Market Read®

  • Sunday, August 28 2016

This prediction has passed its maturity date!

This prediction was valid between July 01, 2016 and July 25, 2016. All information in this report is for reference only and should not be considered forward looking.

(NASDAQ: VDSI)

Vasco
Data
Security International


Bullish

VASCO Data Security International, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and supports hardware and software security systems that manage and secure access to information assets worldwide. The company offers VACMAN Controller, a host system software authentication platform that combines technologies in one platform; IDENTIKEY Authentication Server that adds server functionality to the VACMAN core authentication platform; DIGIPASS as a Service, a cloud-based authentication service primarily for enterprise customers; and MYDIGIPASS solutions for end user authentication in the cloud. It also provides IDENTIKEY Appliance, an authentication solution that offers two-factor authentication for remote access to a corporate network or to Web-based in-house business applications; IDENTIKEY Virtual Appliance, a virtualized authentication appliance that secures remote access to corporate networks and Web-based applications; IDENTIKEY Federation Server, a server appliance that provides an identity and access management platform; and DPaaS and MDP cloud services for B2B and B2E applications. In addition, the company offers DIGIPASS Hardware authenticators to support authentication and digital signatures for applications running on desktop PCs, laptops, tablets, and smart phones; DIGIPASS Software authenticators, which provides customers with security for access to their networks and applications without having to carry a standalone hardware device; and DIGIPASS for Apps, a software development kit; IDENTIKEY risk manager, an anti-fraud solution; and eSignLive is an electronic signature products.The company sells its security solutions through its direct sales force, distributors, resellers, and systems integrators. VASCO Data Security International, Inc. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Oakbrook Terrace, Illinois.

Investment Highlights

  • PATTERN SCAN predicts the price of VDSI expected to move up in the coming weeks based on the appearance of a 'Engulfing Lines' pattern. Specifically, a ACT EOD variant of Engulfing Lines has been detected. The target is $17.11. more
  • GROUP CORRELATION predicts the price of VDSI expected to move up to $16.64 in the coming weeks. more
  • SQUEEZETRIGGER predicts that when VDSI closes above $17.92, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of VDSI considerably higher.
  • VALUATION VDSI has a current calculated value of $25.96 which means the stock is undervalued compared to its price of $18.65.

Predictive Range June 27, 2016 - July 25, 2016

Anticipated price movement, between prediction date and target date, based on all market reads.
$16.24 - $16.88

How WealthMakers Market Reads Work:

WealthMakers Market Reads™ provide you with market performance predictions based on proprietary technologies, trading algorithms and data to help you make better, more informed investment decisions. Here's a quick review of our predictive technologies:

  • EARNINGS Most stock price histories show random or unpredictable movements around earnings reports. But some repeat the same pattern quarter after quarter, year after year. Earnings predicts probability, price move and length of move before and after all US stock earnings reports.
  • FRICTION FACTOR Friction Factor is based on the relationship between the price of a stock and the volume at which it's bought and sold. Normal and abnormal Friction factor patterns can help you time your buying and selling decisions for maximum earnings potential.
  • GATS The Global Automated Trading System (GATS) combines neural networks and genetic algorithms to reduce investment risks. GATS selects the highest probability trades in stocks, bonds, options, commodities, currencies and private equities, delivering precise, predictive and profitable data.
  • GROUP SECTOR Certain institutions can exert buying or selling pressure over an entire industry group, pushing prices higher. Group Sector identifies stocks that most closely match their group's movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to help you profit from the herd mentality.
  • PATTERN SCAN This technology automatically tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock — or its perceived value among analysts — ranging from price fluctuations to natural disasters and political shifts. The results reveal patterns that can predict market movements.
  • EVENTS Events describe the current technical situation in your stock. It displays the technicals, trend conditions and seasonal factors and automatically discovers how that stock has performed in the trading days following the occurrences of the event or combination of events. This technology automatically scans using complex historical queries based on what event is taking place right now in the stock. It then displays the probability, expected return and number of trading days for the expected move.
  • RegSHO NAKED SHORTS SEC Regulation SHO mandates that if a clearing agent holds a fail-to-deliver position for 13 consecutive settlement days, it must purchase securities to close out its position, a.k.a. a forced cover. WealthMakers aggregates data from NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ, OTCBB and PINKSHEETS to track stocks that are about to have forced covers.
  • SEASONALITY Seasonality analyzes more than 20 years of data to determine if stocks have a long or short seasonal bias, how many trading days the move is expected to last, the probability of that move and the percentage move the stock is expected to make based on the seasonal bias.
  • SQUEEZE TRIGGER Our proprietary database of more than 3,500,000,000 short sale transactions allows us to calculate the exact price at which the total short interest is short in each stock. Squeeze Trigger Alerts let you know exactly when a short squeeze will start and how to trade profitably.
  • VALUATION A stock's value is a function of its forecasted earnings per share and forecasted earnings growth, as well as profitability, interest and inflation rates. Valuation use these metrics to determine at what price a stock is undervalued or overvalued, so that you can make investment decisions accordingly.
  • INSIDER Significant stock sales or purchases by company "insiders" (officers or directors) can be a predictor of future price movements — up or down. The Insider strategy tracks these actions and correlates them with historical data to give you an investment edge.

Pattern Scan

 

Tracks "Trigger Events" that positively or negatively affect the value of a stock.

Vasco Data Security International (NASDAQ: VDSI) is predicted to go up in coming weeks based on bullish technical trends that have appeared in the recent performance of the stock. VDSI has demonstrated Engulfing Lines strategy ACT EOD with a strength of 1.0/5. The higher the strength, the higher the probability of an accurate prediction.

  • The price of VDSI expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • PatternScan has detected that a 'ACT EOD' pattern has appeared.
  • Specifically, a ACT EOD variant of Engulfing Lines has been detected.
  • This indicates a high probablity that VDSI will move up in the coming weeks.

Group Sector

 

Identifies stocks that respond to group consensus "herd mentality" market movements.

Vasco Data Security International (NASDAQ: VDSI) is predicted to go up as the top stocks in the Technology have fired buy signals. The majority of the top stocks in the Technology sector have fired buy signals as of today. Group rotation is a phenomenon where institutions exert buying or selling pressure in an industry group, pushing prices of the group higher or lower relative to the general market. An industry can often lead or lag the market, and the most highly correlated stocks usually move in unison.

  • The price of VDSI expected to move up in the coming weeks.
  • VDSI is strongly correlated (0.41) to stocks in the Technology sector.
  • These stocks have fired sell signals, and VDSI is expected to follow.

Squeeze Trigger

 

We have a proprietary database of all trading in US stocks and maintain massive databases of short sale and naked short sale time and sales data, along with short squeeze SqueezeTrigger prices. We are the only firm that knows the exact price that a short squeeze will start in every US stock.

The Cumulative Squeeze Trigger price for VDSI is 17.92.

This means that when VDSI closes above $17.92, we expect a short squeeze to begin that could quickly drive the price of VDSI considerably higher.

Date Short Volume Short Value SqueezeTrigger
2016-06-30 4308161 72050977.0123 16.7243
2016-05-31 4625109 76230584.0271 16.4819
2016-04-30 2575847 26061132.0225 10.1175
2016-03-31 3707447 38899275.4134 10.4922
2016-02-29 5658252 57169846.5576 10.1038
2016-01-31 5664510 69018089.193 12.1843
2015-12-31 793651 14456749.7905 18.2155
2015-11-30 2880215 57098822.2675 19.8245
2015-10-31 3683052 67426737.8796 18.3073
2015-09-30 3806797 65080620.8323 17.0959
2015-08-31 5231920 96123973.392 18.3726
2015-07-31 4285414 118656685.539 27.6885
2015-06-30 12422259 384353389.041 30.9407
2015-05-31 2376054 59798151.018 25.167
2015-04-30 8318522 208513736.156 25.0662
2015-03-31 7712450 177875319.33 23.0634
2015-02-28 11633960 312996569.652 26.9037
2015-01-31 4310848 105070022.643 24.3734
2014-12-31 4957746 136853620.584 27.604
2014-11-30 4212666 114875610.421 27.2691

Friction Factor

 

Friction Factor determines if there is normal or abnormal behavior in the price action of the stock when compared to the buying vs. selling trading statistics. It shows us how many more shares of buying than selling it takes to move a stock higher by 1 cent, or how many more shares of selling than buying it takes to drop a stock by 1 cent.
Here is how to understand Friction Factor:

  • If Friction Factor is positive, more buying than selling caused VDSI's price to rise
  • If Friction Factor is negative, more selling than buying caused VDSI's price to fall
  • If Friction Factor is 0, there was no discernable activity either way
  • If Friction Factor is abnormal, it means that more buying than selling caused the price to drop which is evidence of manipulative activity. In some cases more selling than buying can cause the price to increase. While this is rare, it must be noted as well. Friction Factor raw data.

Date Change Buy Vol Sell Vol Net Vol Friction
2016-06-30 0.42 59064 96543 -37479 Bullish Bias
2016-06-29 0.06 148029 126380 21649 3608.166667
2016-06-28 0.34 98294 97026 1268 37.29411765
2016-06-27 -0.52 161004 174037 -13033 -250.6346154
2016-06-24 -1.68 347751 290742 57009 Bearish Bias
2016-06-23 0.94 202584 142281 60303 641.5212766
2016-06-22 -0.54 159955 143194 16761 Bearish Bias
2016-06-21 0.16 84670 102809 -18139 Bullish Bias
2016-06-20 0.72 106678 95741 10937 151.9027778
2016-06-17 -0.3 65746 409948 -344202 -11473.4
2016-06-16 -0.18 87105 103619 -16514 -917.4444444
2016-06-15 0.15 73137 64708 8429 561.9333333
2016-06-14 -0.03 60723 91698 -30975 -10325
2016-06-13 0.15 85616 63624 21992 1466.133333
2016-06-10 -0.29 64785 110934 -46149 -1591.344828
2016-06-09 -0.26 73208 98357 -25149 -967.2692308
2016-06-08 0.06 101221 87188 14033 2338.833333
2016-06-07 0.4 106903 94244 12659 316.475
2016-06-06 0.25 62222 29114 33108 1324.32
2016-06-03 -0.19 33724 67950 -34226 -1801.368421

Valuation

 

Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. VDSI has a current value of 25.96 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $18.65 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease.

General Results

 

Past success in predictions regarding all predictions on the WealthMakers platform.

Our prediction engine has a track record that is second to none. See for our results.

Read Type Avg Return Avg Maturity Days Hits Misses % Accurate
Insider 18.127 83.05 16135 798 95.29%
SqueezeTrigger 14.948 21.72 11312 879 92.79%
Valuation 19.577 27.08 4010 317 92.67%
Seasonality 11.094 15.22 59155 6702 89.82%
Group Correlation 8.297 15.22 12533 1534 89.10%
PatternScan 12.22 11.44 241161 38809 86.14%
Events 9.85 11.18 4658 829 84.89%
GATS 8.708 7.89 88252 20785 80.94%
Earnings 12.954 10.44 24150 5875 80.43%
Naked Shorts 19.974 10.96 2853 784 78.44%
Friction Factor 10.705 3.62 8383 2578 76.48%

Prediction Success

 

Past success in predictions regarding Vasco Data Security International.

  • May 03, 2016 - Vasco Data Security International Inc (NASDAQ:VDSI), Up After ${brandname}.com Report Predicted Stock Would Go Up Due To Conditions Outlined In Our Report

About Wealthmakers

WealthMakers gives institutional and individual investors an exclusive advantage in making precise, predictive and profitable trading decisions. Our proprietary technologies — Earnings, Seasonality, Squeeze Trigger, Group Sector and GATS — apply artificial intelligence, proprietary algorithms, market data and research to help our clients realize exponential returns. Find out more at WealthMakers.com.

All material herein was prepared by WealthMakers, based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by WealthMakers to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. WealthMakers is not a registered investment advisor in the State of California. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on or mentioned herein. WealthMakers or its affiliates may receive compensation from independent third parties, or from the companies mentioned, for data provided in this report or related services. WealthMakers affiliates, officers, directors and employees do not own shares of the company mentioned in this report, but may from time to time buy/sell the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit from those trades. Market commentary provided by Thomas Ronk, a registered investment advisor and commodities trading advisor in California. WealthMakers will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment.

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2011 WealthMakers

Overview
Last Price$18.65
52 Week Range$6.47 - $13.15
1 Month Range$10.60 - $12.40
Avg Daily Volume230850.0
PE Ratio35.92
 
Earnings Per Share
YearEPS
2016(E)$0.304
 
Capitalization
Shares Outstanding39MM
Market Capitalization$429.60MM
 
 

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