Market Read®

  • Thursday, July 30 2015

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between April 05, 2013 and April 01, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: TROX)

Tronox Inc


Bearish

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of TROX expected to move down in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Resistance Break(1)' pattern. Specifically, a ACT EOD (+1) variant of Resistance Break(1) has been detected. The target is $19.07. more
  • VALUATION predicts the average valuation using most known fundamental valuation techniques is $16.46. more

Predictive Range December 21, 2012 - April 01, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$19.63 - $17.77

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Tronox Inc (NYSE: TROX) is predicted to go down in coming weeks based on bearish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. TROX has demonstrated Resistance Break(1) strategy ACT EOD (+1) with a strength of 5.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of TROX expected to move down in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'ACT EOD (+1)' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a ACT EOD (+1) variant of Resistance Break(1) has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that TROX will move down in the coming weeks.

Valuation

 

Determines the price at which stocks are undervalued or overvalued.

Tronox Inc (NYSE: TROX) is espected to fall due to overvaluation of the Specialty Chemicals sector according to industry standard valuation metrics. The valuation model employs a three-factor approach to stock valuation using fundamental variables: the company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's forecasted 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield.

  • The price of TROX expected to move down soon.
  • TROX is strongly correlated (None) to stocks in the Specialty Chemicals sector.
  • Based on our valuation formula, TROX has a fair market value of $16.46
  • These stocks have fired sell signals, and TROX is expected to follow.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for TROX is 29.98.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2015-05-31 520275 10368092.2275 19.9281
2015-04-30 984747 20991359.4255 21.3165
2015-03-31 2622150 53507592.9 20.406
2015-02-28 3331534 72815672.871 21.8565
2015-01-31 1325526 28455729.405 21.4675
2014-12-31 1733892 39344436.9288 22.6914
2014-11-30 1712112 40220250.2592 23.4916
2014-10-31 1161831 28502038.092 24.532
2014-09-30 1583652 44657561.1132 28.1991
2014-08-31 4490821 125214418.368 27.8823
2014-07-31 2254836 58149740.1204 25.7889
2014-06-30 3130230 83771215.26 26.762
2014-05-31 3931122 98140460.73 24.965
2014-04-30 2677948 67303795.9048 25.1326
2014-03-31 1701583 40345553.8798 23.7106
2014-02-28 1844692 41471627.6672 22.4816
2014-01-31 1899202 43543953.855 22.9275
2013-12-31 3236815 72113325.0665 22.2791
2013-11-30 2199588 48436467.4716 22.0207
2013-10-31 3047283 72351030.8124 23.7428

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused TROX's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused TROX's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2015-05-08 -0.48 292005 302849 -10844 -225.9166667
2015-05-07 -1.37 449176 356969 92207 Bearish Bias
2015-05-06 0.1 184966 127917 57049 5704.9
2015-05-05 0.0 98196 129196 -31000 Bullish Bias
2015-05-04 0.05 113408 85192 28216 5643.2
2015-05-01 0.0 114325 117804 -3479 Bullish Bias
2015-04-30 -0.46 55543 97133 -41590 -904.1304348
2015-04-29 0.18 87349 126790 -39441 Bullish Bias
2015-04-28 0.25 41063 73092 -32029 Bullish Bias
2015-04-27 0.31 102689 64143 38546 1243.419355
2015-04-24 -0.04 128345 60943 67402 Bearish Bias
2015-04-23 0.14 120146 53134 67012 4786.571429
2015-04-22 -0.21 90149 95605 -5456 -259.8095238
2015-04-21 -0.66 176550 104862 71688 Bearish Bias
2015-04-20 -0.11 68182 117353 -49171 -4470.090909
2015-04-17 -0.2 73630 93327 -19697 -984.85
2015-04-16 -0.46 110559 107886 2673 Bearish Bias
2015-04-15 0.0 64284 133975 -69691 Bullish Bias
2015-04-14 0.0 109949 113541 -3592 Bullish Bias
2015-04-13 0.14 37331 27581 9750 696.4285714

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 16.137 80.59 12616 571 95.67%
SqueezeTrigger 12.496 21.81 9649 653 93.66%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.278 15.24 52223 4911 91.40%
Group Correlation 6.429 14.6 6055 739 89.12%
PatternScan 8.437 11.44 192396 28585 87.06%
Events 6.826 11.28 4217 642 86.79%
Earnings 8.495 10.31 24270 4872 83.28%
GATS 5.377 7.86 67377 13915 82.88%
Naked Shorts 13.817 10.96 2742 705 79.55%
Friction Factor 6.993 3.63 7326 2096 77.75%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$10.85
52 Week Range$20.09 - $27.95
1 Month Range$24.28 - $27.85
Avg Daily Volume910610.0
PE Ratio0.0
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2015(E)$-1.119
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding113MM
Market Capitalization$2835.00MM
 
 

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