Market Read®

  • Monday, May 25 2015

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between May 08, 2015 and May 14, 2015. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NYSE: TX)

Ternium S.A.


Bearish

Ternium S.A. engages in manufacturing and processing a range of flat and long steel products for the construction, automotive, home appliances, capital goods, container, food, and energy industries. The company operates in two segments, Steel and Mining. The Steel segment offers steel products that comprise slabs, hot rolled coils and sheets, cold rolled coils and sheets, tin plate, welded pipes, hot dipped galvanized and electro-galvanized sheets, pre-painted sheets, billets, wire rod and bars, and other tailor-made products. The Mining segment provides mining products, primarily iron ore and pellets. It sells its products in Mexico; Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, Paraguay, and Uruguay; and the United States, Colombia, Guatemala, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Nicaragua, and Honduras. The company was founded in 1961 and is based in Luxembourg. Ternium S.A. is a subsidiary of San Faustin N.V.

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of TX expected to move down in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Hanging Man' pattern. Specifically, a ACT EOD variant of Hanging Man has been detected. The target is $18.00. more
  • SEASONALITY expects the price of TX expected to move down to $19.80 by May 14, 2015. more

Predictive Range April 21, 2015 - May 14, 2015

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$19.98 - $18.90

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Ternium S.A. (NYSE: TX) is predicted to go down in coming weeks based on bearish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. TX has demonstrated Hanging Man strategy ACT EOD with a strength of 1.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of TX expected to move down in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'ACT EOD' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a ACT EOD variant of Hanging Man has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that TX will move down in the coming weeks.

Seasonality

 

Predicts probability and percentage of stock movements based on seasonal factors.

Ternium S.A. (NYSE: TX) is predicted to go down in coming weeks based on bearish trends that appear around this time of the year. By identifying stocks that are poised to go up or down based on seasonal tendencies, traders can increase their odds of making money. TX, currently trading at 19.95 expected to hit $19.80 by May 14, 2015.

  • The price of TX expected to move down to $19.80 by May 14, 2015.
  • Expected loss of -3.98% from price at time of prediction (20.62).
  • This pattern has held 9.0 of the last 9.0 seasonal periods. (100.00%)

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for TX is 26.44.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2015-05-31 234417 4924468.2441 21.0073
2015-04-30 315150 5749123.875 18.2425
2015-03-31 600349 10682910.2805 17.7945
2015-02-28 1029697 18491916.5442 17.9586
2015-01-31 1069303 17609602.5949 16.4683
2014-12-31 434233 8209174.865 18.905
2014-11-30 334383 7271058.0201 21.7447
2014-10-31 3190518 69487886.781 21.7795
2014-09-30 749200 19711976.44 26.3107
2014-08-31 663909 17246895.2202 25.9778
2014-07-31 84124 2419776.3856 28.7644
2014-06-30 602841 16766455.0284 27.8124
2014-05-31 573462 16544493.3924 28.8502
2014-04-30 502164 15099920.8308 30.0697
2014-03-31 842062 24707025.3482 29.3411
2014-02-28 1259516 37811929.836 30.021
2014-01-31 1415373 43245872.7912 30.5544
2013-12-31 583176 16034715.708 27.4955
2013-11-30 22313 583484.95 26.15
2013-10-31 250471 6504155.7867 25.9677

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused TX's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused TX's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2015-05-07 -0.33 70803 164168 -93365 -2829.242424
2015-05-06 -0.23 157611 102095 55516 Bearish Bias
2015-05-05 0.07 104971 96613 8358 1194
2015-05-04 0.21 43425 42413 1012 48.19047619
2015-05-01 -0.23 79393 116965 -37572 -1633.565217
2015-04-30 0.06 165771 121587 44184 7364
2015-04-29 -0.56 72728 53975 18753 Bearish Bias
2015-04-28 0.33 70320 60424 9896 299.8787879
2015-04-27 0.22 102870 91923 10947 497.5909091
2015-04-24 0.22 143069 65385 77684 3531.090909
2015-04-23 1.01 103260 81385 21875 216.5841584
2015-04-22 0.43 121500 42634 78866 1834.093023
2015-04-21 -0.4 214598 59820 154778 Bearish Bias
2015-04-20 -0.12 30949 33259 -2310 -192.5
2015-04-17 -0.18 56032 50079 5953 Bearish Bias
2015-04-16 -0.32 60853 63656 -2803 -87.59375
2015-04-15 0.34 198712 370737 -172025 Bullish Bias
2015-04-14 0.63 131729 265191 -133462 Bullish Bias
2015-04-13 0.15 143748 83494 60254 4016.933333
2015-04-10 -0.01 72525 45733 26792 Bearish Bias

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.843 78.43 11992 596 95.27%
SqueezeTrigger 12.608 22.02 9368 608 93.91%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.306 15.19 50669 4776 91.39%
Group Correlation 6.573 15.05 4628 500 90.25%
PatternScan 8.512 11.49 184599 27157 87.18%
Events 6.892 11.28 4093 627 86.72%
Earnings 8.509 10.28 24041 4840 83.24%
GATS 5.377 7.85 63545 13155 82.85%
Naked Shorts 13.861 10.94 2688 699 79.36%
Friction Factor 7.097 3.63 7014 2006 77.76%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$19.95
52 Week Range$21.48 - $32.99
1 Month Range$27.60 - $30.10
Avg Daily Volume113535.0
PE Ratio11.9
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2015(E)$2.426
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding196MM
Market Capitalization$5612.00MM
 
 

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