Market Read®

  • Sunday, May 24 2015

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between March 22, 2013 and May 02, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NASDAQ: LNCE)

Lance


Bullish

Snyder's-Lance, Inc. engages in the manufacture, marketing, and distribution of various snack food products. The companys products include pretzels, sandwich crackers, kettle chips, potato chips, cookies, tortilla chips, and nuts, as well as sugar wafers, restaurant style crackers, and candies. Its snack food brands comprise Snyders of Hanover, Lance, Cape Cod, Grande, Toms, Jays, O-Ke-Doke, Stella Doro, Krunchers!, Archway, and Naturals, as well as private label and third party brands. The company distributes its products through grocery and mass merchant stores, convenience stores, club stores, food service outlets, and other channels, as well as through a network of independent distributors and direct shipments to customer locations. It markets its products primarily in the United States, North America, and the Pacific Rim countries. The company was formerly known as Lance, Inc. and changed its name to Snyder's-Lance, Inc. in December 2010. Snyder's-Lance, Inc. was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina with an additional office in Hanover, Pennsylvania.

Investment Highlights

  • SEASONALITY expects the price of LNCE expected to move up to $27.36 by May 02, 2013. more
  • GATS predicts LNCE will move up in the coming weeks. Target is $26.47. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when LNCE closes above $23.08, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of LNCE considerably higher.

Predictive Range January 25, 2013 - May 02, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$25.57 - $26.91

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Seasonality

 

Predicts probability and percentage of stock movements based on seasonal factors.

Lance (NASDAQ: LNCE) is predicted to go up in coming weeks based on bullish trends that appear around this time of the year. By identifying stocks that are poised to go up or down based on seasonal tendencies, traders can increase their odds of making money. LNCE, currently trading at 30.13 expected to hit $27.36 by May 02, 2013.

  • The price of LNCE expected to move up to $27.36 by May 02, 2013.
  • Expected gain of 8.30% from price at time of prediction (25.26).
  • This pattern has held 11.0 of the last 13.0 seasonal periods. (84.62%)

GATS

 

Reduces risk by selecting the highest probability trades across market indices.

Lance (NASDAQ: LNCE) is expected to go up as bullish signals have been generated by top equity trading strategies. This trading system is designed to identify high probability reversion to mean trading candidates. It looks to go long immediately following strong sell-offs, and goes short after sharp run ups. Its trades are short term and hone in on the irrational decisions of emotional traders around these extreme moves.

  • The price of LNCE expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • Suggested stop level of 23.28 to limit potential trading losses.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for LNCE is 23.08.

This means that when LNCE closes above $23.08, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of LNCE considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2014-09-30 384018 10659379.635 27.7575
2014-08-31 581007 15353632.8813 26.4259
2014-07-31 679794 18117529.791 26.6515
2014-06-30 1112022 29971105.7418 26.9519
2014-05-31 627403 16727128.6427 26.6609
2014-04-30 410644 11204216.218 27.2845
2014-03-31 305321 8408357.1474 27.5394
2014-02-28 590949 15485463.9756 26.2044
2014-01-31 563814 15663373.1154 27.7811
2013-12-31 361922 10153395.9802 28.0541
2013-11-30 58374 1731507.1002 29.6623
2013-10-31 662551 19321577.2824 29.1624
2013-09-30 765256 21757529.0152 28.4317
2013-08-31 1045762 29681653.6936 28.3828
2013-07-31 760618 23014018.826 30.257
2013-06-30 36150 950022.0 26.28
2013-05-31 217211 5502693.1474 25.3334
2013-04-30 518497 12878117.3878 24.8374
2013-03-31 506118 12638171.3544 24.9708
2013-02-28 541697 13782288.4316 25.4428

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused LNCE's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused LNCE's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2014-09-17 0.05 46997 33299 13698 2739.6
2014-09-16 0.08 29194 53317 -24123 Bullish Bias
2014-09-15 -0.12 78655 31681 46974 Bearish Bias
2014-09-12 -0.27 52567 45771 6796 Bearish Bias
2014-09-11 0.06 34623 25029 9594 1599
2014-09-10 0.04 60599 44493 16106 4026.5
2014-09-09 0.13 91917 103608 -11691 Bullish Bias
2014-09-08 0.33 82885 54739 28146 852.9090909
2014-09-05 0.1 38336 74248 -35912 Bullish Bias
2014-09-04 0.0 35946 33319 2627 Bearish Bias
2014-09-03 -0.01 81838 53621 28217 Bearish Bias
2014-09-02 0.18 56771 63825 -7054 Bullish Bias
2014-08-29 -0.01 34441 42911 -8470 -8470
2014-08-28 0.02 36100 64619 -28519 Bullish Bias
2014-08-27 -0.06 16074 28381 -12307 -2051.166667
2014-08-26 0.23 75473 45384 30089 1308.217391
2014-08-25 0.1 71659 58176 13483 1348.3
2014-08-22 0.0 51836 38182 13654 Bearish Bias
2014-08-21 -0.05 63688 51941 11747 Bearish Bias
2014-08-20 0.31 77517 97663 -20146 Bullish Bias

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.864 78.49 11957 596 95.25%
SqueezeTrigger 12.617 22.03 9360 607 93.91%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.307 15.19 50656 4777 91.38%
Group Correlation 6.582 15.07 4612 498 90.25%
PatternScan 8.516 11.49 184518 27095 87.20%
Events 6.887 11.28 4092 627 86.71%
Earnings 8.509 10.27 24032 4839 83.24%
GATS 5.38 7.86 63488 13109 82.89%
Naked Shorts 13.864 10.95 2685 698 79.37%
Friction Factor 7.1 3.63 7011 2006 77.75%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$30.13
52 Week Range$24.96 - $32.49
1 Month Range$25.74 - $27.71
Avg Daily Volume232555.0
PE Ratio25.21
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2015(E)$1.08
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding70MM
Market Capitalization$1915.00MM
 
 

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