Market Read®

  • Monday, July 25 2016

(NYSE: CW)

Curtiss-Wright Corp.


Bullish

Curtiss-Wright Corporation, an engineering company, provides engineered products, systems, and services in the areas of flow control, motion control, and surface treatment technologies to the defense, energy, and commercial/industrial markets worldwide. It operates through three segments: Motion Control, Flow Control, and Metal Treatment. The Motion Control segment designs, manufactures, services, and integrates engineered flight controls, drive and sensor components, and integrated subsystems for defense, aerospace, naval, and industrial applications. Its product groups comprise defense solutions, flight systems, integrated sensing, industrial, and avionics and electronics. The Flow Control segment designs and manufactures engineered valves, pumps, motors, generators, electronics, cable and aircraft handling systems, and related products for defense, nuclear power, oil and gas processing, and other industrial markets. The Metal Treatment segment provides precision metal surface treatments and precision metal finishing services, including shot peening, shot peen forming, laser peening, and specialty coatings for critical components in commercial aerospace, automotive, energy, processing, defense, automotive, and general industrial markets. Curtiss-Wright Corporation was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey.

Investment Highlights

  • GATS predicts CW will move up in the coming weeks. Target is $87.43. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when CW closes above $49.58, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of CW considerably higher.
  • VALUATION CW has a current calculated value of $91.40 which means the stock is undervalued compared to its price of $87.05.

Predictive Range July 13, 2016 - July 27, 2016

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$85.81 - $87.43

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

GATS

 

Reduces risk by selecting the highest probability trades across market indices.

Curtiss-Wright Corp. (NYSE: CW) is expected to go up as bullish signals have been generated by top equity trading strategies. This trading system is designed to identify high probability reversion to mean trading candidates. It looks to go long immediately following strong sell-offs, and goes short after sharp run ups. Its trades are short term and hone in on the irrational decisions of emotional traders around these extreme moves.

  • The price of CW expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • Suggested stop level of 77.23 to limit potential trading losses.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for CW is 49.58.

This means that when CW closes above $49.58, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of CW considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2016-07-31 381214 31756155.4778 83.3027
2016-06-30 2511027 210795443.493 83.9479
2016-05-31 2427362 195705818.514 80.6249
2016-04-30 2619050 199373347.915 76.1243
2016-03-31 408960 29192423.616 71.3821
2016-02-29 1440870 95818863.609 66.5007
2016-01-31 364057 25520395.7 70.1
2015-12-31 57486 4048388.3154 70.4239
2015-11-30 536344 37371591.7696 69.6784
2015-10-31 668493 44105496.9075 65.9775
2015-09-30 207173 13435832.0036 64.8532
2015-08-31 815048 54036133.8088 66.2981
2015-07-31 570830 40153951.773 70.3431
2015-06-30 672020 49156650.152 73.1476
2015-05-31 635826 45846805.9734 72.1059
2015-04-30 718575 54243430.3125 75.4875
2015-03-31 647113 46820049.1986 72.3522
2015-02-28 774654 54191617.7586 69.9559
2015-01-31 486073 32686173.3142 67.2454
2014-12-31 524723 36142710.3508 68.8796

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused CW's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused CW's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2016-07-12 0.4 87834 81080 6754 168.85
2016-07-11 0.67 28833 39721 -10888 Bullish Bias
2016-07-08 1.95 34569 39646 -5077 Bullish Bias
2016-07-07 0.06 18015 24348 -6333 Bullish Bias
2016-07-06 0.42 24483 26771 -2288 Bullish Bias
2016-07-05 -1.73 94361 68407 25954 Bearish Bias
2016-07-01 -0.21 30880 45120 -14240 -678.0952381
2016-06-30 2.5 53625 96855 -43230 Bullish Bias
2016-06-29 2.42 220594 64066 156528 646.8099174
2016-06-28 0.36 59890 73800 -13910 Bullish Bias
2016-06-27 -1.2 125895 72977 52918 Bearish Bias
2016-06-24 -4.53 56270 253237 -196967 -434.8057395
2016-06-23 1.48 115949 52681 63268 427.4864865
2016-06-22 -0.89 52783 73913 -21130 -237.4157303
2016-06-21 -0.89 58330 106248 -47918 -538.4044944
2016-06-20 1.01 125165 76195 48970 484.8514851
2016-06-17 -0.62 32940 36184 -3244 -52.32258065
2016-06-16 0.5 40445 47868 -7423 Bullish Bias
2016-06-15 -0.21 69100 91629 -22529 -1072.809524
2016-06-14 -0.18 48139 46122 2017 Bearish Bias

Valuation

 

Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. CW has a current value of 91.4 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $87.05 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease.

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 18.23 83.26 15795 764 95.39%
SqueezeTrigger 14.869 21.64 11162 868 92.78%
Valuation 19.577 27.08 4010 317 92.67%
Seasonality 11.13 15.23 58649 6596 89.89%
Group Correlation 8.308 15.13 12067 1459 89.21%
PatternScan 12.278 11.42 237915 38225 86.16%
Events 9.876 11.17 4629 826 84.86%
GATS 8.769 7.88 86339 20294 80.97%
Earnings 13.0 10.45 23994 5822 80.47%
Naked Shorts 19.84 10.97 2824 775 78.47%
Friction Factor 10.749 3.62 8236 2533 76.48%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$87.05
52 Week Range$40.04 - $70.33
1 Month Range$60.60 - $68.81
Avg Daily Volume219805.0
PE Ratio20.07
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2016(E)$3.155
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding48MM
Market Capitalization$3067.00MM
 
 

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