Market Read®

  • Sunday, March 01 2015

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between July 25, 2014 and August 08, 2014. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NASDAQ: VDSI)

Vasco
Data
Security International


Bullish

VASCO Data Security International, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and supports hardware and software security systems that manage and secure access to information assets worldwide. It provides hardware and software products in the areas of user authentication, electronic signatures, and digital signatures/public key infrastructure. The company offers VACMAN range of products that support multiple authentication technologies, including passwords, dynamic password technology, electronic signatures, digital signatures, and certificates and biometrics on one platform. It also provides IDENTIKEY Authentication Server, a centralized authentication server, which supports the deployment, use, and administration of DIGIPASS user authentication. In addition, the company offers aXs GUARD Gatekeeper, a standalone modular communications solution that provides intrusion, Website, and virus protection; remote connection through VPNs; and a reporting and monitoring console. Further, it provides DIGIPASS product line that exists as a family of software and hardware client authentication products and services for authenticating users to any network, including the Internet; and DIGIPASS as a Service and MYDIGIPASS.COM, which offer on-demand identity and transaction security as a service. The company s DIGIPASS solution calculates dynamic signatures and passwords to authenticate users on a computer network and for various other applications. The DIGIPASS technology is also designed to operate on desktop PC or laptops, personal digital assistants, mobile phones, and smart cards. The company sells its security solutions through its direct sales force, as well as through distributors, resellers, and systems integrators. VASCO Data Security International, Inc. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Oakbrook Terrace, Illinois.

Investment Highlights

  • GATS predicts VDSI will move up in the coming weeks. Target is $14.83. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when VDSI closes above $8.39, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of VDSI considerably higher.

Predictive Range July 25, 2014 - August 08, 2014

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$13.30 - $14.83

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

GATS

 

Reduces risk by selecting the highest probability trades across market indices.

Vasco Data Security International (NASDAQ: VDSI) is expected to go up as bullish signals have been generated by top equity trading strategies. This trading system is designed to identify high probability reversion to mean trading candidates. It looks to go long immediately following strong sell-offs, and goes short after sharp run ups. Its trades are short term and hone in on the irrational decisions of emotional traders around these extreme moves.

  • The price of VDSI expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • Suggested stop level of 11.97 to limit potential trading losses.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for VDSI is 8.39.

This means that when VDSI closes above $8.39, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of VDSI considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2014-07-31 329340 3748482.012 11.3818
2014-06-30 17337 191400.48 11.04
2014-05-31 798950 9066804.18 11.3484
2014-04-30 490183 4106949.2472 8.3784
2014-03-31 273436 2226917.4712 8.1442
2014-02-28 554283 4300182.9423 7.7581
2014-01-31 276854 2112257.593 7.6295
2013-12-31 287880 2226723.012 7.7349
2013-11-30 310514 2298610.9364 7.4026
2013-10-31 414417 3185167.6203 7.6859
2013-09-30 167718 1338104.5194 7.9783
2013-08-31 330074 2660792.5288 8.0612
2013-07-31 239973 2044977.9141 8.5217
2013-06-30 146105 1216645.556 8.3272
2013-05-31 342700 2900612.8 8.464
2013-04-30 501973 4191725.5365 8.3505
2013-03-31 341442 2894984.2854 8.4787
2013-02-28 95429 745978.0359 7.8171
2013-01-31 439344 3487336.9344 7.9376
2012-12-31 616382 4891854.1048 7.9364

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused VDSI's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused VDSI's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2014-07-24 1.7 1071140 1116283 -45143 Bullish Bias
2014-07-23 -0.53 127195 127296 -101 -1.905660377
2014-07-22 0.4 125661 157277 -31616 Bullish Bias
2014-07-21 -0.05 112486 72566 39920 Bearish Bias
2014-07-18 0.27 65677 108862 -43185 Bullish Bias
2014-07-17 -0.26 82766 74175 8591 Bearish Bias
2014-07-16 0.21 120241 166068 -45827 Bullish Bias
2014-07-15 0.21 125121 135360 -10239 Bullish Bias
2014-07-14 0.25 78765 88250 -9485 Bullish Bias
2014-07-11 0.02 85745 56459 29286 14643
2014-07-10 0.01 80682 66716 13966 13966
2014-07-09 0.0 97757 89048 8709 Bearish Bias
2014-07-08 -0.23 157359 282536 -125177 -5442.478261
2014-07-07 -0.75 134737 167868 -33131 -441.7466667
2014-07-03 -0.08 30741 34270 -3529 -441.125
2014-07-02 -0.15 54869 55258 -389 -25.93333333
2014-07-01 0.52 128994 135611 -6617 Bullish Bias
2014-06-30 -0.15 95963 86131 9832 Bearish Bias
2014-06-27 -0.02 270338 251052 19286 Bearish Bias
2014-06-26 -0.12 92997 120595 -27598 -2299.833333

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 15.878 77.75 11200 579 95.08%
SqueezeTrigger 12.549 22.06 8978 582 93.91%
Valuation 14.484 26.96 4201 302 93.29%
Seasonality 7.341 15.2 48621 4642 91.28%
Group Correlation 6.791 14.81 3320 322 91.16%
PatternScan 8.547 11.5 174782 25728 87.17%
Events 6.902 11.24 3931 606 86.64%
Earnings 8.551 10.23 23341 4724 83.17%
GATS 5.388 7.89 58687 11910 83.13%
Naked Shorts 14.012 10.92 2615 683 79.29%
Friction Factor 7.178 3.63 6607 1890 77.76%

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$25.90
52 Week Range$6.47 - $13.15
1 Month Range$10.60 - $12.40
Avg Daily Volume230850.0
PE Ratio35.92
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2015(E)$0.304
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding39MM
Market Capitalization$429.60MM
 
 

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