Market Read®

  • Thursday, July 10 2014

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between October 10, 2013 and November 18, 2013. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: LDK)

Ldk Solar Co. Ltd


Bearish

LDK Solar Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and marketing of photovoltaic (PV) products; and development of power plant projects. It offers solar-grade and semiconductor-grade polysilicon; and multicrystalline and monocrystalline solar wafers to the manufacturers of solar cells and solar modules. The company also provides wafer processing services to monocrystalline and multicrystalline solar cell and module manufacturers; and sells silicon materials, such as ingots and polysilicon scraps. In addition, it engages in the production and sale of solar cells and modules to developers, distributors, and system integrators; and design and development of solar power projects in Europe, the United States, and China, as well as provides engineering, procurement, and construction services. LDK Solar Co., Ltd. operates in Europe, the Asia Pacific, and North America. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Xinyu City, the People s Republic of China. On November 22, 2011, LDK Solar Co., Ltd. filed for administration.

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of LDK expected to move down in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Trend Line Break(3)' pattern. Specifically, a ACT EOD variant of Trend Line Break(3) has been detected. The target is $1.50. more
  • SEASONALITY expects the price of LDK expected to move down to $1.46 by November 18, 2013. more
  • VALUATION LDK has a current calculated value of $0.13 which means the stock is overvalued compared to its price of $1.01.

Predictive Range October 04, 2013 - November 18, 2013

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$1.70 - $1.48

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Ldk Solar Co. Ltd (NYSE: LDK) is predicted to go down in coming weeks based on bearish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. LDK has demonstrated Trend Line Break(3) strategy ACT EOD with a strength of 5.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of LDK expected to move down in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'ACT EOD' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a ACT EOD variant of Trend Line Break(3) has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that LDK will move down in the coming weeks.

Seasonality

 

Predicts probability and percentage of stock movements based on seasonal factors.

Ldk Solar Co. Ltd (NYSE: LDK) is predicted to go down in coming weeks based on bearish trends that appear around this time of the year. By identifying stocks that are poised to go up or down based on seasonal tendencies, traders can increase their odds of making money. LDK, currently trading at 1.01 expected to hit $1.46 by November 18, 2013.

  • The price of LDK expected to move down to $1.46 by November 18, 2013.
  • Expected loss of -14.76% from price at time of prediction (1.71).
  • This pattern has held 6.0 of the last 6.0 seasonal periods. (100.00%)

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for LDK is 7.60.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2013-10-31 13942128 25021937.1216 1.7947
2013-09-30 12470213 20219203.3582 1.6214
2013-08-31 1240919 1989937.7084 1.6036
2013-07-31 13736555 22342506.7075 1.6265
2013-06-30 9420351 13351463.4723 1.4173
2013-05-31 16821843 27239610.3699 1.6193
2013-04-30 7939709 9345831.4639 1.1771
2013-03-31 4843603 6761185.4277 1.3959
2013-02-28 13094661 23138265.987 1.767
2013-01-31 21764966 41919324.516 1.926
2012-12-31 11468517 14134947.2025 1.2325
2012-11-30 4341268 4370788.6224 1.0068
2012-10-31 2668520 2435558.204 0.9127
2012-09-30 560021 714922.8086 1.2766
2012-08-31 2878510 4041715.891 1.4041
2012-07-31 3171722 5601578.2242 1.7661
2012-06-30 6967368 13781453.904 1.978
2012-05-31 7737071 20240177.736 2.616
2012-04-30 1805562 6453800.8128 3.5744
2012-03-31 3707726 18800395.4556 5.0706

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused LDK's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused LDK's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2013-10-09 0.07 1137747 1346317 -208570 Bullish Bias
2013-10-08 -0.02 2991932 3237935 -246003 -123001.5
2013-10-07 -0.02 1110441 1470022 -359581 -179790.5
2013-10-04 -0.01 794832 752649 42183 Bearish Bias
2013-10-03 -0.06 2261118 2756379 -495261 -82543.5
2013-10-02 -0.14 1879797 2250639 -370842 -26488.71429
2013-10-01 -0.04 5944869 6230120 -285251 -71312.75
2013-09-30 0.45 5652853 4520027 1132826 25173.91111
2013-09-27 0.01 812984 826500 -13516 Bullish Bias
2013-09-26 -0.04 529768 1027272 -497504 -124376
2013-09-25 0.01 792702 732648 60054 60054
2013-09-24 0.02 434930 544340 -109410 Bullish Bias
2013-09-23 -0.01 620480 654328 -33848 -33848
2013-09-20 0.0 671511 823750 -152239 Bullish Bias
2013-09-19 -0.02 301070 362612 -61542 -30771
2013-09-18 0.01 182100 255521 -73421 Bullish Bias
2013-09-17 -0.02 160411 122434 37977 Bearish Bias
2013-09-16 -0.01 239780 276228 -36448 -36448
2013-09-13 0.05 302095 296229 5866 1173.2
2013-09-12 -0.05 330529 361250 -30721 -6144.2

Valuation

 

Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. LDK has a current value of 0.13 per share. Therefore, it is overvalued compared to its Price of $1.01 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease.

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.127 73.12 9082 474 95.04%
SqueezeTrigger 12.737 22.37 7779 472 94.28%
Group Correlation 7.346 14.96 1308 88 93.70%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.458 15.2 42589 4126 91.17%
PatternScan 8.448 11.37 133305 19233 87.39%
Events 6.942 11.19 3387 543 86.18%
GATS 5.388 7.95 45028 8523 84.08%
Earnings 8.681 10.28 21679 4349 83.29%
Naked Shorts 14.491 10.83 2233 589 79.13%
Friction Factor 7.503 3.63 5599 1602 77.75%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$1.01
52 Week Range$0.93 - $2.17
1 Month Range$0.97 - $1.11
Avg Daily Volume1424920.0
PE Ratio0.0
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2014(E)$-5.526
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding194MM
Market Capitalization$196.70MM
 
 

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