Market Read®

  • Thursday, July 10 2014

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between April 05, 2013 and February 25, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: USNA)

Usana
Health
Sciences Inc.


Bearish

USANA Health Sciences, Inc. develops, manufactures, distributes, and sells nutritional and personal care products worldwide. It offers the USANA Nutritionals Essentials product line, which includes vitamin and mineral supplements that provide a foundation of total body nutrition for various age groups; optimizers consisting of targeted supplements designed to meet cardiovascular health, skeletal/structural health, and digestive health needs; and foods comprising low-glycemic meal replacement shakes, snack bars, and other related products that provide optimal macro-nutrition. The company also provides Sens beautiful science product line consisting of personal care products that support healthy skin and hair through topical nourishment, moisturization, and protection; and products designed specifically for prenatal, infant, and young child age groups in China. In addition, it offers materials and online tools, such as associate starter kit and product brochures that are designed to assist associates in building their businesses and in marketing products. USANA Health Sciences, Inc. primarily distributes its products through a network marketing system of independent distributors. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of USNA expected to move down in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Trend Line Break(3)' pattern. Specifically, a ACT EOD variant of Trend Line Break(3) has been detected. The target is $40.68. more
  • VALUATION USNA has a current calculated value of $42.78 which means the stock is overvalued compared to its price of $78.67.

Predictive Range February 15, 2013 - February 25, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$43.61 - $40.68

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Usana Health Sciences Inc. (NYSE: USNA) is predicted to go down in coming weeks based on bearish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. USNA has demonstrated Trend Line Break(3) strategy ACT EOD with a strength of 3.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of USNA expected to move down in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'ACT EOD' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a ACT EOD variant of Trend Line Break(3) has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that USNA will move down in the coming weeks.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for USNA is 48.62.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2014-07-31 164623 12977757.8836 78.8332
2014-06-30 494980 37158099.102 75.0699
2014-05-31 802731 56116596.2901 69.9071
2014-04-30 866251 65738922.139 75.889
2014-03-31 712583 51449205.183 72.201
2014-02-28 541586 35324621.8984 65.2244
2014-01-31 64269 4889264.175 76.075
2013-12-31 427297 32365440.3462 75.7446
2013-11-30 472403 33076854.9749 70.0183
2013-10-31 663495 53247265.1865 80.2527
2013-09-30 448242 37137925.4808 82.8524
2013-08-31 782885 63440929.398 81.0348
2013-07-31 1347686 107183489.109 79.5315
2013-06-30 595461 42287853.837 71.017
2013-05-31 1008282 65752791.5814 65.2127
2013-04-30 80401 3868445.8744 48.1144
2013-03-31 582061 26879576.98 46.18
2013-02-28 1510229 61413915.3537 40.6653
2013-01-31 2007575 72936605.0525 36.3307
2012-12-31 1534947 57644167.1115 37.5545

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused USNA's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused USNA's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2014-07-09 0.66 24749 23674 1075 16.28787879
2014-07-07 -0.45 30851 47914 -17063 -379.1777778
2014-07-03 0.36 13063 10694 2369 65.80555556
2014-07-02 -0.94 27693 19175 8518 Bearish Bias
2014-07-01 1.63 45272 44970 302 1.852760736
2014-06-30 0.38 38554 37466 1088 28.63157895
2014-06-27 0.0 29930 56670 -26740 Bullish Bias
2014-06-26 0.16 13370 12981 389 24.3125
2014-06-25 1.95 16405 17683 -1278 Bullish Bias
2014-06-24 -1.86 29247 22178 7069 Bearish Bias
2014-06-23 -0.55 26898 39222 -12324 -224.0727273
2014-06-20 -0.04 23396 15152 8244 Bearish Bias
2014-06-19 0.24 33615 29995 3620 150.8333333
2014-06-18 0.13 31078 23504 7574 582.6153846
2014-06-17 -0.03 33336 23431 9905 Bearish Bias
2014-06-16 0.0 30793 25326 5467 Bearish Bias
2014-06-13 0.64 48221 29600 18621 290.953125
2014-06-12 0.36 31821 18437 13384 371.7777778
2014-06-11 0.27 28914 19089 9825 363.8888889
2014-06-10 0.62 25665 28990 -3325 Bullish Bias

Valuation

 

Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. USNA has a current value of 42.78 per share. Therefore, it is overvalued compared to its Price of $78.67 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease.

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.127 73.12 9082 474 95.04%
SqueezeTrigger 12.737 22.37 7779 472 94.28%
Group Correlation 7.346 14.96 1308 88 93.70%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.458 15.2 42589 4126 91.17%
PatternScan 8.448 11.37 133305 19233 87.39%
Events 6.942 11.19 3387 543 86.18%
GATS 5.388 7.95 45028 8523 84.08%
Earnings 8.681 10.28 21679 4349 83.29%
Naked Shorts 14.491 10.83 2233 589 79.13%
Friction Factor 7.503 3.63 5599 1602 77.75%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$78.67
52 Week Range$55.01 - $92.00
1 Month Range$73.71 - $80.86
Avg Daily Volume91040.0
PE Ratio14.53
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2014(E)$5.426
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding13MM
Market Capitalization$1102.00MM
 
 

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