Market Read®

  • Friday, April 29 2016

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between March 25, 2016 and April 08, 2016. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: CW)

Curtiss-Wright Corp.


Bullish

Curtiss-Wright Corporation, an engineering company, provides engineered products, systems, and services in the areas of flow control, motion control, and surface treatment technologies to the defense, energy, and commercial/industrial markets worldwide. It operates through three segments: Motion Control, Flow Control, and Metal Treatment. The Motion Control segment designs, manufactures, services, and integrates engineered flight controls, drive and sensor components, and integrated subsystems for defense, aerospace, naval, and industrial applications. Its product groups comprise defense solutions, flight systems, integrated sensing, industrial, and avionics and electronics. The Flow Control segment designs and manufactures engineered valves, pumps, motors, generators, electronics, cable and aircraft handling systems, and related products for defense, nuclear power, oil and gas processing, and other industrial markets. The Metal Treatment segment provides precision metal surface treatments and precision metal finishing services, including shot peening, shot peen forming, laser peening, and specialty coatings for critical components in commercial aerospace, automotive, energy, processing, defense, automotive, and general industrial markets. Curtiss-Wright Corporation was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey.

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of CW expected to move up in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Harami' pattern. Specifically, a MS-16 variant of Harami has been detected. The target is $74.17. more
  • GATS predicts CW will move up in the coming weeks. Target is $76.31. more
  • GATS predicts CW will move up in the coming weeks. Target is $77.38. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when CW closes above $48.00, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of CW considerably higher.
  • VALUATION CW has a current calculated value of $80.20 which means the stock is undervalued compared to its price of $77.6.

Predictive Range March 11, 2016 - April 08, 2016

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$72.88 - $75.95

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Curtiss-Wright Corp. (NYSE: CW) is predicted to go up in coming weeks based on bullish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. CW has demonstrated Harami strategy MS-16 with a strength of 1.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of CW expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'MS-16' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a MS-16 variant of Harami has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that CW will move up in the coming weeks.

GATS

 

Reduces risk by selecting the highest probability trades across market indices.

Curtiss-Wright Corp. (NYSE: CW) is expected to go up as bullish signals have been generated by top equity trading strategies. This trading system is designed to identify high probability reversion to mean trading candidates. It looks to go long immediately following strong sell-offs, and goes short after sharp run ups. Its trades are short term and hone in on the irrational decisions of emotional traders around these extreme moves.

  • The price of CW expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • Suggested stop level of 66.23 to limit potential trading losses.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for CW is 48.00.

This means that when CW closes above $48.00, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of CW considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2016-03-31 408960 29192423.616 71.3821
2016-02-29 1440870 95818863.609 66.5007
2016-01-31 364057 25520395.7 70.1
2015-12-31 57486 4048388.3154 70.4239
2015-11-30 536344 37371591.7696 69.6784
2015-10-31 668493 44105496.9075 65.9775
2015-09-30 207173 13435832.0036 64.8532
2015-08-31 815048 54036133.8088 66.2981
2015-07-31 570830 40153951.773 70.3431
2015-06-30 672020 49156650.152 73.1476
2015-05-31 635826 45846805.9734 72.1059
2015-04-30 718575 54243430.3125 75.4875
2015-03-31 647113 46820049.1986 72.3522
2015-02-28 774654 54191617.7586 69.9559
2015-01-31 486073 32686173.3142 67.2454
2014-12-31 524723 36142710.3508 68.8796
2014-11-30 685509 48339284.0931 70.5159
2014-10-31 957570 63296526.084 66.1012
2014-09-30 841722 59247043.9638 70.3879
2014-08-31 388581 25225512.777 64.917

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused CW's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused CW's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2016-03-22 0.14 50601 37773 12828 916.2857143
2016-03-21 0.26 65816 50839 14977 576.0384615
2016-03-18 0.38 260849 83680 177169 4662.342105
2016-03-17 0.72 79976 55022 24954 346.5833333
2016-03-16 0.84 44059 27051 17008 202.4761905
2016-03-15 -0.36 37359 74215 -36856 -1023.777778
2016-03-14 -0.04 30964 46381 -15417 -3854.25
2016-03-11 0.27 70355 60180 10175 376.8518519
2016-03-10 -0.71 62577 36812 25765 Bearish Bias
2016-03-09 0.48 39046 62973 -23927 Bullish Bias
2016-03-08 -1.26 86001 51840 34161 Bearish Bias
2016-03-07 0.3 81922 103013 -21091 Bullish Bias
2016-03-04 -0.16 55527 75702 -20175 -1260.9375
2016-03-03 0.03 99615 116831 -17216 Bullish Bias
2016-03-02 -0.61 81081 48892 32189 Bearish Bias
2016-03-01 1.73 87582 60930 26652 154.0578035
2016-02-29 0.15 131481 86783 44698 2979.866667
2016-02-26 0.17 76297 108968 -32671 Bullish Bias
2016-02-25 4.35 171806 216206 -44400 Bullish Bias
2016-02-24 -0.84 70822 120347 -49525 -589.5833333

Valuation

 

Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. CW has a current value of 80.2 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $77.6 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease.

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 17.426 83.46 15048 674 95.71%
SqueezeTrigger 12.636 21.6 11048 778 93.42%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.289 15.2 58837 5417 91.57%
Group Correlation 7.198 15.01 10387 1243 89.31%
PatternScan 8.453 11.39 231976 34714 86.98%
Events 6.785 11.2 4649 716 86.65%
Earnings 8.496 10.33 25007 5030 83.25%
GATS 5.638 7.89 83436 17555 82.62%
Naked Shorts 13.72 11.0 2976 772 79.40%
Friction Factor 6.954 3.61 8454 2459 77.47%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$77.60
52 Week Range$40.04 - $70.33
1 Month Range$60.60 - $68.81
Avg Daily Volume219805.0
PE Ratio20.07
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2016(E)$3.155
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding48MM
Market Capitalization$3067.00MM
 
 

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