Market Read®

  • Sunday, December 04 2016

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between October 24, 2016 and October 28, 2016. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NASDAQ: FCBC)

First
Community
Bancshares


Bullish

First Community Bancshares, Inc. operates as the holding company for First Community Bank that provides various commercial banking products and services. It offers demand deposit accounts, savings and money market accounts, certificates of deposit, and individual retirement arrangements; commercial, consumer, and real estate mortgage loans, as well as lines of credit; various credit and debit cards, and automated teller machine card services; and corporate and personal trust services. It also provides wealth management services, including trust management, estate administration, and investment advisory services; investment management services; and life, health, and property and casualty insurance products. It serves individuals and businesses across various industries, such as manufacturing, construction, retail, healthcare, military, and transportation. The company operates 48 branches in 4 states under the trade names First Community Bank in Virginia, West Virginia, and North Carolina; and People s Community Bank, a Division of First Community Bank, in Tennessee. First Community Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in Bluefield, Virginia.

Investment Highlights

  • EARNINGS predicts that FCBC will move up 4.30% by October 28, 2016. The target is $25.04. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when FCBC closes above $15.29, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of FCBC considerably higher.

Predictive Range October 25, 2016 - October 28, 2016

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$24.00 - $25.04

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Earnings

 

Predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after earnings reports.

The movement of stock prices in the days and weeks leading to and following these earnings announcements may follow a predictable pattern. Most companies stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings dates. But some seem to repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. The # of Reports in the table below shows how many previous quarterly reports comprise the indicator that predicts how a stock will act after its earnings are released.
Earnings, or profits, drive stock prices. The market values a company based on its current and anticipated future ability to make money. The market takes the earnings pulse of a company four times per year when quarterly reports are issued. When this information is released it can often be a trend-changing or a trend confirming event because the information is so vital to the market's perception of the vitality of that company.
This technology is designed to help the stock trader identify those companies that seem to have a consistent pattern of movement before or after the earnings release date, based on the history

  • FCBC, currently trading around 27.98 expected to hit $25.04.
  • The price of FCBC tends to move up after earnings report dates.
  • Of the previous 6 earnings releases, FCBC has moved up 67% of the time.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for FCBC is 15.29.

This means that when FCBC closes above $15.29, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of FCBC considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2016-10-31 152247 3707488.4946 24.3518
2016-09-30 69352 1666112.448 24.024
2016-08-31 205097 4798326.3538 23.3954
2016-07-31 264441 5988160.6686 22.6446
2016-06-30 191482 4224858.848 22.064
2016-05-31 194630 4070355.579 20.9133
2016-04-30 311693 6298099.9273 20.2061
2016-03-31 592025 11378187.6775 19.2191
2016-02-29 355094 6331681.114 17.831
2016-01-31 440530 7815662.995 17.7415
2015-12-31 461542 8879652.6922 19.2391
2015-11-30 416576 8287279.6288 19.8938
2015-10-31 341220 6268416.132 18.3706
2015-09-30 467965 8308578.1855 17.7547
2015-08-31 293212 5172201.0376 17.6398
2015-07-31 223722 4052567.4246 18.1143
2015-06-30 345203 6158801.2433 17.8411
2015-05-31 474851 7933573.0825 16.7075
2015-04-30 269154 4676362.3422 17.3743
2015-03-31 238935 3971481.996 16.6216

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused FCBC's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused FCBC's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2016-10-21 0.09 5454 6415 -961 Bullish Bias
2016-10-20 0.03 7524 8865 -1341 Bullish Bias
2016-10-19 0.1 8999 16263 -7264 Bullish Bias
2016-10-18 -0.21 4547 5259 -712 -33.9047619
2016-10-17 -0.42 4513 4275 238 Bearish Bias
2016-10-14 0.06 3504 6039 -2535 Bullish Bias
2016-10-13 -0.55 5391 2797 2594 Bearish Bias
2016-10-12 0.56 4718 5498 -780 Bullish Bias
2016-10-11 -0.27 5144 8468 -3324 -123.1111111
2016-10-10 0.09 10311 8491 1820 202.2222222
2016-10-07 0.02 2500 5925 -3425 Bullish Bias
2016-10-06 -0.16 8915 6100 2815 Bearish Bias
2016-10-05 -0.04 8686 6079 2607 Bearish Bias
2016-10-04 0.06 6196 8677 -2481 Bullish Bias
2016-10-03 -0.22 3624 7240 -3616 -164.3636364
2016-09-30 0.25 18795 11800 6995 279.8
2016-09-29 -0.46 6102 2600 3502 Bearish Bias
2016-09-28 0.19 3012 9952 -6940 Bullish Bias
2016-09-27 0.55 4718 7119 -2401 Bullish Bias
2016-09-26 -0.67 6936 5163 1773 Bearish Bias

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 25.483 1.43 9802 205 97.95%
SqueezeTrigger 33.1 0.97 4854 222 95.63%
Seasonality 17.036 1.22 20080 1178 94.46%
Group Correlation 11.122 1.43 10508 732 93.49%
Events 19.564 1.15 1455 146 90.88%
PatternScan 33.673 1.41 120222 12684 90.46%
GATS 21.358 1.41 48568 8155 85.62%
Naked Shorts 47.39 1.5 1096 226 82.90%
Friction Factor 528.887 0.69 2545 616 80.51%
Earnings 15.327 1.02 2519 620 80.25%

Prediction Success

 

Past success in predictions regarding First Community Bancshares.

  • September 23, 2016 - First Community Bancshares Inc. (NASDAQ:FCBC), Up After ${brandname}.com Report Predicted Stock Would Go Up Due To Conditions Outlined In Our Report

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$27.98
52 Week Range$13.75 - $18.29
1 Month Range$13.75 - $14.87
Avg Daily Volume38560.0
PE Ratio13.21
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2016(E)$1.067
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding18MM
Market Capitalization$260.10MM
 
 

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