Market Read®

  • Sunday, December 04 2016

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between April 05, 2013 and April 01, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: TROX)

Tronox Inc


Bearish

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of TROX expected to move down in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Resistance Break(1)' pattern. Specifically, a ACT EOD (+1) variant of Resistance Break(1) has been detected. The target is $19.07. more
  • VALUATION predicts the average valuation using most known fundamental valuation techniques is $16.46. more

Predictive Range December 21, 2012 - April 01, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$19.63 - $17.77

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Tronox Inc (NYSE: TROX) is predicted to go down in coming weeks based on bearish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. TROX has demonstrated Resistance Break(1) strategy ACT EOD (+1) with a strength of 5.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of TROX expected to move down in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'ACT EOD (+1)' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a ACT EOD (+1) variant of Resistance Break(1) has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that TROX will move down in the coming weeks.

Valuation

 

Determines the price at which stocks are undervalued or overvalued.

Tronox Inc (NYSE: TROX) is espected to fall due to overvaluation of the Specialty Chemicals sector according to industry standard valuation metrics. The valuation model employs a three-factor approach to stock valuation using fundamental variables: the company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's forecasted 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield.

  • The price of TROX expected to move down soon.
  • TROX is strongly correlated (None) to stocks in the Specialty Chemicals sector.
  • Based on our valuation formula, TROX has a fair market value of $16.46
  • These stocks have fired sell signals, and TROX is expected to follow.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for TROX is 17.54.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2016-09-30 3874041 33786673.7733 8.7213
2016-08-31 1262560 7976475.312 6.3177
2016-07-31 12032007 72793642.35 6.05
2016-06-30 13686076 64773460.4928 4.7328
2016-05-31 12625689 70245545.8893 5.5637
2016-04-30 12944186 90038463.3974 6.9559
2016-03-31 15354393 89790954.8247 5.8479
2016-02-29 14025498 53822848.575 3.8375
2016-01-31 13742749 48418453.2768 3.5232
2015-12-31 15648193 65955568.6757 4.2149
2015-11-30 14940334 82271937.2378 5.5067
2015-10-31 18377462 120331945.684 6.5478
2015-09-30 14811577 86533676.3071 5.8423
2015-08-31 12985946 118848676.387 9.1521
2015-07-31 8099596 100870748.665 12.4538
2015-06-30 5087419 83396533.4413 16.3927
2015-05-31 520275 10368092.2275 19.9281
2015-04-30 984747 20991359.4255 21.3165
2015-03-31 2622150 53507592.9 20.406
2015-02-28 3331534 72815672.871 21.8565

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused TROX's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused TROX's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2016-09-20 -0.3 76611 138017 -61406 -2046.866667
2016-09-19 0.13 225077 176080 48997 3769
2016-09-16 0.28 352883 170082 182801 6528.607143
2016-09-15 0.0 186925 277934 -91009 Bullish Bias
2016-09-14 0.51 168932 152594 16338 320.3529412
2016-09-13 -0.57 248682 214454 34228 Bearish Bias
2016-09-12 0.1 164398 118458 45940 4594
2016-09-09 -0.74 204484 246067 -41583 -561.9324324
2016-09-08 0.06 251335 145187 106148 17691.33333
2016-09-07 0.06 287418 94982 192436 32072.66667
2016-09-06 -0.14 127155 240010 -112855 -8061.071429
2016-09-02 0.26 165588 178593 -13005 Bullish Bias
2016-09-01 -0.17 175650 193818 -18168 -1068.705882
2016-08-31 -0.48 342335 331375 10960 Bearish Bias
2016-08-30 0.18 530708 403346 127362 7075.666667
2016-08-29 0.78 409588 359901 49687 637.0128205
2016-08-26 -0.12 241245 249695 -8450 -704.1666667
2016-08-25 0.19 149757 125581 24176 1272.421053
2016-08-24 -0.27 250739 282098 -31359 -1161.444444
2016-08-23 0.41 336727 368545 -31818 Bullish Bias

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 25.483 1.43 9802 205 97.95%
SqueezeTrigger 33.1 0.97 4854 222 95.63%
Seasonality 17.036 1.22 20080 1178 94.46%
Group Correlation 11.122 1.43 10508 732 93.49%
Events 19.564 1.15 1455 146 90.88%
PatternScan 33.673 1.41 120222 12684 90.46%
GATS 21.358 1.41 48568 8155 85.62%
Naked Shorts 47.39 1.5 1096 226 82.90%
Friction Factor 528.887 0.69 2545 616 80.51%
Earnings 15.327 1.02 2519 620 80.25%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$10.65
52 Week Range$20.09 - $27.95
1 Month Range$24.28 - $27.85
Avg Daily Volume910610.0
PE Ratio0.0
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2016(E)$-1.119
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding113MM
Market Capitalization$2835.00MM
 
 

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