Market Read®

  • Saturday, July 04 2015

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between April 05, 2013 and February 25, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: USNA)

Usana
Health
Sciences Inc.


Bearish

USANA Health Sciences, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells science-based nutritional and personal care products primarily to reduce the risk of chronic degenerative disease worldwide. The company offers USANA Nutritionals Essentials product line, which includes vitamin and mineral supplements that provide a foundation of total body nutrition for various age groups; optimizers comprising targeted supplements that are designed to meet cardiovascular, skeletal/structural, and digestive health needs; and foods that include low-glycemic meal replacement shakes, snack bars, and other related products, which provide macro-nutrition. It also provides Sens beautiful science products, such as personal care products that support healthy skin and hair through topical nourishment, moisturization, and protection; and other products for prenatal, infant, and young child age groups. In addition, the company offers materials and online tools, such as associate starter kit and product brochures to assist associates in building their businesses and in marketing products. USANA Health Sciences, Inc. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of USNA expected to move down in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Trend Line Break(3)' pattern. Specifically, a ACT EOD variant of Trend Line Break(3) has been detected. The target is $40.68. more
  • VALUATION USNA has a current calculated value of $42.78 which means the stock is overvalued compared to its price of $141.74.

Predictive Range February 15, 2013 - February 25, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$43.61 - $40.68

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Usana Health Sciences Inc. (NYSE: USNA) is predicted to go down in coming weeks based on bearish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. USNA has demonstrated Trend Line Break(3) strategy ACT EOD with a strength of 3.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of USNA expected to move down in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'ACT EOD' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a ACT EOD variant of Trend Line Break(3) has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that USNA will move down in the coming weeks.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for USNA is 54.20.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2015-04-30 95697 10850173.7085 113.3805
2015-03-31 319351 33259512.4672 104.1472
2015-02-28 117036 12146511.0384 103.7844
2015-01-31 383062 38809849.9176 101.3148
2014-12-31 614703 63177330.231 102.777
2014-11-30 131971 15252746.2815 115.5765
2014-10-31 1266347 107414338.503 84.8222
2014-09-30 812787 58536757.1826 72.0198
2014-08-31 1040112 72395019.5472 69.6031
2014-07-31 164623 12977757.8836 78.8332
2014-06-30 494980 37158099.102 75.0699
2014-05-31 802731 56116596.2901 69.9071
2014-04-30 866251 65738922.139 75.889
2014-03-31 712583 51449205.183 72.201
2014-02-28 541586 35324621.8984 65.2244
2014-01-31 64269 4889264.175 76.075
2013-12-31 427297 32365440.3462 75.7446
2013-11-30 472403 33076854.9749 70.0183
2013-10-31 663495 53247265.1865 80.2527
2013-09-30 448242 37137925.4808 82.8524

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused USNA's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused USNA's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2015-04-08 -0.04 18307 23357 -5050 -1262.5
2015-04-07 -1.19 10695 9140 1555 Bearish Bias
2015-04-06 0.56 18989 12355 6634 118.4642857
2015-04-02 -0.17 27106 28818 -1712 -100.7058824
2015-04-01 2.07 43718 48344 -4626 Bullish Bias
2015-03-31 -1.33 26552 42292 -15740 -118.3458647
2015-03-30 1.07 9357 10338 -981 Bullish Bias
2015-03-27 4.02 21082 27026 -5944 Bullish Bias
2015-03-26 0.01 14884 14680 204 204
2015-03-25 -1.7 25838 27246 -1408 -8.282352941
2015-03-24 -1.61 25615 30931 -5316 -33.01863354
2015-03-23 4.46 23727 24042 -315 Bullish Bias
2015-03-20 5.51 49912 50311 -399 Bullish Bias
2015-03-19 0.88 15790 18870 -3080 Bullish Bias
2015-03-18 2.0 16251 18961 -2710 Bullish Bias
2015-03-17 -1.33 10581 9472 1109 Bearish Bias
2015-03-16 0.74 16221 14583 1638 22.13513514
2015-03-13 0.01 14573 9542 5031 5031
2015-03-12 1.31 26967 13428 13539 103.351145
2015-03-11 -0.34 38880 34684 4196 Bearish Bias

Valuation

 

Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. USNA has a current value of 42.78 per share. Therefore, it is overvalued compared to its Price of $141.74 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease.

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.843 79.03 12454 596 95.43%
SqueezeTrigger 12.531 21.86 9557 639 93.73%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.268 15.22 51787 4844 91.45%
Group Correlation 6.307 14.34 5295 705 88.25%
PatternScan 8.46 11.46 189183 28044 87.09%
Events 6.834 11.25 4176 639 86.73%
Earnings 8.512 10.35 24108 4840 83.28%
GATS 5.358 7.84 65757 13688 82.77%
Naked Shorts 13.812 10.95 2726 704 79.48%
Friction Factor 7.013 3.63 7189 2067 77.67%

Prediction Success

 

Past success in predictions regarding Usana Health Sciences Inc..

  • August 06, 2014 - USANA Health Sciences Inc (NYSE:USNA), Up By 9.21% ($6.03) From $65.500 After ${brandname}.com Report Predicted Stock Would Go Up Due To Bullish Conditions

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$141.74
52 Week Range$55.01 - $92.00
1 Month Range$72.10 - $80.86
Avg Daily Volume105990.0
PE Ratio14.47
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2015(E)$5.426
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding13MM
Market Capitalization$1100.00MM
 
 

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