Market Read®

  • Saturday, February 13 2016

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between December 14, 2015 and December 31, 2015. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: TX)

Ternium S.A.


Bullish

Ternium S.A. manufactures and processes various steel products in Mexico, Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, Paraguay, Uruguay, the United States, Central America, Colombia, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Steel and Mining. The Steel segment offers steel products, such as slabs, billets and round bars, hot-rolled coils and sheets, bars and stirrups, wire rods, cold-rolled coils and sheets, tin plates, hot dipped galvanized and electrogalvanized sheets, pre-painted sheets, steel pipes and tubular products, beams, and roll formed products, as well as pre-engineered metal building systems. The Mining segment sells iron ore concentrates and pellets. The company serves various companies and small businesses that are operating in the construction, automotive, home appliances, capital goods, container, food, and energy industries. Ternium S.A. was founded in 1961 and is based in Luxembourg. Ternium S.A. is a subsidiary of San Faustin S.A.

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of TX expected to move up in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Volume Climax' pattern. Specifically, a VBX-3(MVX) variant of Volume Climax has been detected. The target is $13.85. more
  • SEASONALITY expects the price of TX expected to move up to $13.23 by December 30, 2015. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when TX closes above $26.00, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of TX considerably higher.
  • VALUATION TX has a current calculated value of $28.47 which means the stock is undervalued compared to its price of $11.89.

Predictive Range December 10, 2015 - December 31, 2015

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$12.69 - $13.54

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Ternium S.A. (NYSE: TX) is predicted to go up in coming weeks based on bullish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. TX has demonstrated Volume Climax strategy VBX-3(MVX) with a strength of 1.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of TX expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'VBX-3(MVX)' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a VBX-3(MVX) variant of Volume Climax has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that TX will move up in the coming weeks.

Seasonality

 

Predicts probability and percentage of stock movements based on seasonal factors.

Ternium S.A. (NYSE: TX) is predicted to go up in coming weeks based on bullish trends that appear around this time of the year. By identifying stocks that are poised to go up or down based on seasonal tendencies, traders can increase their odds of making money. TX, currently trading at 11.89 expected to hit $13.23 by December 30, 2015.

  • The price of TX expected to move up to $13.23 by December 30, 2015.
  • Expected gain of 6.78% from price at time of prediction (12.39).
  • This pattern has held 8.0 of the last 9.0 seasonal periods. (88.89%)

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for TX is 26.00.

This means that when TX closes above $26.00, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of TX considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2015-12-31 427396 5643892.3988 13.2053
2015-11-30 645945 9704936.058 15.0244
2015-10-31 894125 12685934.9125 14.1881
2015-09-30 482986 6325667.642 13.097
2015-08-31 9253 142079.815 15.355
2015-07-31 656062 10368075.817 15.8035
2015-06-30 516650 10056798.91 19.4654
2015-05-31 234417 4924468.2441 21.0073
2015-04-30 315150 5749123.875 18.2425
2015-03-31 600349 10682910.2805 17.7945
2015-02-28 1029697 18491916.5442 17.9586
2015-01-31 1069303 17609602.5949 16.4683
2014-12-31 434233 8209174.865 18.905
2014-11-30 334383 7271058.0201 21.7447
2014-10-31 3190518 69487886.781 21.7795
2014-09-30 749200 19711976.44 26.3107
2014-08-31 663909 17246895.2202 25.9778
2014-07-31 84124 2419776.3856 28.7644
2014-06-30 602841 16766455.0284 27.8124
2014-05-31 573462 16544493.3924 28.8502

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused TX's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused TX's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2015-12-11 -0.58 116115 87706 28409 Bearish Bias
2015-12-10 -0.01 119204 81806 37398 Bearish Bias
2015-12-09 0.41 68197 87794 -19597 Bullish Bias
2015-12-08 -0.66 74208 114227 -40019 -606.3484848
2015-12-07 0.27 188392 154501 33891 1255.222222
2015-12-04 -0.23 44459 40952 3507 Bearish Bias
2015-12-03 -0.46 117657 268302 -150645 -3274.891304
2015-12-02 -0.38 52687 72831 -20144 -530.1052632
2015-12-01 -0.09 59976 91505 -31529 -3503.222222
2015-11-30 -0.12 133673 141881 -8208 -684
2015-11-27 0.2 69521 68294 1227 61.35
2015-11-25 -0.23 173688 187599 -13911 -604.826087
2015-11-24 -0.37 195631 244028 -48397 -1308.027027
2015-11-23 -0.21 67682 55818 11864 Bearish Bias
2015-11-20 0.0 67266 76140 -8874 Bullish Bias
2015-11-19 0.01 83591 66254 17337 17337
2015-11-18 0.35 147598 94744 52854 1510.114286
2015-11-17 -0.01 58104 60666 -2562 -2562
2015-11-16 -0.22 41109 27642 13467 Bearish Bias
2015-11-13 -0.28 12046 19978 -7932 -283.2857143

Valuation

 

Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. TX has a current value of 28.47 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $11.89 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease.

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 17.553 84.68 14377 618 95.88%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
SqueezeTrigger 12.457 21.32 10637 784 93.14%
Seasonality 7.254 15.1 56975 5391 91.36%
Group Correlation 7.045 14.97 9369 1081 89.66%
PatternScan 8.441 11.36 221091 32994 87.01%
Events 6.798 11.26 4528 692 86.74%
Earnings 8.497 10.32 24795 5011 83.19%
GATS 5.557 7.87 79136 16569 82.69%
Naked Shorts 13.649 10.99 2923 752 79.54%
Friction Factor 6.987 3.61 8215 2373 77.59%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$11.89
52 Week Range$21.48 - $32.99
1 Month Range$27.60 - $30.10
Avg Daily Volume113535.0
PE Ratio11.9
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2016(E)$2.426
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding196MM
Market Capitalization$5612.00MM
 
 

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