Market Read®

  • Saturday, February 06 2016

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between December 22, 2015 and January 12, 2016. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: SJR)

Shaw Communications Inc.


Bearish

Shaw Communications Inc., a diversified communications and media company, provides broadband cable television, Internet, digital phone and telecommunications services, direct-to-home (DTH) satellite services and satellite distribution services, and programming content in Canada and the United States. The company operates through Consumer, Business Network Services, Business Infrastructure Services, and Media segments. The Consumer segment provides cable telecommunications services, including video, Internet, WiFi and phone, and satellite video services. The Business Network Services segment provides data networking, video, voice, and Internet services through a national fiber-optic backbone network; and satellite video and fleet tracking services. The Business Infrastructure Services segment provides data center colocation, cloud, and managed services. The Media segment provides programming content services through conventional television networks, global television, and 19 specialty networks, including HGTV Canada, Food Network Canada, HISTORY, and Showcase, as well as through on-line and over the top video platforms. The company serves resource, health care, professional service, education, hospitality, and service and retail industries, as well as provides services to commercial and residential developers and government. As of October 22, 2015, it served 3.2 million customers. The company was formerly known as Shaw Cable systems Ltd. and changed its name to Shaw Communications Inc. in May 1993. Shaw Communications Inc. was founded in 1966 and is based in Calgary, Canada.

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of SJR expected to move down in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Measured Gap' pattern. Specifically, a Breakout (Stocks) DO variant of Measured Gap has been detected. The target is $16.55. more
  • GATS predicts SJR will move down in the coming weeks. Target is $17.49. more

Predictive Range December 18, 2015 - January 12, 2016

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$17.42 - $17.02

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Shaw Communications Inc. (NYSE: SJR) is predicted to go down in coming weeks based on bearish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. SJR has demonstrated Measured Gap strategy Breakout (Stocks) DO with a strength of 1.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of SJR expected to move down in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'Breakout (Stocks) DO' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a Breakout (Stocks) DO variant of Measured Gap has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that SJR will move down in the coming weeks.

GATS

 

Reduces risk by selecting the highest probability trades across market indices.

Shaw Communications Inc. (NYSE: SJR) is expected to go down as bearish signals have been generated by top equity trading strategies. This trading system is designed to identify high probability reversion to mean trading candidates. It looks to go long immediately following strong sell-offs, and goes short after sharp run ups. Its trades are short term and hone in on the irrational decisions of emotional traders around these extreme moves.

  • The price of SJR expected to move down in the coming weeks.
  • Suggested stop level of 16.06 to limit potential trading losses.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for SJR is 21.83.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2015-12-31 741797 14286639.3215 19.2595
2015-11-30 657993 13519189.9773 20.5461
2015-10-31 938642 18931470.498 20.169
2015-09-30 925902 18078051.3696 19.5248
2015-08-31 956121 19386500.6202 20.2762
2015-07-31 1067109 22736464.6194 21.3066
2015-06-30 265068 5836770.8532 22.0199
2015-05-31 790623 17724897.9747 22.4189
2015-04-30 1184397 26882969.3472 22.6976
2015-03-31 1369997 31264838.5367 22.8211
2015-02-28 361893 8596985.3508 23.7556
2015-01-31 1856312 46072550.0528 24.8194
2014-12-31 345372 9269370.0336 26.8388
2014-11-30 536877 14013563.454 26.102
2014-10-31 926413 22847938.5364 24.6628
2014-09-30 922324 23243118.1944 25.2006
2014-08-31 737043 18293849.4858 24.8206
2014-07-31 685519 17588772.2944 25.6576
2014-06-30 1508539 37441636.2722 24.8198
2014-05-31 655136 16214550.4864 24.7499

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused SJR's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused SJR's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2015-12-21 0.04 109897 122687 -12790 Bullish Bias
2015-12-18 -0.88 171742 306805 -135063 -1534.806818
2015-12-17 -1.74 226930 204520 22410 Bearish Bias
2015-12-16 0.0 67711 82840 -15129 Bullish Bias
2015-12-15 0.39 101231 79500 21731 557.2051282
2015-12-14 -0.18 93194 129739 -36545 -2030.277778
2015-12-11 -0.28 58159 60623 -2464 -88
2015-12-10 -0.13 80938 71654 9284 Bearish Bias
2015-12-09 0.02 64578 80299 -15721 Bullish Bias
2015-12-08 -0.38 67320 73228 -5908 -155.4736842
2015-12-07 -0.46 83320 117760 -34440 -748.6956522
2015-12-04 0.09 95433 61915 33518 3724.222222
2015-12-03 -0.26 71275 63911 7364 Bearish Bias
2015-12-02 -0.17 60639 88452 -27813 -1636.058824
2015-12-01 0.3 82994 56047 26947 898.2333333
2015-11-30 0.16 60411 73726 -13315 Bullish Bias
2015-11-27 0.08 11802 18843 -7041 Bullish Bias
2015-11-25 -0.07 105231 66163 39068 Bearish Bias
2015-11-24 0.04 79025 71969 7056 1764
2015-11-23 -0.22 84636 91872 -7236 -328.9090909

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 17.342 84.31 14307 604 95.95%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
SqueezeTrigger 12.475 21.36 10618 766 93.27%
Seasonality 7.255 15.12 56860 5321 91.44%
Group Correlation 7.011 14.96 9295 1071 89.67%
PatternScan 8.431 11.37 219684 32846 86.99%
Events 6.792 11.24 4517 690 86.75%
Earnings 8.501 10.33 24765 4987 83.24%
GATS 5.527 7.87 78488 16569 82.57%
Naked Shorts 13.639 10.98 2920 750 79.56%
Friction Factor 6.99 3.61 8172 2361 77.58%

Prediction Success

 

Past success in predictions regarding Shaw Communications Inc..

  • December 21, 2015 - SHAW COMMUNICATIONS INC-B (NYSE:SJR), Down After ${brandname}.com Report Predicted Stock Would Go Down Due To Conditions Outlined In Our Report

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$17.32
52 Week Range$21.77 - $26.30
1 Month Range$24.41 - $26.30
Avg Daily Volume382010.0
PE Ratio16.6
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2016(E)$1.577
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding459MM
Market Capitalization$11778.00MM
 
 

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