08-31 1025834 23706203.0728 23.1092
2012-07-31 587923 14054475.6919 23.9053
2012-06-30 81804 2102362.8 25.7
2012-05-31 997346 25911248.5492 25.9802
2012-04-30 709522 18164685.5786 25.6013

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused LNCE's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused LNCE's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2013-11-11 -0.33 96099 38268 57831 Bearish Bias
2013-11-08 0.67 109965 95657 14308 213.5522388
2013-11-07 -2.75 122076 141175 -19099 -69.45090909
2013-11-06 0.03 34092 30861 3231 1077
2013-11-05 -0.01 27218 40193 -12975 -12975
2013-11-04 0.26 36503 95284 -58781 Bullish Bias
2013-11-01 -0.52 154311 76005 78306 Bearish Bias
2013-10-31 -0.34 78957 79843 -886 -26.05882353
2013-10-30 -0.05 25826 55368 -29542 -5908.4
2013-10-29 0.38 29348 39497 -10149 Bullish Bias
2013-10-28 0.4 93443 63205 30238 755.95
2013-10-25 -0.07 42072 22377 19695 Bearish Bias
2013-10-24 0.09 70763 47166 23597 2621.888889
2013-10-23 0.0 47726 63156 -15430 Bullish Bias
2013-10-22 0.15 73850 61620 12230 815.3333333
2013-10-21 -0.23 82510 68930 13580 Bearish Bias
2013-10-18 -0.01 155987 48719 107268 Bearish Bias
2013-10-17 0.36 143744 79053 64691 1796.972222
2013-10-16 0.07 59832 45399 14433 2061.857143
2013-10-15 -0.05 34109 65728 -31619 -6323.8

Valuation

 

Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. LNCE has a current value of 27.29 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $27.19 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease.

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.127 73.12 9082 474 95.04%
SqueezeTrigger 12.737 22.37 7779 472 94.28%
Group Correlation 7.346 14.96 1308 88 93.70%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.458 15.2 42589 4126 91.17%
PatternScan 8.448 11.37 133305 19233 87.39%
Events 6.942 11.19 3387 543 86.18%
GATS 5.388 7.95 45028 8523 84.08%
Earnings 8.681 10.28 21679 4349 83.29%
Naked Shorts 14.491 10.83 2233 589 79.13%
Friction Factor 7.503 3.63 5599 1602 77.75%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$27.19
52 Week Range$24.96 - $32.49
1 Month Range$25.74 - $27.57
Avg Daily Volume236815.0
PE Ratio24.91
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2014(E)$1.08
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding70MM
Market Capitalization$1899.00MM
 
 

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