Market Read®

  • Tuesday, August 04 2015

(NYSE: TX)

Ternium S.A.


Bearish

Ternium S.A. manufactures and processes various steel products in Mexico, Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, Paraguay, Uruguay, the United States, Central America, Colombia, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Steel and Mining. The Steel segment offers steel products, such as slabs, billets and round bars, hot-rolled coils and sheets, bars and stirrups, wire rods, cold-rolled coils and sheets, tin plates, hot dipped galvanized and electrogalvanized sheets, pre-painted sheets, steel pipes and tubular products, beams, and roll formed products, as well as pre-engineered metal building systems. The Mining segment sells iron ore concentrates and pellets. The company serves various companies and small businesses that are operating in the construction, automotive, home appliances, capital goods, container, food, and energy industries. Ternium S.A. was founded in 1961 and is based in Luxembourg. Ternium S.A. is a subsidiary of San Faustin S.A.

Investment Highlights

  • EARNINGS predicts that TX will move down -8.30% by August 17, 2015. The target is $14.26. more
  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of TX expected to move down in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Breakaway Gap' pattern. Specifically, a SS Heikin Ashi 2 variant of Breakaway Gap has been detected. The target is $14.11. more

Predictive Range August 04, 2015 - August 25, 2015

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$15.36 - $14.18

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Earnings

 

Predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after earnings reports.

The movement of stock prices in the days and weeks leading to and following these earnings announcements may follow a predictable pattern. Most companies stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings dates. But some seem to repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. The # of Reports in the table below shows how many previous quarterly reports comprise the indicator that predicts how a stock will act after its earnings are released.
Earnings, or profits, drive stock prices. The market values a company based on its current and anticipated future ability to make money. The market takes the earnings pulse of a company four times per year when quarterly reports are issued. When this information is released it can often be a trend-changing or a trend confirming event because the information is so vital to the market's perception of the vitality of that company.
This technology is designed to help the stock trader identify those companies that seem to have a consistent pattern of movement before or after the earnings release date, based on the history

  • TX, currently trading around 15.27 expected to hit $14.26.
  • The price of TX tends to move down after earnings report dates.
  • Of the previous 5 earnings releases, TX has moved down 100% of the time.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Ternium S.A. (NYSE: TX) is predicted to go down in coming weeks based on bearish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. TX has demonstrated Breakaway Gap strategy SS Heikin Ashi 2 with a strength of 1.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of TX expected to move down in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'SS Heikin Ashi 2' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a SS Heikin Ashi 2 variant of Breakaway Gap has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that TX will move down in the coming weeks.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for TX is 26.32.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2015-08-31 9253 142079.815 15.355
2015-07-31 656062 10368075.817 15.8035
2015-06-30 516650 10056798.91 19.4654
2015-05-31 234417 4924468.2441 21.0073
2015-04-30 315150 5749123.875 18.2425
2015-03-31 600349 10682910.2805 17.7945
2015-02-28 1029697 18491916.5442 17.9586
2015-01-31 1069303 17609602.5949 16.4683
2014-12-31 434233 8209174.865 18.905
2014-11-30 334383 7271058.0201 21.7447
2014-10-31 3190518 69487886.781 21.7795
2014-09-30 749200 19711976.44 26.3107
2014-08-31 663909 17246895.2202 25.9778
2014-07-31 84124 2419776.3856 28.7644
2014-06-30 602841 16766455.0284 27.8124
2014-05-31 573462 16544493.3924 28.8502
2014-04-30 502164 15099920.8308 30.0697
2014-03-31 842062 24707025.3482 29.3411
2014-02-28 1259516 37811929.836 30.021
2014-01-31 1415373 43245872.7912 30.5544

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused TX's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused TX's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2015-08-03 -0.45 26558 21926 4632 Bearish Bias
2015-07-31 -0.24 45841 31397 14444 Bearish Bias
2015-07-30 -0.05 71210 95240 -24030 -4806
2015-07-29 0.41 97456 83502 13954 340.3414634
2015-07-28 0.2 75664 117827 -42163 Bullish Bias
2015-07-27 0.1 86535 46429 40106 4010.6
2015-07-24 -0.15 91604 96149 -4545 -303
2015-07-23 -0.07 61300 44212 17088 Bearish Bias
2015-07-22 -0.18 109846 81823 28023 Bearish Bias
2015-07-21 0.5 53016 64179 -11163 Bullish Bias
2015-07-20 -0.68 138778 120880 17898 Bearish Bias
2015-07-17 -0.32 93079 110143 -17064 -533.25
2015-07-16 0.0 89068 74694 14374 Bearish Bias
2015-07-15 -0.53 105327 75591 29736 Bearish Bias
2015-07-14 -0.13 49488 29592 19896 Bearish Bias
2015-07-13 0.26 61559 77145 -15586 Bullish Bias
2015-07-10 0.06 52064 43757 8307 1384.5
2015-07-09 0.02 27779 41476 -13697 Bullish Bias
2015-07-08 -0.45 37925 30323 7602 Bearish Bias
2015-07-07 -0.57 47541 45904 1637 Bearish Bias

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 16.169 80.82 12647 571 95.68%
SqueezeTrigger 12.479 21.78 9672 657 93.64%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.279 15.25 52298 4907 91.42%
Group Correlation 6.457 14.62 6180 757 89.09%
PatternScan 8.436 11.43 193034 28786 87.02%
Events 6.828 11.27 4226 642 86.81%
Earnings 8.488 10.29 24334 4885 83.28%
GATS 5.375 7.86 67715 13973 82.89%
Naked Shorts 13.806 10.97 2746 706 79.55%
Friction Factor 6.986 3.64 7349 2099 77.78%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$15.27
52 Week Range$21.48 - $32.99
1 Month Range$27.60 - $30.10
Avg Daily Volume113535.0
PE Ratio11.9
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2015(E)$2.426
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding196MM
Market Capitalization$5612.00MM
 
 

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