Market Read®

  • Tuesday, July 07 2015

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between January 09, 2015 and February 06, 2015. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NASDAQ: TROW)

T. Rowe Price Group


Bullish

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is a publicly owned asset management holding company. The firm primarily provides its services to individual and institutional investors, retirement plans, and financial intermediaries. Through its subsidiaries, it manages separate client-focused equity, fixed income, and balanced portfolios. The firm also launches equity, fixed income, and balanced mutual funds for its clients. It invests in the public equity, fixed income, markets across the globe. It also invests in late-stage venture capital transactions with equity investments between $3 million and $5 million. The firm was previously known as T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. T. Rowe Price Group was founded in 1937 and is based in Baltimore, Maryland with additional offices across North America, Europe, and Asia.

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of TROW expected to move up in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Three Inside Up' pattern. Specifically, a ICM Cloud Bounce (+2) variant of Three Inside Up has been detected. The target is $88.80. more
  • GATS predicts TROW will move up in the coming weeks. Target is $87.29. more
  • GROUP CORRELATION predicts the price of TROW expected to move up to $84.69 in the coming weeks. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when TROW closes above $59.12, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of TROW considerably higher.
  • VALUATION TROW has a current calculated value of $106.55 which means the stock is undervalued compared to its price of $77.2.

Predictive Range January 09, 2015 - February 06, 2015

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$84.51 - $86.93

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

T. Rowe Price Group (NASDAQ: TROW) is predicted to go up in coming weeks based on bullish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. TROW has demonstrated Three Inside Up strategy ICM Cloud Bounce (+2) with a strength of 2.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of TROW expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'ICM Cloud Bounce (+2)' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a ICM Cloud Bounce (+2) variant of Three Inside Up has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that TROW will move up in the coming weeks.

Group Sector

 

Identifies stocks that respond to group consensus "herd mentality" market movements.

T. Rowe Price Group (NASDAQ: TROW) is predicted to go up as the top stocks in the Financial have fired buy signals. The majority of the top stocks in the Financial sector have fired buy signals as of today. Group rotation is a phenomenon where institutions exert buying or selling pressure in an industry group, pushing prices of the group higher or lower relative to the general market. An industry can often lead or lag the market, and the most highly correlated stocks usually move in unison.

  • The price of TROW expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • TROW is strongly correlated (0.85) to stocks in the Financial sector.
  • These stocks have fired sell signals, and TROW is expected to follow.

GATS

 

Reduces risk by selecting the highest probability trades across market indices.

T. Rowe Price Group (NASDAQ: TROW) is expected to go up as bullish signals have been generated by top equity trading strategies. This trading system is designed to identify high probability reversion to mean trading candidates. It looks to go long immediately following strong sell-offs, and goes short after sharp run ups. Its trades are short term and hone in on the irrational decisions of emotional traders around these extreme moves.

  • The price of TROW expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • Suggested stop level of 76.06 to limit potential trading losses.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for TROW is 59.12.

This means that when TROW closes above $59.12, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of TROW considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2015-01-31 1444539 121262548.625 83.9455
2014-12-31 2672962 223333192.097 83.5527
2014-11-30 3775183 311959982.095 82.6344
2014-10-31 8110233 621073532.907 76.579
2014-09-30 7080301 563778879.546 79.6264
2014-08-31 6308696 495679922.546 78.5709
2014-07-31 5520964 451513821.559 81.7817
2014-06-30 3463753 287538606.041 83.0136
2014-05-31 3649235 294960731.503 80.8281
2014-04-30 6067698 489603765.16 80.6902
2014-03-31 5370973 440039521.112 81.9292
2014-02-28 5533513 437638349.603 79.0887
2014-01-31 8664778 700133991.389 80.8023
2013-12-31 2509520 199665692.616 79.5633
2013-11-30 6470489 510266644.833 78.8606
2013-10-31 3957719 288395421.583 72.8691
2013-09-30 5665651 409734214.669 72.319
2013-08-31 5817392 427281625.008 73.449
2013-07-31 7074008 537670589.052 76.0065
2013-06-30 5028873 371482345.623 73.8699

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused TROW's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused TROW's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2015-01-08 0.99 512944 652019 -139075 Bullish Bias
2015-01-07 0.8 676463 523176 153287 1916.0875
2015-01-06 -1.46 923569 841287 82282 Bearish Bias
2015-01-05 -1.9 562324 525704 36620 Bearish Bias
2015-01-02 -0.1 507262 425706 81556 Bearish Bias
2014-12-31 -1.05 333395 499513 -166118 -1582.07619
2014-12-30 -0.35 256771 323832 -67061 -1916.028571
2014-12-29 0.08 248399 329410 -81011 Bullish Bias
2014-12-26 0.19 197501 302858 -105357 Bullish Bias
2014-12-24 -0.09 167807 212516 -44709 -4967.666667
2014-12-23 0.37 495465 536636 -41171 Bullish Bias
2014-12-22 0.5 525590 389461 136129 2722.58
2014-12-19 0.33 988804 1044486 -55682 Bullish Bias
2014-12-18 2.39 833109 1042691 -209582 Bullish Bias
2014-12-17 2.42 813168 813556 -388 Bullish Bias
2014-12-16 -0.82 942627 947629 -5002 -61
2014-12-15 0.42 947498 789545 157953 3760.785714
2014-12-12 -1.46 959939 1004000 -44061 -301.7876712
2014-12-11 -0.19 803004 910758 -107754 -5671.263158
2014-12-10 -0.78 554121 647059 -92938 -1191.512821

Valuation

 

Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. TROW has a current value of 106.55 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $77.2 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease.

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.877 79.24 12440 584 95.52%
SqueezeTrigger 12.534 21.87 9555 639 93.73%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.273 15.23 51785 4841 91.45%
Group Correlation 6.349 14.52 5306 674 88.73%
PatternScan 8.464 11.47 189272 27953 87.13%
Events 6.831 11.26 4181 639 86.74%
Earnings 8.51 10.35 24115 4842 83.28%
GATS 5.366 7.86 65829 13621 82.86%
Naked Shorts 13.812 10.96 2727 704 79.48%
Friction Factor 7.019 3.64 7196 2061 77.74%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$77.20
52 Week Range$69.90 - $85.74
1 Month Range$80.16 - $85.74
Avg Daily Volume1171920.0
PE Ratio19.85
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2015(E)$4.11
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding262MM
Market Capitalization$21434.00MM
 
 

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