Market Read®

  • Monday, July 14 2014

(NYSE: CW)

Curtiss-Wright Corp.


Bullish

Curtiss-Wright Corporation, an engineering company, provides engineered products, systems, and services in the areas of flow control, motion control, and surface treatment technologies to the defense, energy, and commercial/industrial markets worldwide. It operates through three segments: Motion Control, Flow Control, and Metal Treatment. The Motion Control segment designs, manufactures, services, and integrates engineered flight controls, drive and sensor components, and integrated subsystems for defense, aerospace, naval, and industrial applications. Its product groups comprise defense solutions, flight systems, integrated sensing, industrial, and avionics and electronics. The Flow Control segment designs and manufactures engineered valves, pumps, motors, generators, electronics, cable and aircraft handling systems, and related products for defense, nuclear power, oil and gas processing, and other industrial markets. The Metal Treatment segment provides precision metal surface treatments and precision metal finishing services, including shot peening, shot peen forming, laser peening, and specialty coatings for critical components in commercial aerospace, automotive, energy, processing, defense, automotive, and general industrial markets. Curtiss-Wright Corporation was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey.

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of CW expected to move up in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Trend Line Break(3)' pattern. Specifically, a ICM Red Cloud Reversal (+1) variant of Trend Line Break(3) has been detected. The target is $69.45. more
  • GATS predicts CW will move up in the coming weeks. Target is $69.99. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when CW closes above $40.49, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of CW considerably higher.
  • VALUATION CW has a current calculated value of $68.83 which means the stock is undervalued compared to its price of $63.59.

Predictive Range July 02, 2014 - July 29, 2014

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$66.14 - $69.72

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Curtiss-Wright Corp. (NYSE: CW) is predicted to go up in coming weeks based on bullish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. CW has demonstrated Trend Line Break(3) strategy ICM Red Cloud Reversal (+1) with a strength of 1.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of CW expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'ICM Red Cloud Reversal (+1)' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a ICM Red Cloud Reversal (+1) variant of Trend Line Break(3) has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that CW will move up in the coming weeks.

GATS

 

Reduces risk by selecting the highest probability trades across market indices.

Curtiss-Wright Corp. (NYSE: CW) is expected to go up as bullish signals have been generated by top equity trading strategies. This trading system is designed to identify high probability reversion to mean trading candidates. It looks to go long immediately following strong sell-offs, and goes short after sharp run ups. Its trades are short term and hone in on the irrational decisions of emotional traders around these extreme moves.

  • The price of CW expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • Suggested stop level of 60.34 to limit potential trading losses.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for CW is 40.49.

This means that when CW closes above $40.49, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of CW considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2014-07-31 144209 9537031.4806 66.1334
2014-06-30 752813 50479649.8711 67.0547
2014-05-31 1320616 88427522.9288 66.9593
2014-04-30 1377777 86832879.8703 63.0239
2014-03-31 1322334 84400215.5178 63.8267
2014-02-28 549891 32999068.8882 60.0102
2014-01-31 1503934 94599403.7142 62.9013
2013-12-31 1790712 101955620.29 56.9358
2013-11-30 510269 26098218.274 51.146
2013-10-31 938728 45255607.516 48.2095
2013-09-30 1187895 53464303.002 45.0076
2013-08-31 924607 38978657.299 42.157
2013-07-31 141832 5327578.6832 37.5626
2013-06-30 427444 15633978.022 36.5755
2013-05-31 602606 20841309.2918 34.5853
2013-04-30 161857 5488667.9842 33.9106
2013-03-31 97893 3367558.3572 34.4004
2013-02-28 562485 20145231.5295 35.8147
2013-01-31 801315 28162856.727 35.1458
2012-12-31 390857 12530171.8774 32.0582

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused CW's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused CW's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2014-07-07 -1.15 82304 54690 27614 Bearish Bias
2014-07-03 0.78 32555 23667 8888 113.9487179
2014-07-02 -1.44 39190 61049 -21859 -151.7986111
2014-07-01 1.49 53000 106860 -53860 Bullish Bias
2014-06-30 0.06 104453 54853 49600 8266.666667
2014-06-27 0.18 214552 104175 110377 6132.055556
2014-06-26 -1.11 39966 63249 -23283 -209.7567568
2014-06-25 0.15 32930 44327 -11397 Bullish Bias
2014-06-24 -1.55 51565 64240 -12675 -81.77419355
2014-06-23 -0.31 34004 48281 -14277 -460.5483871
2014-06-20 0.3 87957 128207 -40250 Bullish Bias
2014-06-19 0.34 38069 45850 -7781 Bullish Bias
2014-06-18 0.46 61353 79960 -18607 Bullish Bias
2014-06-17 0.9 74025 94519 -20494 Bullish Bias
2014-06-16 -0.47 43252 34427 8825 Bearish Bias
2014-06-13 -0.01 29241 38666 -9425 -9425
2014-06-12 -0.15 51030 71829 -20799 -1386.6
2014-06-11 -1.63 45497 58159 -12662 -77.6809816
2014-06-10 -0.43 62905 58325 4580 Bearish Bias
2014-06-09 0.93 145552 135187 10365 111.4516129

Valuation

 

Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. CW has a current value of 68.83 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $63.59 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease.

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.14 73.22 9094 472 95.07%
SqueezeTrigger 12.746 22.38 7780 471 94.29%
Group Correlation 7.358 15.0 1309 86 93.84%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.455 15.2 42634 4138 91.15%
PatternScan 8.448 11.36 133678 19298 87.38%
Events 6.937 11.19 3396 544 86.19%
GATS 5.386 7.94 45118 8572 84.03%
Earnings 8.677 10.28 21694 4355 83.28%
Naked Shorts 14.525 10.84 2232 589 79.12%
Friction Factor 7.506 3.63 5606 1607 77.72%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$63.59
52 Week Range$38.40 - $70.33
1 Month Range$62.27 - $68.81
Avg Daily Volume219430.0
PE Ratio20.8
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2014(E)$3.155
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding48MM
Market Capitalization$3199.00MM
 
 

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