Market Read®

  • Sunday, August 02 2015

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between June 10, 2015 and June 29, 2015. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: KEY)

Keycorp


Bullish

KeyCorp operates as a holding company for KeyBank National Association that provides various banking services in the United States. The companys Community Bank segment offers regional banking services, including deposit and investment products; personal finance services and loans comprising residential mortgages, home equity, and installment loans; deposits, investment and credit products, and business advisory services to small businesses; and financial, estate and retirement planning, and asset management services to high-net-worth clients. This segment also provides commercial banking products and services, such as commercial lending, cash management, equipment leasing, investment and employee benefit programs, succession planning, access to capital markets, and derivatives and foreign exchange to mid size businesses. Its Corporate Bank segment offers real estate capital banking services, including construction and interim lending, permanent debt placements and servicing, equity and investment banking, and other commercial banking products and services to developers, brokers, and owner-investors. This segment also provides corporate banking services comprising cash management, interest rate derivatives, and foreign exchange products and services; commercial lending, treasury management, investment banking, derivatives, foreign exchange, equity and debt underwriting and trading, and syndicated finance products and services; and equipment financing services to corporations and middle-market companies. The company also offers personal and corporate trust services, principal investing, community development financing, securities underwriting and brokerage, and merchant services. As of December 31, 2009, it operated 1,033 retail banking branches in 14 states; a telephone banking call center; and 1,531 automated teller machines in 15 states. The company was founded in 1849 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of KEY expected to move up in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Trend Line Reversal(5+)' pattern. Specifically, a TS Long Term variant of Trend Line Reversal(5+) has been detected. The target is $15.79. more
  • GATS predicts KEY will move up in the coming weeks. Target is $15.58. more
  • FRICTION FACTOR detects positive price friction, allowing the price to more easily move up to $15.71 by June 16, 2015. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when KEY closes above $8.89, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of KEY considerably higher.
  • VALUATION KEY has a current calculated value of $15.92 which means the stock is undervalued compared to its price of $14.89.

Predictive Range June 08, 2015 - June 29, 2015

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$15.18 - $15.69

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Keycorp (NYSE: KEY) is predicted to go up in coming weeks based on bullish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. KEY has demonstrated Trend Line Reversal(5+) strategy TS Long Term with a strength of 3.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of KEY expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'TS Long Term' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a TS Long Term variant of Trend Line Reversal(5+) has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that KEY will move up in the coming weeks.

Friction Factor

 

Uses stock price and transaction volume to help time buying and selling decisions.

Keycorp (NYSE: KEY) is expected to go higher The Friction Factor displays how many more shares of buying than selling are required to move a stock higher by one cent or how many more shares of selling than buying moves a stock lower by 1 cent.

  • The price of KEY expected to move up.
  • Positive price friction detected in the volume of the stock indicates the price should move to $15.71 by June 16, 2015.

GATS

 

Reduces risk by selecting the highest probability trades across market indices.

Keycorp (NYSE: KEY) is expected to go up as bullish signals have been generated by top equity trading strategies. This trading system is designed to identify high probability reversion to mean trading candidates. It looks to go long immediately following strong sell-offs, and goes short after sharp run ups. Its trades are short term and hone in on the irrational decisions of emotional traders around these extreme moves.

  • The price of KEY expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • Suggested stop level of 13.59 to limit potential trading losses.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for KEY is 8.89.

This means that when KEY closes above $8.89, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of KEY considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2015-06-30 13537246 201236576.688 14.8654
2015-05-31 39419868 580426020.406 14.7242
2015-04-30 46968705 668017103.733 14.2226
2015-03-31 6241724 87161930.6256 13.9644
2015-02-28 9964502 135666694.73 13.615
2015-01-31 11411433 152751159.851 13.3858
2014-12-31 46201680 623731920.336 13.5002
2014-11-30 31893598 427045709.141 13.3897
2014-10-31 66446327 849177414.427 12.7799
2014-09-30 38368293 527303124.358 13.7432
2014-08-31 33717017 449309596.84 13.3259
2014-07-31 34694471 488498151.68 14.08
2014-06-30 38783611 549808104.619 14.1763
2014-05-31 35020955 472828419.742 13.5013
2014-04-30 44529787 612351365.931 13.7515
2014-03-31 67016652 934567317.136 13.9453
2014-02-28 38679513 493987664.377 12.7713
2014-01-31 73403621 988240289.885 13.4631
2013-12-31 26129125 336289677.488 12.8703
2013-11-30 39423617 504369986.451 12.7936

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused KEY's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused KEY's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2015-06-09 0.23 4596416 2948185 1648231 71662.21739
2015-06-08 0.01 3154894 2231336 923558 923558
2015-06-05 0.35 3706729 3705772 957 27.34285714
2015-06-04 -0.09 2780087 3069692 -289605 -32178.33333
2015-06-03 0.22 4069169 3930872 138297 6286.227273
2015-06-02 0.13 2557852 3172531 -614679 Bullish Bias
2015-06-01 -0.07 2717868 3264133 -546265 -78037.85714
2015-05-29 -0.28 3050682 4209902 -1159220 -41400.71429
2015-05-28 -0.09 1909617 2497462 -587845 -65316.11111
2015-05-27 0.13 2875069 3274447 -399378 Bullish Bias
2015-05-26 -0.07 3410093 3448631 -38538 -5505.428571
2015-05-22 -0.02 1060632 1588981 -528349 -264174.5
2015-05-21 -0.05 2073128 2223845 -150717 -30143.4
2015-05-20 -0.14 1856370 1896385 -40015 -2858.214286
2015-05-19 0.19 3140020 2584532 555488 29236.21053
2015-05-18 0.16 2274258 1984802 289456 18091
2015-05-15 -0.23 4475023 4720673 -245650 -10680.43478
2015-05-14 0.01 3516878 3581826 -64948 Bullish Bias
2015-05-13 0.2 5609925 5407974 201951 10097.55
2015-05-12 -0.02 5378622 4772028 606594 Bearish Bias

Valuation

 

Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. KEY has a current value of 15.92 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $14.89 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease.

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 16.154 80.71 12639 570 95.68%
SqueezeTrigger 12.482 21.79 9670 654 93.67%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.277 15.24 52276 4910 91.41%
Group Correlation 6.446 14.62 6153 738 89.29%
PatternScan 8.433 11.43 192852 28711 87.04%
Events 6.826 11.27 4223 643 86.79%
Earnings 8.491 10.29 24322 4882 83.28%
GATS 5.376 7.85 67571 13947 82.89%
Naked Shorts 13.807 10.96 2745 706 79.54%
Friction Factor 6.987 3.63 7338 2100 77.75%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$14.89
52 Week Range$11.05 - $14.70
1 Month Range$13.51 - $14.62
Avg Daily Volume7922991.0
PE Ratio13.79
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2015(E)$1.026
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding883MM
Market Capitalization$12516.00MM
 
 

QUESTIONS?

ACCOUNT SUPPORT 855-879-3258
EMAIL - support@wealthmakers.com