Market Read®

  • Friday, July 11 2014

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between April 05, 2013 and April 01, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: TROX)

Tronox Inc


Bearish

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of TROX expected to move down in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Resistance Break(1)' pattern. Specifically, a ACT EOD (+1) variant of Resistance Break(1) has been detected. The target is $19.07. more
  • VALUATION predicts the average valuation using most known fundamental valuation techniques is $16.46. more

Predictive Range December 21, 2012 - April 01, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$19.63 - $17.77

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Tronox Inc (NYSE: TROX) is predicted to go down in coming weeks based on bearish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. TROX has demonstrated Resistance Break(1) strategy ACT EOD (+1) with a strength of 5.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of TROX expected to move down in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'ACT EOD (+1)' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a ACT EOD (+1) variant of Resistance Break(1) has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that TROX will move down in the coming weeks.

Valuation

 

Determines the price at which stocks are undervalued or overvalued.

Tronox Inc (NYSE: TROX) is espected to fall due to overvaluation of the Specialty Chemicals sector according to industry standard valuation metrics. The valuation model employs a three-factor approach to stock valuation using fundamental variables: the company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's forecasted 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield.

  • The price of TROX expected to move down soon.
  • TROX is strongly correlated (None) to stocks in the Specialty Chemicals sector.
  • Based on our valuation formula, TROX has a fair market value of $16.46
  • These stocks have fired sell signals, and TROX is expected to follow.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for TROX is 36.50.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2013-04-30 1003433 20028221.6501 19.9597
2013-03-31 3784353 78619933.575 20.775
2013-02-28 8291367 161476030.598 19.4752
2013-01-31 8967981 175644185.472 19.5857
2012-12-31 7521019 129382585.653 17.2028
2012-11-30 10153309 169988729.94 16.7422
2012-10-31 3067203 68879871.0507 22.4569
2012-09-30 8471952 215420559.48 25.4275
2012-08-31 8017354 205811089.328 25.6707
2012-07-31 761609 52963736.9171 69.5419
2012-06-30 343144 51213761.5984 149.2486
2012-05-31 1090029 183779652.42 168.6007
2012-04-30 709746 126479150.336 178.2034
2012-03-31 660979 110222875.103 166.757
2012-02-29 539397 80313786.0135 148.8955
2012-01-31 421038 57552399.9846 136.6917
2011-12-31 280473 30977681.904 110.448
2011-11-30 686876 78991220.8132 115.0007
2011-10-31 988419 99399961.3674 100.5646
2011-09-30 853202 90933927.8792 106.5796

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused TROX's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused TROX's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2013-04-04 -0.25 439921 436808 3113 Bearish Bias
2013-04-03 -0.61 292844 244399 48445 Bearish Bias
2013-04-02 0.23 432624 541185 -108561 Bullish Bias
2013-04-01 0.11 263141 228777 34364 3124
2013-03-28 -0.21 213987 181867 32120 Bearish Bias
2013-03-27 -0.05 169311 168868 443 Bearish Bias
2013-03-26 0.06 313649 180229 133420 22236.66667
2013-03-25 -0.11 410647 367991 42656 Bearish Bias
2013-03-22 0.02 295898 536060 -240162 Bullish Bias
2013-03-21 -0.65 101969 278008 -176039 -2708.292308
2013-03-20 0.44 168136 162454 5682 129.1363636
2013-03-19 -0.38 156836 184629 -27793 -731.3947368
2013-03-18 -0.31 132411 166247 -33836 -1091.483871
2013-03-15 0.3 197101 400311 -203210 Bullish Bias
2013-03-14 -0.38 221789 238029 -16240 -427.3684211
2013-03-13 -0.11 271314 231382 39932 Bearish Bias
2013-03-12 -0.42 514379 384800 129579 Bearish Bias
2013-03-11 -0.31 312955 334654 -21699 -699.9677419
2013-03-08 0.44 310620 195801 114819 2609.522727
2013-03-07 0.39 220177 389524 -169347 Bullish Bias

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.14 73.22 9094 472 95.07%
SqueezeTrigger 12.746 22.38 7780 471 94.29%
Group Correlation 7.358 15.0 1309 86 93.84%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.455 15.2 42634 4138 91.15%
PatternScan 8.448 11.36 133678 19298 87.38%
Events 6.937 11.19 3396 544 86.19%
GATS 5.386 7.94 45118 8572 84.03%
Earnings 8.677 10.28 21694 4355 83.28%
Naked Shorts 14.525 10.84 2232 589 79.12%
Friction Factor 7.506 3.63 5606 1607 77.72%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$24.82
52 Week Range$20.09 - $27.95
1 Month Range$24.77 - $27.95
Avg Daily Volume962220.0
PE Ratio0.0
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2014(E)$-1.119
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding113MM
Market Capitalization$3016.00MM
 
 

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